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IronRoar

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- IronRoarIronRoar
  ·2024-08-17
  $PEP 20250321 170.0 PUT$
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- IronRoarIronRoar
  ·2022-11-13
  great
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- IronRoarIronRoar
  ·2022-11-07
  $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ options server got problem?
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- IronRoarIronRoar
  ·2022-10-16
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  2 Monster Stocks You'll Want to Buy Now and Hold Forever
  They're both global leaders in their businesses.
  2 Monster Stocks You'll Want to Buy Now and Hold Forever
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- IronRoarIronRoar
  ·2022-08-14
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  Why Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231
  Many technical analysts pay attention to what’s known as the Fibonacci ratio, attributed to a 13th century Italian mathematician known as Leonardo “Fibonacci” of Pisa. It’s based on a sequence of whole numbers in which the sum of two adjacent numbers equals the next highest number (0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13, 21…
  Why Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231
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- IronRoarIronRoar
  ·2022-07-09
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  4 Resilient US Stocks That Increased Their Dividends Without Fail for 25 Years or More
  There are not many things in life that are certain, especially when it comes to investing.But as an
  4 Resilient US Stocks That Increased Their Dividends Without Fail for 25 Years or More
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- IronRoarIronRoar
  ·2022-04-22
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  2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032
  Short-term stock market jitters are a great opportunity to pick up high-growth stocks like these at a discount.
  2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032
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- IronRoarIronRoar
  ·2022-04-20
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  Is The End Near For Musk And Tesla?
  SummaryDespite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable,
  Is The End Near For Musk And Tesla?
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- IronRoarIronRoar
  ·2022-04-19
  ok
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- IronRoarIronRoar
  ·2022-04-18
  great !
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/PEP 20250321 170.0 PUT\">$PEP 20250321 170.0 PUT$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/OPT/PEP 20250321 170.0 PUT\">$PEP 20250321 170.0 PUT$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"$PEP 20250321 170.0 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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a> options server got problem?","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MRNA\">$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$</a> options server got problem?","text":"$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ options server got 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09:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Monster Stocks You'll Want to Buy Now and Hold Forever","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2275933408","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"They're both global leaders in their businesses.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>What&#39;s a monster stock? In my book, it&#39;s a company that&#39;s grown earnings over time and returns for investors. Today, a lot of these players have followed the general market lower. In some cases, they&#39;re struggling with current headwinds like higher inflation. But their positive long-term outlook remains intact. That&#39;s why you&#39;ll want to buy these stocks today, at a discount, and hold on for the long haul.</p><p>Two perfect examples are <b>Amazon</b> and <b>Home Depot</b>. They&#39;ve proved their strengths. And they just so happen to be global leaders in their businesses.</p><h2>1. Amazon</h2><p>Amazon stock has climbed more than 125% over the past five years. Annual revenue and net income also have advanced, well into the billions of dollars, during that time period. This is as the company grew its position in two major businesses: e-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p>Today, net sales continue to climb at Amazon thanks to its leadership in these areas. But higher costs and supply chain troubles have been weighing on earnings. As a result, operating income and operating cash flow have been on the decline.</p><p>The stock price, too, has suffered. It&#39;s lost 32% so far this year. And that leaves Amazon trading at less than 3 times sales. That&#39;s close to its lowest level in about six years.</p><p>Here&#39;s why this is a bargain for Amazon. Today&#39;s troubles are linked to the overall economy, so they&#39;re temporary. At the same time, the company is making progress in handling them. It&#39;s controlling certain costs and improving productivity, for example.</p><p>Another bright spot is the cloud computing business, Amazon Web Services (AWS). It has continued to grow in spite of today&#39;s tough economy. AWS posted double-digit gains in sales and operating income in the second quarter. As for e-commerce, the strength of its Prime subscription service should power earnings growth once the economy improves. As it stands today, Prime members continue to spend more and more on the platform.</p><p>All of this makes me optimistic that Amazon can once again deliver more than just packages. It has what it takes to deliver great gains to shareholders over time.</p><h2>2. Home Depot</h2><p>When it comes to earnings, Home Depot has defied the general economic gloom. In the second quarter, the world&#39;s biggest home improvement retailer reported its highest quarterly sales and earnings ever. The stock price hasn&#39;t followed, though. Home Depot shares have lost more than 30% since the beginning of the year.</p><p>This leaves the shares trading at about 17 times forward earnings estimates. That&#39;s lower than the more than 25 number earlier this year. At the same time, as mentioned above, revenue continues to rise. This is a great entry point for a company that continues to grow in spite of a difficult environment -- and a company with solid prospects.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/39b55425a717b1b2d4f8a25c6ed2f269\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>HD PE ratio (forward). Data by YCharts.</span></p><p>So, why is the stock down today? Some investors are avoiding stocks linked to consumer spending. And Home Depot falls into that category. It&#39;s also possible that it eventually will see a slowdown. But as I mentioned above regarding Amazon, any such slowdown is temporary.</p><p>Here&#39;s why there&#39;s more reason to be positive about Home Depot and buy the stock for the long term. First, if the company can do this well during tough times, there&#39;s reason to believe it can truly flourish when the economy improves.</p><p>Second, Home Depot has offered us some visibility on what&#39;s ahead, and it looks positive. The company recently reported its professional customers say their project backlogs remain healthy.</p><p>Another positive point is the company&#39;s move to improve its digital platform, for professionals and do-it-yourself customers. And that&#39;s bearing fruit. In the second quarter, it reported record downloads, sales, and traffic on its mobile app.</p><p>Right now, Home Depot shares look dirt cheap. That&#39;s considering today&#39;s earnings performance and the long-term picture for this market leader.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Monster Stocks You'll Want to Buy Now and Hold Forever</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Monster Stocks You'll Want to Buy Now and Hold Forever\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-15 09:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/14/2-monster-stocks-youll-want-to-buy-now-and-hold-fo/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>What's a monster stock? In my book, it's a company that's grown earnings over time and returns for investors. Today, a lot of these players have followed the general market lower. In some cases, they'...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/14/2-monster-stocks-youll-want-to-buy-now-and-hold-fo/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/14/2-monster-stocks-youll-want-to-buy-now-and-hold-fo/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2275933408","content_text":"What's a monster stock? In my book, it's a company that's grown earnings over time and returns for investors. Today, a lot of these players have followed the general market lower. In some cases, they're struggling with current headwinds like higher inflation. But their positive long-term outlook remains intact. That's why you'll want to buy these stocks today, at a discount, and hold on for the long haul.Two perfect examples are Amazon and Home Depot. They've proved their strengths. And they just so happen to be global leaders in their businesses.1. AmazonAmazon stock has climbed more than 125% over the past five years. Annual revenue and net income also have advanced, well into the billions of dollars, during that time period. This is as the company grew its position in two major businesses: e-commerce and cloud computing.Today, net sales continue to climb at Amazon thanks to its leadership in these areas. But higher costs and supply chain troubles have been weighing on earnings. As a result, operating income and operating cash flow have been on the decline.The stock price, too, has suffered. It's lost 32% so far this year. And that leaves Amazon trading at less than 3 times sales. That's close to its lowest level in about six years.Here's why this is a bargain for Amazon. Today's troubles are linked to the overall economy, so they're temporary. At the same time, the company is making progress in handling them. It's controlling certain costs and improving productivity, for example.Another bright spot is the cloud computing business, Amazon Web Services (AWS). It has continued to grow in spite of today's tough economy. AWS posted double-digit gains in sales and operating income in the second quarter. As for e-commerce, the strength of its Prime subscription service should power earnings growth once the economy improves. As it stands today, Prime members continue to spend more and more on the platform.All of this makes me optimistic that Amazon can once again deliver more than just packages. It has what it takes to deliver great gains to shareholders over time.2. Home DepotWhen it comes to earnings, Home Depot has defied the general economic gloom. In the second quarter, the world's biggest home improvement retailer reported its highest quarterly sales and earnings ever. The stock price hasn't followed, though. Home Depot shares have lost more than 30% since the beginning of the year.This leaves the shares trading at about 17 times forward earnings estimates. That's lower than the more than 25 number earlier this year. At the same time, as mentioned above, revenue continues to rise. This is a great entry point for a company that continues to grow in spite of a difficult environment -- and a company with solid prospects.HD PE ratio (forward). Data by YCharts.So, why is the stock down today? Some investors are avoiding stocks linked to consumer spending. And Home Depot falls into that category. It's also possible that it eventually will see a slowdown. But as I mentioned above regarding Amazon, any such slowdown is temporary.Here's why there's more reason to be positive about Home Depot and buy the stock for the long term. First, if the company can do this well during tough times, there's reason to believe it can truly flourish when the economy improves.Second, Home Depot has offered us some visibility on what's ahead, and it looks positive. The company recently reported its professional customers say their project backlogs remain healthy.Another positive point is the company's move to improve its digital platform, for professionals and do-it-yourself customers. And that's bearing fruit. In the second quarter, it reported record downloads, sales, and traffic on its mobile app.Right now, Home Depot shares look dirt cheap. That's considering today's earnings performance and the long-term picture for this market leader.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9990751965,"gmtCreate":1660434525859,"gmtModify":1676533467864,"author":{"id":"4087734129298080","authorId":"4087734129298080","name":"IronRoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf9c156b794329cc799b0ee28ca0b9b2","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087734129298080","authorIdStr":"4087734129298080"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"65","listText":"65","text":"65","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9990751965","repostId":"1129150866","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129150866","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660352614,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129150866?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-13 09:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129150866","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Many technical analysts pay attention to what’s known as the Fibonacci ratio, attributed to a 13th century Italian mathematician known as Leonardo “Fibonacci” of Pisa. It’s based on a sequence of whole numbers in which the sum of two adjacent numbers equals the next highest number (0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13, 21…","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e150d7de731c2e2e0ebee4395029900d\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/>The S&amp;P 500 index on Friday finished above a chart level that delivered a dose of encouragement to stock-market bulls arguing that the U.S. bear-market bottom is in, though technical analysts warned that it might not be a signal to go all in on equities.</p><p>The S&amp;P 500 on Friday rose 1.7% to close at 4,280.15. The finish above 4,231 would mean the large-cap benchmark has recovered — or retraced — more than 50% of its fall from a Jan. 3 record finish at 4796.56.</p><p>“Since 1950 there has never been a bear market rally that exceeded the 50% retracement and then gone on to make new cycle lows,” said Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, in a note earlier this month.</p><p>Stocks rose across the board Friday, with the S&amp;P 500 booking a fourth straight weekly gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced more than 420 points, or 1.3%, on Friday and the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.1%. The S&amp;P 500 attempted to complete the retracement in Thursday’s session, when it traded as high as 4,257.91, but gave up gains to end at 4,207.27.</p><p>Krinsky, in a Thursday update, had noted that an intraday breach of the level doesn’t cut it, but had cautioned that a close above 4,231 would still leave him cautious about the near-term outlook.</p><p>“Because the retracement is based on a closing basis, we would want to see a close above 4,231 to trigger that signal. Whether or not that happens, however, the tactical risk/reward looks poor to us here,” he wrote.</p><p>What’s so special about a 50% retracement? Many technical analysts pay attention to what’s known as the Fibonacci ratio, attributed to a 13th century Italian mathematician known as Leonardo “Fibonacci” of Pisa. It’s based on a sequence of whole numbers in which the sum of two adjacent numbers equals the next highest number (0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13, 21…).</p><p>If a number in the sequence is divided by the next number, for example 8 divided by 13, the result is near 0.618, a ratio that’s been dubbed the Golden Mean due to its prevalence in nature in everything from seashells to ocean waves to proportions of the human body. Back on Wall Street, technical analysts see key retracement targets for a rally from a significant low to a significant peak at 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%, while retracements of 23.6% and 76.4% are seen as secondary targets.</p><p>The push above the 50% retracement level during Thursday’s recession may have contributed to a round of selling itself, said Jeff deGraaf, founder of Renaissance Macro Research, in a Friday note.</p><p>He observed that the retracement corresponded to a 65-day high for the S&amp;P 500, offering another indication of an improving trend in a bear market as it represents the highest level of the last rolling quarter. A 65-day high is often seen as a default signal for commodity trading advisers, not just in the S&amp;P 500 but in commodity, bond and forex markets as well.</p><p>“That level coincidentally corresponded with the 50% retracement level of the bear market,” he wrote. “In essence, it forced the hand of one group to cover shorts (CTAs) while simultaneously giving another group (Fibonacci followers) an excuse to sell” on Thursday.</p><p>Krinsky, meanwhile, cautioned that previous 50% retracements in 1974, 2004, and 2009 all saw decent shakeouts shortly after clearing that threshold.</p><p>“Further, as the market has cheered ‘peak inflation’, we are now seeing a quiet resurgence in many commodities, and bonds continue to weaken,” he wrote Thursday.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Stock Market Bulls Are Cheering the S&P 500’s Close above 4,231\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-13 09:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-bulls-are-obsessed-with-the-4-231-level-for-the-s-p-500-11660309355?mod=home-page><strong>MarketWatch</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The S&P 500 index on Friday finished above a chart level that delivered a dose of encouragement to stock-market bulls arguing that the U.S. bear-market bottom is in, though technical analysts warned ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-bulls-are-obsessed-with-the-4-231-level-for-the-s-p-500-11660309355?mod=home-page\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stock-market-bulls-are-obsessed-with-the-4-231-level-for-the-s-p-500-11660309355?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129150866","content_text":"The S&P 500 index on Friday finished above a chart level that delivered a dose of encouragement to stock-market bulls arguing that the U.S. bear-market bottom is in, though technical analysts warned that it might not be a signal to go all in on equities.The S&P 500 on Friday rose 1.7% to close at 4,280.15. The finish above 4,231 would mean the large-cap benchmark has recovered — or retraced — more than 50% of its fall from a Jan. 3 record finish at 4796.56.“Since 1950 there has never been a bear market rally that exceeded the 50% retracement and then gone on to make new cycle lows,” said Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, in a note earlier this month.Stocks rose across the board Friday, with the S&P 500 booking a fourth straight weekly gain. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced more than 420 points, or 1.3%, on Friday and the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.1%. The S&P 500 attempted to complete the retracement in Thursday’s session, when it traded as high as 4,257.91, but gave up gains to end at 4,207.27.Krinsky, in a Thursday update, had noted that an intraday breach of the level doesn’t cut it, but had cautioned that a close above 4,231 would still leave him cautious about the near-term outlook.“Because the retracement is based on a closing basis, we would want to see a close above 4,231 to trigger that signal. Whether or not that happens, however, the tactical risk/reward looks poor to us here,” he wrote.What’s so special about a 50% retracement? Many technical analysts pay attention to what’s known as the Fibonacci ratio, attributed to a 13th century Italian mathematician known as Leonardo “Fibonacci” of Pisa. It’s based on a sequence of whole numbers in which the sum of two adjacent numbers equals the next highest number (0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13, 21…).If a number in the sequence is divided by the next number, for example 8 divided by 13, the result is near 0.618, a ratio that’s been dubbed the Golden Mean due to its prevalence in nature in everything from seashells to ocean waves to proportions of the human body. Back on Wall Street, technical analysts see key retracement targets for a rally from a significant low to a significant peak at 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%, while retracements of 23.6% and 76.4% are seen as secondary targets.The push above the 50% retracement level during Thursday’s recession may have contributed to a round of selling itself, said Jeff deGraaf, founder of Renaissance Macro Research, in a Friday note.He observed that the retracement corresponded to a 65-day high for the S&P 500, offering another indication of an improving trend in a bear market as it represents the highest level of the last rolling quarter. A 65-day high is often seen as a default signal for commodity trading advisers, not just in the S&P 500 but in commodity, bond and forex markets as well.“That level coincidentally corresponded with the 50% retracement level of the bear market,” he wrote. “In essence, it forced the hand of one group to cover shorts (CTAs) while simultaneously giving another group (Fibonacci followers) an excuse to sell” on Thursday.Krinsky, meanwhile, cautioned that previous 50% retracements in 1974, 2004, and 2009 all saw decent shakeouts shortly after clearing that threshold.“Further, as the market has cheered ‘peak inflation’, we are now seeing a quiet resurgence in many commodities, and bonds continue to weaken,” he wrote Thursday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9073295714,"gmtCreate":1657343733238,"gmtModify":1676535995752,"author":{"id":"4087734129298080","authorId":"4087734129298080","name":"IronRoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf9c156b794329cc799b0ee28ca0b9b2","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087734129298080","authorIdStr":"4087734129298080"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9073295714","repostId":"1186017963","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186017963","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1657337326,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1186017963?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-07-09 11:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"4 Resilient US Stocks That Increased Their Dividends Without Fail for 25 Years or More","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186017963","media":"The Smart Investor","summary":"There are not many things in life that are certain, especially when it comes to investing.But as an ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>There are not many things in life that are certain, especially when it comes to investing.</p><p>But as an income-seeking investor, you can turn your attention to a bunch of companies with long track records of paying out increasing dividends.</p><p>These US companies have strong competitive moats and are reliable dividend payers.</p><p>Their dominant position within their respective industries also makes them resilient to recessions and economic downturns.</p><p>Here are four stocks that have increased their dividends unfailingly for a quarter of a century or more.</p><p><b>Linde (NYSE: LIN)</b></p><p>Linde is a global industrial gases and engineering company that serves a variety of industries such as food and beverage, healthcare, manufacturing, and metals and mining.</p><p>The company’s industrial gases are used in many applications such as oxygen in hospitals and speciality gases for electronics manufacturing.</p><p>Back in February, Linde announced a 10% year on year increase in its quarterly dividend to US$1.17 per share.</p><p>This increase marks the 29th consecutive year that the company has upped its dividend.</p><p>Linda reported an encouraging set of earnings for its fiscal 2022 first quarter (1Q2022).</p><p>Sales increased by 13% year on year to US$8.2 billion while operating profit increased by the same quantum to US$1.5 billion.</p><p>Net profit climbed nearly 20% year on year to US$1.2 billion.</p><p>Despite an uncertain operating environment, Linde is raising its outlook and has guided for earnings per share of between US$11.65 to US$11.90, up 9% to 11% year on year, for 2022.</p><p><b>Medtronic (NYSE: MDT)</b></p><p>Medtronic is a global healthcare technology company that manufactures a wide range of medical devices and equipment for hospitals, clinics, and healthcare institutions.</p><p>The company’s board recently raised the quarterly dividend to US$0.68 per share, with annualised dividend amounting to US$2.72, an 8% year on year increase.</p><p>This marks the 45thconsecutive year that Medtronic has increased its dividend.</p><p>For its fiscal 2022 (FY2022) ended 30 April, Medtronic reported a 5.2% year on year increase in revenue to US$31.7 billion.</p><p>Its Cardiovascular division took up the lion’s share of total revenue at 36%, while Medical Surgery made up 28.8% and Neuroscience comprised 27.7%.</p><p>Operating profit jumped by 28.3% year on year to US$5.7 billion while net profit surged by nearly 40% year on year to US$5 billion.</p><p>Medtronic spent a total of US$2.7 billion in research and development for FY2022 and has minority investments and strategic partnerships in more than 75 companies as tuck-in acquisitions.</p><p>In the last 12 months, the company saw more than 200 product approvals for a variety of medical devices and accessories, alluding to its comprehensive product portfolio.</p><p><b>Caterpillar (NYSE; CAT)</b></p><p>Caterpillar is a leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, and industrial gas turbines.</p><p>Just last month, the company raised its quarterly dividend by 8% year on year to US$1.20 per share, marking its 28thconsecutive year of increase.</p><p>For 1Q2022, Caterpillar reported a 14% year on year boost in sales to US$13.6 billion, driven by higher sales volume as demand for equipment and services increased.</p><p>However, operating profit inched up just 2.3% year on year to US$1.86 billion due to higher cost of goods sold and research and development expenses.</p><p>Net profit remained flat year on year at US$1.54 billion.</p><p>Caterpillar plans to implement price increases to offset the increase in manufacturing costs and expects to see margin improvement in the second half of this year.</p><p><b>Kimberly-Clark (NYSE: KMB)</b></p><p>Kimberly-Clark is a consumer goods company with products that are sold in more than 175 countries.</p><p>The company manufactures family, baby and feminine care products such as tissues, sanitary pads, diapers, and paper napkins under famous brands Kleenex, Kotex, Cottonelle, and Huggies.</p><p>Kimberly-Clark recently raised its quarterly dividend from US$1.14 per share to US$1.16 and has hit a milestone where its dividend has increased without fail for five decades.</p><p>Net sales for 1Q2022 saw a 7% year on year increase to US$5.1 billion, but operating profit dipped by 10% year on year to US$693 million on a higher cost of goods.</p><p>Net profit similarly tumbled by 10% year on year to US$523 million.</p><p>The company’s near-term profits will be impacted by headwinds such as cost inflation and supply chain snarls caused by the Russia-Ukraine war.</p><p>However, it has a strategy to steadily grow its portfolio of iconic brands and expand its market presence.</p><p>Kimberly-Clark’s track record speaks for itself and investors can look forward to continued dividend increases in future years.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1602567310727","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 Resilient US Stocks That Increased Their Dividends Without Fail for 25 Years or More</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 Resilient US Stocks That Increased Their Dividends Without Fail for 25 Years or More\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-07-09 11:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/4-resilient-us-stocks-that-increased-their-dividends-without-fail-for-25-years-or-more/><strong>The Smart Investor</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>There are not many things in life that are certain, especially when it comes to investing.But as an income-seeking investor, you can turn your attention to a bunch of companies with long track records...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/4-resilient-us-stocks-that-increased-their-dividends-without-fail-for-25-years-or-more/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LIN":"Linde PLC","CAT":"卡特彼勒","KMB":"金佰利","MDT":"美敦力"},"source_url":"https://thesmartinvestor.com.sg/4-resilient-us-stocks-that-increased-their-dividends-without-fail-for-25-years-or-more/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186017963","content_text":"There are not many things in life that are certain, especially when it comes to investing.But as an income-seeking investor, you can turn your attention to a bunch of companies with long track records of paying out increasing dividends.These US companies have strong competitive moats and are reliable dividend payers.Their dominant position within their respective industries also makes them resilient to recessions and economic downturns.Here are four stocks that have increased their dividends unfailingly for a quarter of a century or more.Linde (NYSE: LIN)Linde is a global industrial gases and engineering company that serves a variety of industries such as food and beverage, healthcare, manufacturing, and metals and mining.The company’s industrial gases are used in many applications such as oxygen in hospitals and speciality gases for electronics manufacturing.Back in February, Linde announced a 10% year on year increase in its quarterly dividend to US$1.17 per share.This increase marks the 29th consecutive year that the company has upped its dividend.Linda reported an encouraging set of earnings for its fiscal 2022 first quarter (1Q2022).Sales increased by 13% year on year to US$8.2 billion while operating profit increased by the same quantum to US$1.5 billion.Net profit climbed nearly 20% year on year to US$1.2 billion.Despite an uncertain operating environment, Linde is raising its outlook and has guided for earnings per share of between US$11.65 to US$11.90, up 9% to 11% year on year, for 2022.Medtronic (NYSE: MDT)Medtronic is a global healthcare technology company that manufactures a wide range of medical devices and equipment for hospitals, clinics, and healthcare institutions.The company’s board recently raised the quarterly dividend to US$0.68 per share, with annualised dividend amounting to US$2.72, an 8% year on year increase.This marks the 45thconsecutive year that Medtronic has increased its dividend.For its fiscal 2022 (FY2022) ended 30 April, Medtronic reported a 5.2% year on year increase in revenue to US$31.7 billion.Its Cardiovascular division took up the lion’s share of total revenue at 36%, while Medical Surgery made up 28.8% and Neuroscience comprised 27.7%.Operating profit jumped by 28.3% year on year to US$5.7 billion while net profit surged by nearly 40% year on year to US$5 billion.Medtronic spent a total of US$2.7 billion in research and development for FY2022 and has minority investments and strategic partnerships in more than 75 companies as tuck-in acquisitions.In the last 12 months, the company saw more than 200 product approvals for a variety of medical devices and accessories, alluding to its comprehensive product portfolio.Caterpillar (NYSE; CAT)Caterpillar is a leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, and industrial gas turbines.Just last month, the company raised its quarterly dividend by 8% year on year to US$1.20 per share, marking its 28thconsecutive year of increase.For 1Q2022, Caterpillar reported a 14% year on year boost in sales to US$13.6 billion, driven by higher sales volume as demand for equipment and services increased.However, operating profit inched up just 2.3% year on year to US$1.86 billion due to higher cost of goods sold and research and development expenses.Net profit remained flat year on year at US$1.54 billion.Caterpillar plans to implement price increases to offset the increase in manufacturing costs and expects to see margin improvement in the second half of this year.Kimberly-Clark (NYSE: KMB)Kimberly-Clark is a consumer goods company with products that are sold in more than 175 countries.The company manufactures family, baby and feminine care products such as tissues, sanitary pads, diapers, and paper napkins under famous brands Kleenex, Kotex, Cottonelle, and Huggies.Kimberly-Clark recently raised its quarterly dividend from US$1.14 per share to US$1.16 and has hit a milestone where its dividend has increased without fail for five decades.Net sales for 1Q2022 saw a 7% year on year increase to US$5.1 billion, but operating profit dipped by 10% year on year to US$693 million on a higher cost of goods.Net profit similarly tumbled by 10% year on year to US$523 million.The company’s near-term profits will be impacted by headwinds such as cost inflation and supply chain snarls caused by the Russia-Ukraine war.However, it has a strategy to steadily grow its portfolio of iconic brands and expand its market presence.Kimberly-Clark’s track record speaks for itself and investors can look forward to continued dividend increases in future years.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9085021875,"gmtCreate":1650621420618,"gmtModify":1676534765229,"author":{"id":"4087734129298080","authorId":"4087734129298080","name":"IronRoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf9c156b794329cc799b0ee28ca0b9b2","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087734129298080","authorIdStr":"4087734129298080"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9085021875","repostId":"2229902607","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2229902607","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1650641417,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2229902607?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-22 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2229902607","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Short-term stock market jitters are a great opportunity to pick up high-growth stocks like these at a discount.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>If there&#39;s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> lesson to be learned from the recent volatility in the stock market, it&#39;s the importance of focusing on the long term. While the <b>Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector</b> index is down about 13.9% so far in 2022, it&#39;s still holding on to a gain of 423% over the last decade.</p><p>In fact, the steep declines in many individual stocks could be an opportunity to buy into long-term growth stories at a discount for the decade ahead. <b>Upstart Holdings</b> and <b>Bill.com Holdings</b> are two fintechs with unique business models and soaring growth rates, making them prime candidates.</p><p>Over the next 10 years, both stocks have the potential to deliver fivefold returns, especially if you buy them now while their stock is selling at a steep discount to levels reached in late 2021.</p><h2>The case for Upstart</h2><p>Artificial intelligence (AI) is a next-generation technology that promises to replace manual human input in many complex tasks. In this case, Upstart has developed an AI algorithm to assess the creditworthiness of potential borrowers, and it uses that information to originate loans for its banking partners.</p><p>Banks pay Upstart a fee for the service, and it&#39;s proving to be a far more effective tool than the decades-old FICO credit scoring system from <b>Fair Isaac</b>. While FICO takes into account a handful of metrics when assessing borrowers, Upstart can measure 1,600 data points and deliver a decision instantly 70% of the time. It would likely take a human assessor days or even weeks to arrive at the same result, so Upstart offers a better experience for both the customer and the lender.</p><p>The company got its start by originating unsecured personal loans, which is a $96 billion annual market. But it recently expanded into auto loan originations, which is about seven times that size. The Upstart Auto Retail sales and origination platform now serves over 410 car dealerships across the U.S., and it&#39;s growing rapidly.</p><p>Upstart would have to increase its revenue by 18% each year to turn a $200,000 investment into $1 million by 2032, assuming its price-to-sales multiple remains constant.</p><table><thead><tr><th>Metric</th><th>2017</th><th>2021</th><th>CAGR</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><p>Revenue</p></td><td><p>$57 million</p></td><td><p>$849 million</p></td><td><p>96%</p></td></tr><tr><td><p>Earnings (loss) per share</p></td><td><p>($0.56)</p></td><td><p>$2.37</p></td><td><p>N/A</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data: Upstart Holdings. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.</p><p>Upstart is crushing the 18% growth mark, nearly doubling its revenue every year since 2017. On top of that, it&#39;s now a profitable company, making it far more attractive as an investment than most tech companies.</p><p>In its 2021 presentation, Upstart highlighted new potential markets like small-business lending and mortgages, which could send its annual opportunity into the trillions of dollars. Put simply, the company&#39;s best growth might still be ahead, and with its stock down 79.8% from its all-time high, it&#39;s a great time to add it to your portfolio.</p><h2>The case for Bill.com</h2><p>Business owners are spotlighted when it comes to software services that make monotonous administrative tasks less burdensome. Bill.com has grown to become a leading provider, thanks to its flagship accounts-payable platform helping to reduce messy paper trails. Its digital inbox technology centralizes incoming invoices so they don&#39;t get lost in the shuffle of everyday operations.</p><p>Bill.com allows business owners to pay those invoices with one click, and it also integrates with top accounting software so those transactions get logged into the books automatically. In 2021, the company acquired two other businesses to aid its expansion into new verticals. It now owns Invoice2go, which helps manage accounts receivable, and Divvy, a budgeting and expense management software.</p><p>Now, Bill.com is a go-to provider for all things related to business payments, and it serves 373,500 customers.</p><table><thead><tr><th>Metric</th><th>Fiscal 2018</th><th>Fiscal 2022 (Guidance)</th><th>CAGR</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td><p>Revenue</p></td><td><p>$64 million</p></td><td><p>$600 million</p></td><td><p>74%</p></td></tr></tbody></table><p>Data: Bill.com. Fiscal years end June 30.</p><p>In the last few years, Bill.com&#39;s revenue growth has far exceeded the 18% it needs for its stock to grow fivefold over the next decade, assuming its stock valuation metrics remain where they are today. But there&#39;s even a possibility growth could accelerate.</p><p>The company has processed $181 billion in payment volume over the last 12 months, but it places its domestic opportunity at $25 trillion annually -- and a whopping $125 trillion globally. That leaves a significant runway, and since Bill.com has bolted-on two key acquisitions, it has a wider path to greater market share.</p><p>The company also operates in a pool of 70 million global business customers. Keep in mind that it hasn&#39;t even cracked its first million yet, so there&#39;s significant room for expansion.</p><p>Bill.com should kick into high gear over the next few years as it fine-tunes its new multifaceted business model. And since its stock has dipped 43.5% from its all-time high amid the tech sell-off, now might be the time to get involved.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Unstoppable Stocks That Could Turn $200,000 Into $1 Million by 2032\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-22 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/21/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2032/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If there's one lesson to be learned from the recent volatility in the stock market, it's the importance of focusing on the long term. While the Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector index is down about 13.9% ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/21/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2032/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/04/21/2-unstoppable-stocks-turn-200000-to-1-million-2032/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2229902607","content_text":"If there's one lesson to be learned from the recent volatility in the stock market, it's the importance of focusing on the long term. While the Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector index is down about 13.9% so far in 2022, it's still holding on to a gain of 423% over the last decade.In fact, the steep declines in many individual stocks could be an opportunity to buy into long-term growth stories at a discount for the decade ahead. Upstart Holdings and Bill.com Holdings are two fintechs with unique business models and soaring growth rates, making them prime candidates.Over the next 10 years, both stocks have the potential to deliver fivefold returns, especially if you buy them now while their stock is selling at a steep discount to levels reached in late 2021.The case for UpstartArtificial intelligence (AI) is a next-generation technology that promises to replace manual human input in many complex tasks. In this case, Upstart has developed an AI algorithm to assess the creditworthiness of potential borrowers, and it uses that information to originate loans for its banking partners.Banks pay Upstart a fee for the service, and it's proving to be a far more effective tool than the decades-old FICO credit scoring system from Fair Isaac. While FICO takes into account a handful of metrics when assessing borrowers, Upstart can measure 1,600 data points and deliver a decision instantly 70% of the time. It would likely take a human assessor days or even weeks to arrive at the same result, so Upstart offers a better experience for both the customer and the lender.The company got its start by originating unsecured personal loans, which is a $96 billion annual market. But it recently expanded into auto loan originations, which is about seven times that size. The Upstart Auto Retail sales and origination platform now serves over 410 car dealerships across the U.S., and it's growing rapidly.Upstart would have to increase its revenue by 18% each year to turn a $200,000 investment into $1 million by 2032, assuming its price-to-sales multiple remains constant.Metric20172021CAGRRevenue$57 million$849 million96%Earnings (loss) per share($0.56)$2.37N/AData: Upstart Holdings. CAGR = compound annual growth rate.Upstart is crushing the 18% growth mark, nearly doubling its revenue every year since 2017. On top of that, it's now a profitable company, making it far more attractive as an investment than most tech companies.In its 2021 presentation, Upstart highlighted new potential markets like small-business lending and mortgages, which could send its annual opportunity into the trillions of dollars. Put simply, the company's best growth might still be ahead, and with its stock down 79.8% from its all-time high, it's a great time to add it to your portfolio.The case for Bill.comBusiness owners are spotlighted when it comes to software services that make monotonous administrative tasks less burdensome. Bill.com has grown to become a leading provider, thanks to its flagship accounts-payable platform helping to reduce messy paper trails. Its digital inbox technology centralizes incoming invoices so they don't get lost in the shuffle of everyday operations.Bill.com allows business owners to pay those invoices with one click, and it also integrates with top accounting software so those transactions get logged into the books automatically. In 2021, the company acquired two other businesses to aid its expansion into new verticals. It now owns Invoice2go, which helps manage accounts receivable, and Divvy, a budgeting and expense management software.Now, Bill.com is a go-to provider for all things related to business payments, and it serves 373,500 customers.MetricFiscal 2018Fiscal 2022 (Guidance)CAGRRevenue$64 million$600 million74%Data: Bill.com. Fiscal years end June 30.In the last few years, Bill.com's revenue growth has far exceeded the 18% it needs for its stock to grow fivefold over the next decade, assuming its stock valuation metrics remain where they are today. But there's even a possibility growth could accelerate.The company has processed $181 billion in payment volume over the last 12 months, but it places its domestic opportunity at $25 trillion annually -- and a whopping $125 trillion globally. That leaves a significant runway, and since Bill.com has bolted-on two key acquisitions, it has a wider path to greater market share.The company also operates in a pool of 70 million global business customers. Keep in mind that it hasn't even cracked its first million yet, so there's significant room for expansion.Bill.com should kick into high gear over the next few years as it fine-tunes its new multifaceted business model. And since its stock has dipped 43.5% from its all-time high amid the tech sell-off, now might be the time to get involved.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":873,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9086510144,"gmtCreate":1650468934887,"gmtModify":1676534731400,"author":{"id":"4087734129298080","authorId":"4087734129298080","name":"IronRoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf9c156b794329cc799b0ee28ca0b9b2","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087734129298080","authorIdStr":"4087734129298080"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9086510144","repostId":"1105569285","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105569285","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1650468622,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1105569285?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-04-20 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is The End Near For Musk And Tesla?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105569285","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryDespite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Summary</p><ul><li>Despite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.</li><li>While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.</li><li>The hype around Musk’s stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead of Tesla.</li></ul><p>For years, Elon Musk has used hype to prop up Tesla’s stock. It’s worked so well that other companies have followed his lead. But now, we think the world has seen that the emperor has no clothes. The attempted Twitter (TWTR) takeover is yet another example of Musk bullying his way into what he wants and underscores how his super-star status cannot always convince people to overlook his irreverent, reckless, and potentially illegal behavior. As the recent lawsuit againstMusk shows, he is not completely immune from the consequences of his actions. Despite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.</p><p><b>End of the Road for Musk</b></p><p>Most investors are keenly aware of Musk’s long history of making grand promises that don’t come true – the Roadster, the Semi, the Cybertruck, full-self driving (FSD) etc. – and at times are blatantly unethical, such as tweeting “funding secured” to go private, and pumping Doge coin. But now, we have evidence that he may have acted illegally in the way he reported his purchases of Twitter stock. Given the clear rules about how investors should report large stakes in public companies – like what Musk has in Twitter – this case seems straightforward: Musk broke the rules.</p><p>The next question is how severely he will be punished. If the past is any guide, regulators will not muster more than a slap on the wrist. The real question is how institutional investors will react to signs Musk has pushed the envelope too far.</p><p>Institutional investors own Tesla stock more often because they must, given its influence on their performance, than because they see it as a good investment. Any investor with a rigorous process can see the stock is ridiculously overvalued; so, you own it for the “Musk effect”. Accordingly, the institutional investors’ decision to sell Tesla stock will be based on when Musk’s outsized influence begins to wane.</p><p>We think that moment has come.</p><p><b>Musk Meets His Maker: Twitter</b></p><p>In our view, Musk’s repeated rule-breaking behavior has finally gone too far. Details of the case are still emerging, but Musk’s failure to disclose his more than 5% stake in Twitter arguably hurt investors who sold shares after he crossed that ownership threshold. Instead, Musk kept purchasing shares until reaching a 9% stake in Twitter before disclosing his position. The initial class-action lawsuit and the potential for more have finally gotten the attention of investors, if not regulators.</p><p>The poor reception Twitter’s employees gave the news of Musk’s stake is a very public rejection of his super-star influencer status and provide the first tangible evidence that maybe his star power has limitations. If a hostile takeover prompts a mass exodus of talent, then Musk might end up destroying the company in the process of buying it. That being said, the loudest voices in the company are not necessarily the most valuable.</p><p>As more people join lawsuits against Musk, and Twitter employees continue to express their mistrust of the company’s largest shareholder, institutional investors may seize this moment to quietly unload their shares of overvalued Tesla stock. Now is the time to sell because the price of the stock to this point has been more a reflection of Musk’s ability to draw an audience than any underlying fundamental value in the company.</p><p><b>Live by the Stunt, Die by the Stunt</b></p><p>Ultimately, it appears that as much as Twitter was the launch pad for Musk’s super influence powers, his failure thus far to win the publicity battle could mark the beginning-of-the-end of his super-star status.</p><p>Musk’s Twitter play, which is another in a long series of distractions, could end poorly for Musk. Instead of addressing Tesla’s issues, Musk appears to be attempting to position himself as a defender of free speech. The risk he faces is that instead of looking like a hero he looks more like a bully running an ego-driven takeover with little regard for the rules. While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable (more on this below), a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.</p><p>Tesla’s investors have not been impressed with Musk’s Twitter antics either, as the stock is down 11% since he announced his ownership in the social media giant. Likewise, the “Musk bump” in Twitter shares is likely to fade as investors realize the only value Musk brought was publicity, and not good publicity either. Although Twitter remains a popular platform, it has its own problems and suggestions such as removing a letter from its name can do more harm than good.</p><p><b>Why Haven’t Regulators Done Anything Before Now?</b></p><p>Tesla’s high stock price has, thus far, kept its CEO well beyond an arm’s length of regulators. Other executives in other times likely would have faced consequences for many of the things Musk has said and done. Today, Tesla’s high stock price indicates investors’ collective belief in Musk’s promises and protects Musk. Regulators don’t want to be accused of causing the company’s stock price to fall, thereby destroying the wealth of many investors and, as a result, footing the cost of defending against numerous shareholder lawsuits.</p><p>Furthermore, Musk can claim Tesla’s elevated stock price and the wealth it endows is what he needs to fulfill his outlandish promises over time. However, should Tesla’s stock price ever reflect realistic expectations for the company, authorities may feel emboldened to pursue legal or regulatory action against Musk and/or Tesla. Credible claims can be made for several offenses, including:</p><ul><li>stock and cryptocurrency manipulation</li><li>false advertising of Full Self Driving (FSD)</li><li>ignoring safety authorities</li><li>neglecting to file documentation on time related to his purchase of Twitter’s shares</li><li>and other claims of dubious veracity</li></ul><p><b>What Will Regulators Do When the Bubble Pops?</b></p><p>Musk has positioned himself as a pop-culture icon. Though society loves to build up celebrities, so too does it love tearing them down even more. Once Tesla’s stock price falls from its overly inflated levels, Musk will lose his cover that has protected him from all his unethical and arguably illegal behavior. Regulators are likely to come after Musk with knives out after all the humiliation they had to suffer at his hand.</p><p><b>Trouble on the Horizon</b></p><p>All the hype around Musk’s large stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead for Tesla. Of course, that is likely his goal. Below we discuss the fundamentals of Tesla’s business, which cannot be wished away or made irrelevant with hype.</p><p><b>Incumbents Are Catching Up:</b> Tesla’s first-mover advantage has long been cited as reason enough for investors to pile their money into the company. However, that advantage is gone, and in some cases turning into a lag. Ford (F), Rivian (RIVN), and General Motors (GM) aim to produce EV trucks in 2022, but Tesla will be on the sidelines until at least 2023 before launching its Cybertruck.</p><p>The rising competition from incumbents means the days of Tesla’s rising profitability could be numbered. For starters, 26% of the company’s GAAP earnings in 2021 were from the sale of regulatory credits, not from the underlying economics of making and selling vehicles and other ancillary services.</p><p>Once incumbents increase production of EVs they will need to purchase fewer credits from Elon. That means Tesla needs to actually start <i>selling</i> <i>cars</i>to make money. The catch-22 is that for the company to sell more cars, it first needs to increase its production capacity. If Tesla’s succeeds in selling more cars capital expenditure and working capital are primed to grow along with sales. Tesla needs to build economies of scale before it can benefit from them.</p><p><b>Market Share Losses Continue:</b> Incumbent automakers have entered the EV market with scale and are already taking market share from Tesla. Per Figure 2, Tesla’s share of global EV sales fell from 16% in 2019 to 14% in 2021.</p><p>Tesla’s share of the U.S. EV market fell from 79% in2020to 70% in2021. With light truck sales comprising more than three out of every four vehicles sold in the U.S. in January 2022, Tesla falling behind in truck EVs means its share of the U.S. market could fall further.</p><p><b>Figure 2: Tesla’s Share of the Global EV Sales</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc4dd16dde86e1ab31f85bd8a2af4aee\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"260\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA Market Share Since 2019(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC, EV-volumes.com and Statista</p><p><b>Slow Start to 2022:</b>Though Teslaforecastedan at least 50% YoY rise in deliveries in 2022, the company is feeling the effects of supply chain problems – just like every other automaker. The company delivered 310,000 vehicles in the quarter, while consensus estimates were for 313,000.</p><p><b>Reverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own at Least 57% of the Global Passenger EV Market</b></p><p>Despite the increased competition, failure to meet delivery expectations, and diminutive share of the global EV market in 2021, Tesla’s valuation implies the company will own 57% of the global passenger EV market in 2030.</p><p>Even if Tesla increases the average selling price (ASP) per vehicle to $55K vs. ($49K in 2021), Tesla’s stock price at ~$1,100/share implies the firm will sell 15 million vehicles in 2030 versus ~936k in 2021. That figure represents 57% of the projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market in 2030 and the implied vehicle sales based on a lower ASP looks even more unrealistic.</p><p>To provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price, we assume Tesla achieves profit margins 1.5x Toyota Motor Corp (TM) and triples its current auto manufacturing efficiency.</p><p>Per Figure 3, an $1,100/share price implies that, in 2030, Tesla will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:</p><ul><li>15 million vehicles – ASP of $55K (above average U.S. new car price of $47K in 2021)</li><li>7 million vehicles – ASP of $49K (equal to Tesla’s 2021 ASP[1])</li><li>21 million vehicles – ASP of $38K (equal to General Motors’ ASP[2] of $38K in 2021)</li></ul><p>If Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 26 million in 2030, the base case projection from the IEA):</p><ul><li>57% for 15 million vehicles</li><li>64% for 17 million vehicles</li><li>83% for 21 million vehicles</li></ul><p>If we assume the IEA’s best case for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 47 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:</p><ul><li>31% for 15 million vehicles</li><li>35% for 17 million vehicles</li><li>45% for 21 million vehicles</li></ul><p><b>Figure 3: Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify $1,100/Share</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bad84793f241565c81ebb0d29b01242c\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"284\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA DCF Implied Vehicle Production(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings</p><p><b>Tesla Must Generate More Profits Than Apple For Investors to Make Money</b></p><p>Below are the assumptions we use in our reverse discounted cash flow model to calculate the implied production levels above.</p><p>Bulls should understand what Tesla needs to accomplish to justify ~$1,100/share:</p><ul><li>immediately achieve a 14% NOPAT margin (1.5x Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers we cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 8%) and</li><li>grow revenue by 32% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.</li></ul><p>In this scenario, Tesla generates <i>$811 billion</i> in revenue in 2030, which is 116% of the combined revenues of Toyota, Stellantis (STLA), Ford, General Motors, and Honda (HMC) over the past twelve months. Tesla must replace the U.S. auto industry before 2030 to justify current valuations.</p><p>This scenario also implies Tesla grows net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) by 2,458% from 2021 to 2030. In this scenario, Tesla generates $112 billion in NOPAT in 2030, or 12% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $100 billion, is the highest of all companies we cover, and 65% higher than Microsoft (MSFT), the second-highest. Those companies have intertwined themselves in the lives of consumers and businesses around the world, which seems an unlikely feat for Tesla at this point.</p><p><b>TSLA Has 46% Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About Sales</b></p><p>If we assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $55k, the stock is worth just $542/share. Details:</p><ul><li>NOPAT margin improves to 14% and</li><li>revenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, then</li></ul><p>the stock is worth just $547/share today – a 46% downside to the current price. See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $62 billion, or nearly 14x its 2021 NOPAT, and just 7% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) 2021 NOPAT.</p><p><b>TSLA Has 80%+ Downside Even with 27% Market Share and Realistic Margins</b></p><p>If we estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $200/share. Here’s the math:</p><ul><li>NOPAT margin improves to 9% (equal to Toyota’s TTM margin) and</li><li>revenue grows by consensus estimates from 2022 to 2024 and</li><li>revenue grows 17% a year from 2025 to 2030, then</li></ul><p>the stock is worth just $200/share today – an 80% downside to the current price.</p><p>In this scenario, Tesla sells 7 million cars (27% of the global passenger EV market in 2030) at an ASP of $47K (average new car price in U.S. in 2021) and grows NOPAT by 24% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.</p><p>We also assume a more realistic NOPAT margin of 9% in this scenario, which is 1.3x higher than Toyota’s industry-leading five-year average NOPAT margin of 7%. Given the required capital requirements to fund manufacturing and match increased competition in the EV market, Tesla is unlikely to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 9% from 2022 to 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $200/share.</p><p>Figure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied in the above scenarios to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, we show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.</p><p><b>Figure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation Scenarios</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e43f865637ac4c84e8199df2b05d061\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>TSLA DCF Implied NOPAT(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings</p><p>Each of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s invested capital grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 49% compounded annually from 2011 to 2021 and 30% compounded annually since 2015.</p><p>An invested capital CAGR of 14% represents 1/3rdthe CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2011 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 3x more efficiently than it has so far.</p><p>In other words, we aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.</p><p><b>Tesla Won’t Be the Only One to Fall</b></p><p>Other meme stocks have taken pages from the Musk playbook and will likely suffer the same fate we expect Tesla to suffer once the game is up. GameStop (GME) promised to transform itself into an ecommerce powerhouse, yet the company continues to head in the opposite direction and earnings continue to disappoint. GameStop’s Core Earnings fell from -$200 million in fiscal 2021 to -$321 million in fiscal 2022.</p><p>Despite the company’s inability to quickly execute operational change, GameStop’s stock has remained well above a reasonable valuation thanks in part to announcing the launch of a marketplace for nonfungible tokens (NFTs) and partnerships with blockchain firms.</p><p>AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) has also run several Tesla-esque plays to prop up its stock. Indeed, the company’s CEO recently tweeted that the company is “playing on offense again” with its investment in a microcap gold mine. Before gold mines, the company got on the crypto bandwagon in 2021 by accepting Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, and Litecoin.</p><p>Beyond the repeated attempts at propping up their stocks, the fundamentally weak business models of Tesla, GameStop, and AMC Entertainment in highly competitive industries burn cash and continue to dilute shareholders whenever possible. Per Figure 5, despite combining for more than $1.1 trillion of market cap, Tesla, AMC Entertainment, and GameStop have a combined economic book value, our measure of the no growth value of a stock, of -$52 billion and -$4.3 billion of free cash flow over the past twelve months.</p><p><b>Figure 5: Meme Stock’s Market Cap, Economic Book Value &amp; FCF: TTM</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/add55782c8e6b0e8a891f84c9ec7421f\" tg-width=\"630\" tg-height=\"119\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Meme Stocks Market Cap, Economic Book Value, FCF(New Constructs, LLC)</p><p>Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings</p><p><i>This article originally published on April 14, 2022.</i></p><p><i>Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, and Matt Shuler receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector, style, or theme.</i></p><p>[1] Tesla’s ASP = (total automotive revenues – regulatory credits) / deliveries</p><p>[2] General Motors’ ASP = Vehicle, parts and accessories / wholesale vehicle sales</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs The End Near For Musk And Tesla?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-20 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501979-is-the-end-near-for-musk-and-tesla><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryDespite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501979-is-the-end-near-for-musk-and-tesla\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4501979-is-the-end-near-for-musk-and-tesla","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105569285","content_text":"SummaryDespite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable, a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.The hype around Musk’s stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead of Tesla.For years, Elon Musk has used hype to prop up Tesla’s stock. It’s worked so well that other companies have followed his lead. But now, we think the world has seen that the emperor has no clothes. The attempted Twitter (TWTR) takeover is yet another example of Musk bullying his way into what he wants and underscores how his super-star status cannot always convince people to overlook his irreverent, reckless, and potentially illegal behavior. As the recent lawsuit againstMusk shows, he is not completely immune from the consequences of his actions. Despite recent gains, investors should consider selling Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and other meme stocks now, before institutional money bails.End of the Road for MuskMost investors are keenly aware of Musk’s long history of making grand promises that don’t come true – the Roadster, the Semi, the Cybertruck, full-self driving (FSD) etc. – and at times are blatantly unethical, such as tweeting “funding secured” to go private, and pumping Doge coin. But now, we have evidence that he may have acted illegally in the way he reported his purchases of Twitter stock. Given the clear rules about how investors should report large stakes in public companies – like what Musk has in Twitter – this case seems straightforward: Musk broke the rules.The next question is how severely he will be punished. If the past is any guide, regulators will not muster more than a slap on the wrist. The real question is how institutional investors will react to signs Musk has pushed the envelope too far.Institutional investors own Tesla stock more often because they must, given its influence on their performance, than because they see it as a good investment. Any investor with a rigorous process can see the stock is ridiculously overvalued; so, you own it for the “Musk effect”. Accordingly, the institutional investors’ decision to sell Tesla stock will be based on when Musk’s outsized influence begins to wane.We think that moment has come.Musk Meets His Maker: TwitterIn our view, Musk’s repeated rule-breaking behavior has finally gone too far. Details of the case are still emerging, but Musk’s failure to disclose his more than 5% stake in Twitter arguably hurt investors who sold shares after he crossed that ownership threshold. Instead, Musk kept purchasing shares until reaching a 9% stake in Twitter before disclosing his position. The initial class-action lawsuit and the potential for more have finally gotten the attention of investors, if not regulators.The poor reception Twitter’s employees gave the news of Musk’s stake is a very public rejection of his super-star influencer status and provide the first tangible evidence that maybe his star power has limitations. If a hostile takeover prompts a mass exodus of talent, then Musk might end up destroying the company in the process of buying it. That being said, the loudest voices in the company are not necessarily the most valuable.As more people join lawsuits against Musk, and Twitter employees continue to express their mistrust of the company’s largest shareholder, institutional investors may seize this moment to quietly unload their shares of overvalued Tesla stock. Now is the time to sell because the price of the stock to this point has been more a reflection of Musk’s ability to draw an audience than any underlying fundamental value in the company.Live by the Stunt, Die by the StuntUltimately, it appears that as much as Twitter was the launch pad for Musk’s super influence powers, his failure thus far to win the publicity battle could mark the beginning-of-the-end of his super-star status.Musk’s Twitter play, which is another in a long series of distractions, could end poorly for Musk. Instead of addressing Tesla’s issues, Musk appears to be attempting to position himself as a defender of free speech. The risk he faces is that instead of looking like a hero he looks more like a bully running an ego-driven takeover with little regard for the rules. While regulators may still be too frightened to hold Musk accountable (more on this below), a change in public opinion would be far more consequential to Musk and his empire.Tesla’s investors have not been impressed with Musk’s Twitter antics either, as the stock is down 11% since he announced his ownership in the social media giant. Likewise, the “Musk bump” in Twitter shares is likely to fade as investors realize the only value Musk brought was publicity, and not good publicity either. Although Twitter remains a popular platform, it has its own problems and suggestions such as removing a letter from its name can do more harm than good.Why Haven’t Regulators Done Anything Before Now?Tesla’s high stock price has, thus far, kept its CEO well beyond an arm’s length of regulators. Other executives in other times likely would have faced consequences for many of the things Musk has said and done. Today, Tesla’s high stock price indicates investors’ collective belief in Musk’s promises and protects Musk. Regulators don’t want to be accused of causing the company’s stock price to fall, thereby destroying the wealth of many investors and, as a result, footing the cost of defending against numerous shareholder lawsuits.Furthermore, Musk can claim Tesla’s elevated stock price and the wealth it endows is what he needs to fulfill his outlandish promises over time. However, should Tesla’s stock price ever reflect realistic expectations for the company, authorities may feel emboldened to pursue legal or regulatory action against Musk and/or Tesla. Credible claims can be made for several offenses, including:stock and cryptocurrency manipulationfalse advertising of Full Self Driving (FSD)ignoring safety authoritiesneglecting to file documentation on time related to his purchase of Twitter’s sharesand other claims of dubious veracityWhat Will Regulators Do When the Bubble Pops?Musk has positioned himself as a pop-culture icon. Though society loves to build up celebrities, so too does it love tearing them down even more. Once Tesla’s stock price falls from its overly inflated levels, Musk will lose his cover that has protected him from all his unethical and arguably illegal behavior. Regulators are likely to come after Musk with knives out after all the humiliation they had to suffer at his hand.Trouble on the HorizonAll the hype around Musk’s large stake in Twitter and the speculation around his plans for the social media platform takes focus away from the troubles, which are many, ahead for Tesla. Of course, that is likely his goal. Below we discuss the fundamentals of Tesla’s business, which cannot be wished away or made irrelevant with hype.Incumbents Are Catching Up: Tesla’s first-mover advantage has long been cited as reason enough for investors to pile their money into the company. However, that advantage is gone, and in some cases turning into a lag. Ford (F), Rivian (RIVN), and General Motors (GM) aim to produce EV trucks in 2022, but Tesla will be on the sidelines until at least 2023 before launching its Cybertruck.The rising competition from incumbents means the days of Tesla’s rising profitability could be numbered. For starters, 26% of the company’s GAAP earnings in 2021 were from the sale of regulatory credits, not from the underlying economics of making and selling vehicles and other ancillary services.Once incumbents increase production of EVs they will need to purchase fewer credits from Elon. That means Tesla needs to actually start selling carsto make money. The catch-22 is that for the company to sell more cars, it first needs to increase its production capacity. If Tesla’s succeeds in selling more cars capital expenditure and working capital are primed to grow along with sales. Tesla needs to build economies of scale before it can benefit from them.Market Share Losses Continue: Incumbent automakers have entered the EV market with scale and are already taking market share from Tesla. Per Figure 2, Tesla’s share of global EV sales fell from 16% in 2019 to 14% in 2021.Tesla’s share of the U.S. EV market fell from 79% in2020to 70% in2021. With light truck sales comprising more than three out of every four vehicles sold in the U.S. in January 2022, Tesla falling behind in truck EVs means its share of the U.S. market could fall further.Figure 2: Tesla’s Share of the Global EV SalesTSLA Market Share Since 2019(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC, EV-volumes.com and StatistaSlow Start to 2022:Though Teslaforecastedan at least 50% YoY rise in deliveries in 2022, the company is feeling the effects of supply chain problems – just like every other automaker. The company delivered 310,000 vehicles in the quarter, while consensus estimates were for 313,000.Reverse DCF Math: Valuation Implies Tesla Will Own at Least 57% of the Global Passenger EV MarketDespite the increased competition, failure to meet delivery expectations, and diminutive share of the global EV market in 2021, Tesla’s valuation implies the company will own 57% of the global passenger EV market in 2030.Even if Tesla increases the average selling price (ASP) per vehicle to $55K vs. ($49K in 2021), Tesla’s stock price at ~$1,100/share implies the firm will sell 15 million vehicles in 2030 versus ~936k in 2021. That figure represents 57% of the projected base case global EV passenger vehicle market in 2030 and the implied vehicle sales based on a lower ASP looks even more unrealistic.To provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations reflected in Tesla’s stock price, we assume Tesla achieves profit margins 1.5x Toyota Motor Corp (TM) and triples its current auto manufacturing efficiency.Per Figure 3, an $1,100/share price implies that, in 2030, Tesla will sell the following number of vehicles based on these ASP benchmarks:15 million vehicles – ASP of $55K (above average U.S. new car price of $47K in 2021)7 million vehicles – ASP of $49K (equal to Tesla’s 2021 ASP[1])21 million vehicles – ASP of $38K (equal to General Motors’ ASP[2] of $38K in 2021)If Tesla achieves those EV sales, the implied market share for the company would be the following (assuming global passenger EV sales reach 26 million in 2030, the base case projection from the IEA):57% for 15 million vehicles64% for 17 million vehicles83% for 21 million vehiclesIf we assume the IEA’s best case for global passenger EV sales in 2030, 47 million vehicles, the above vehicle sales represent:31% for 15 million vehicles35% for 17 million vehicles45% for 21 million vehiclesFigure 3: Tesla’s Implied Vehicle Sales in 2030 to Justify $1,100/ShareTSLA DCF Implied Vehicle Production(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filingsTesla Must Generate More Profits Than Apple For Investors to Make MoneyBelow are the assumptions we use in our reverse discounted cash flow model to calculate the implied production levels above.Bulls should understand what Tesla needs to accomplish to justify ~$1,100/share:immediately achieve a 14% NOPAT margin (1.5x Toyota’s margin, which is the highest of the large-scale automakers we cover), compared to Tesla’s TTM margin of 8%) andgrow revenue by 32% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.In this scenario, Tesla generates $811 billion in revenue in 2030, which is 116% of the combined revenues of Toyota, Stellantis (STLA), Ford, General Motors, and Honda (HMC) over the past twelve months. Tesla must replace the U.S. auto industry before 2030 to justify current valuations.This scenario also implies Tesla grows net operating profit after-tax (NOPAT) by 2,458% from 2021 to 2030. In this scenario, Tesla generates $112 billion in NOPAT in 2030, or 12% higher than Apple’s (AAPL) TTM NOPAT, which, at $100 billion, is the highest of all companies we cover, and 65% higher than Microsoft (MSFT), the second-highest. Those companies have intertwined themselves in the lives of consumers and businesses around the world, which seems an unlikely feat for Tesla at this point.TSLA Has 46% Downside If Morgan Stanley Is Right About SalesIf we assume Tesla reaches Morgan Stanley’s estimate of selling 8.1 million cars in 2030 (which implies a 31% share of the global passenger EV market in 2030), at an ASP of $55k, the stock is worth just $542/share. Details:NOPAT margin improves to 14% andrevenue grows 27% compounded annually over the next decade, thenthe stock is worth just $547/share today – a 46% downside to the current price. See the math behind this reverse DCF scenario. In this scenario, Tesla grows NOPAT to $62 billion, or nearly 14x its 2021 NOPAT, and just 7% below Alphabet’s (GOOGL) 2021 NOPAT.TSLA Has 80%+ Downside Even with 27% Market Share and Realistic MarginsIf we estimate more reasonable (but still very optimistic) margins and market share achievements for Tesla, the stock is worth just $200/share. Here’s the math:NOPAT margin improves to 9% (equal to Toyota’s TTM margin) andrevenue grows by consensus estimates from 2022 to 2024 andrevenue grows 17% a year from 2025 to 2030, thenthe stock is worth just $200/share today – an 80% downside to the current price.In this scenario, Tesla sells 7 million cars (27% of the global passenger EV market in 2030) at an ASP of $47K (average new car price in U.S. in 2021) and grows NOPAT by 24% compounded annually from 2022 to 2030.We also assume a more realistic NOPAT margin of 9% in this scenario, which is 1.3x higher than Toyota’s industry-leading five-year average NOPAT margin of 7%. Given the required capital requirements to fund manufacturing and match increased competition in the EV market, Tesla is unlikely to achieve and sustain a margin as high as 9% from 2022 to 2030. If Tesla fails to meet these expectations, then the stock is worth less than $200/share.Figure 4 compares the firm’s historical NOPAT to the NOPAT implied in the above scenarios to illustrate just how high the expectations baked into Tesla’s stock price remain. For additional context, we show Toyota’s, General Motors’, and Apple’s TTM NOPAT.Figure 4: Tesla’s Historical and Implied NOPAT: DCF Valuation ScenariosTSLA DCF Implied NOPAT(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filingsEach of the above scenarios assumes Tesla’s invested capital grows 14% compounded annually through 2030. For reference, Tesla’s invested capital grew 49% compounded annually from 2011 to 2021 and 30% compounded annually since 2015.An invested capital CAGR of 14% represents 1/3rdthe CAGR of Tesla’s property, plant, and equipment since 2011 and assumes the company can build future plants and produce cars 3x more efficiently than it has so far.In other words, we aim to provide inarguably best-case scenarios for assessing the expectations for future market share and profits reflected in Tesla’s stock market valuation.Tesla Won’t Be the Only One to FallOther meme stocks have taken pages from the Musk playbook and will likely suffer the same fate we expect Tesla to suffer once the game is up. GameStop (GME) promised to transform itself into an ecommerce powerhouse, yet the company continues to head in the opposite direction and earnings continue to disappoint. GameStop’s Core Earnings fell from -$200 million in fiscal 2021 to -$321 million in fiscal 2022.Despite the company’s inability to quickly execute operational change, GameStop’s stock has remained well above a reasonable valuation thanks in part to announcing the launch of a marketplace for nonfungible tokens (NFTs) and partnerships with blockchain firms.AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) has also run several Tesla-esque plays to prop up its stock. Indeed, the company’s CEO recently tweeted that the company is “playing on offense again” with its investment in a microcap gold mine. Before gold mines, the company got on the crypto bandwagon in 2021 by accepting Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, and Litecoin.Beyond the repeated attempts at propping up their stocks, the fundamentally weak business models of Tesla, GameStop, and AMC Entertainment in highly competitive industries burn cash and continue to dilute shareholders whenever possible. Per Figure 5, despite combining for more than $1.1 trillion of market cap, Tesla, AMC Entertainment, and GameStop have a combined economic book value, our measure of the no growth value of a stock, of -$52 billion and -$4.3 billion of free cash flow over the past twelve months.Figure 5: Meme Stock’s Market Cap, Economic Book Value & FCF: TTMMeme Stocks Market Cap, Economic Book Value, FCF(New Constructs, LLC)Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filingsThis article originally published on April 14, 2022.Disclosure: David Trainer, Kyle Guske II, and Matt Shuler receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector, style, or theme.[1] Tesla’s ASP = (total automotive revenues – regulatory credits) / deliveries[2] General Motors’ ASP = Vehicle, parts and accessories / wholesale vehicle sales","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9088420129,"gmtCreate":1650377063202,"gmtModify":1676534708647,"author":{"id":"4087734129298080","authorId":"4087734129298080","name":"IronRoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf9c156b794329cc799b0ee28ca0b9b2","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087734129298080","authorIdStr":"4087734129298080"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9088420129","repostId":"1118609787","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":603,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9081429887,"gmtCreate":1650268349396,"gmtModify":1676534682788,"author":{"id":"4087734129298080","authorId":"4087734129298080","name":"IronRoar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf9c156b794329cc799b0ee28ca0b9b2","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087734129298080","authorIdStr":"4087734129298080"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"great !","listText":"great !","text":"great !","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9081429887","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":851,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}