I sincerely trust that the market volatility since the past 1+ years, including the recent one, is due to the antics of trump rather than anything else. The geopolitical shocks, whether due to the trade tariffs or the many coordinated military strike by U.S. and Israeli forces on Iran etc. are what are causing this volatility. Whether this latest spike is a "buy the dip" signal depends on the duration of the Iran conflict and its impact on energy markets. Amidst all this, AI sector and potential rate cuts may to be viewed as primary catalysts for a 2026 rally, despite current high valuations demanding caution.
I do believe that yes, AVGO has effectively transformed from a traditional networking chip provider into a dominant force in AI hardware, often cited as the second-largest player in the space after Nvidia. My belief stems from the fact that AI now drives over 50% of its semiconductor revenue, up from approximately 37% a year earlier. Further its CEO recently projected that AI chip sales alone could exceed $100B by 2027. So, this settles the direction it is taking.
The market consensus seems that the recent 15% surge in Coinbase & 7% jump in Bitcoin are largely attributed to a high-stakes meeting between CEO Brian Armstrong and President Trump on 3 Mar, 2026. Thr bear case h8nges on the outlook for the CLARITY Act & GENIUS Act. Ans the bear case rests on the dictum: Buy the Rumor, Sell the News. One key thing to look out for is if BTC settles around $74,000 i- that will be the golden rubicon to confirm the bearish sentiments of early 2026 has been fully stopped.
In the face of the Iran crisis, did your portfolio have enough Gold or Oil as a "parachute"?: unfortunately no. And that is sad indeed as I was planning to enter but waiting for a decent correction first. 2. Did you protect your profits in February? Will gold break $5,500 in March? Will crash history repeat itself in March: did book and protect some profit in Feb but not all of it. And gold could perhaps well touch $5500 provided the present situation lasts longer & doesn't end in a few weeks.
Intuition tells me a structural reset is underway rather than a temporary dip with potential of a Sector Sell-off & Budget Migration exacerbated by execution risk and muted analyst sentiments. Afte4 all, North American Tech-Software Index (IGV) fell nearly 25%–30% in early 2026 as investors have rotated out of high-multiple software stocks. And the adverse response after the good Nvidia results also goes to reinforce this.