To The Moon

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上週給大家講過，A股和美股進入到強弱反轉特徵，美股指弱勢，但A股個股表現強勢。其實美國有啥利空消息，已經不需要我多說了，Delta疫情的肆虐，美聯儲年底的Taper，美國債務上限，任何一個都可以是下跌的理由，畢竟漲多了出現調整是正常的。 調整幅度有多大很難確定，畢竟沒有黑天鵝事件，更多的是利空事件的兌現。但最少上漲速度會大大下降，對付這種市場最好的辦法，還是對衝。 （標普近期頂部在4549，仍符合區間特點） 所以這裏還是給大家分享幾個美股的對衝策略，既有宏觀的，也有微觀的，看對大家是否合適。 一、買A股國企股價便宜的個股、空美股指 自從A股眉飛色舞以來，股市相對活躍，與去年不同的是，今年A股雖然指數漲幅不大（慢牛），但低價個股活躍度很高。而歷來如果A股有牛市，低價股通常不會缺席（漲幅要看有沒有消息配合），疊加最近大宗商品的通脹預期，資源類的低價股大家都可以關注。 而美股指進入高位區間，漲幅會受到限制，因此擔心繫統性風險的話，做空美股指會比較合適，從而形成了一個宏觀的對衝組合。 （連中石油都能大漲50%，其它個股也就不應該太悲觀了） 二、持有美股，做空美股指 對於堅定持有美股的朋友來說，美股指有風險，自然也可以用做空美股指的方式來對衝一定的風險。美股指近期已接近60日均線附近，也是近期美股很重要的多空分水嶺，若有效跌穿，可能會引起較大調整。（大夥別掉以輕心，美股指若調整10%，很多美股跌幅比這個大得多） 做空美股指的止損，可分批進入，一半以20日均線來止損，另一半可以新高作爲止損。 三、多道指/標普，空納指 納指波動性比道指強，跌下來幅度也比道指較多。當前納指道指比價仍處於歷史高位，中長期來說該價位介入仍不算吃虧，但該組合的平倉時機不容易把握，除非納指繫個股出現系統性利空，不然也只能短期投機一把，還不如策略一來的穩妥。 四、關於其它策略 雖然美股指看空，作爲對衝手段來說，是一

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