To The Moon

On a macro level, there were two major events in the past week that gave investors further confidence. Firstly, the market believes that the Fed will pause its rate hikes in June and has received corresponding information from FOMC members. Powell's dovish stance is based on credit tightening caused by the banking crisis, which has to some extent already had a contractionary effect, thus supporting expectations of lower peak interest rates than previously anticipated. As a result, the market reacted strongly with US bond yields rising and USD exchange rates strengthening.However, pausing rate hikes in June does not mean they will stop altogether as other officials have expressed support for continuing them. Atlanta Fed President Bostic stated that inflation may be more sticky than what mar

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In a widely anticipated move, the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the 10th time in just over a year. The Fed fund rate now stands at a target range of 5%-5.25%, which is the highest it has been since August 2007.Source: Bloomberg During the news conference that followed the meeting, Chairman Jerome Powell confirmed that "a decision on a pause was not made today." This is despite the omission of a sentence stating that “the Committee anticipates that some additional policy firming may be appropriate." It appears that the Fed has finally reached the terminal rates it had set out to achieve. S&P 500 & Nasdaq Index, Source: Bloomberg The bond markets initially priced a rate hike in the June Fed meeting. However, the sentiment soon changed into a likely rate pause

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US MARKET RECAPLast week, all the major index close in green with a deep V-shaped pattern. The blue-chip index, Dow added 0.86%, while the S&P 500 rose 0.87%. The Nasdaq advanced 1.28% as Big Tech earnings took center stage.For April, the Dow gained 2.48% to notch its best monthly stretch since January, while the benchmark index gained 1.46%. The tech-heavy index posted marginal gains.Earnings reports from major tech companies dominated much of last week’s market debate, fueling the narrative that earnings are faring better-than-feared, despite many widespread macroeconomic concerns.So far, a little over half of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with more than 79% and about 72% surpassing earnings and sales expectations, respectively. First-quarter earnings are currently on

‘’致股東信”很有用，但它們從來沒有對巴菲特可以傳授和複製的成功方法做出過令人滿意的解釋。編者按：市面上關於巴菲特的書可能已經足夠擺滿整整一個書架了，但是勞倫斯·坎寧安的新書《巴菲特的嘉年華》仍然值得一讀。跟大多數聚焦於巴菲特投資經歷和理念的書不一樣的是，這本書彙集了四十多位參加過伯克希爾股東大會的各界人士對於巴菲特的直觀感受，他們都近距離接觸過巴菲特和芒格本人。這些人中有職業投資者、合作伙伴、創業者、商學院教授和作家等等，他們的共同點除了都是伯克希爾公司的股東之外，都試圖從各自擅長的角度來理解巴菲特投資成功的祕訣。本文選自第五章專家的第一篇《投資於人》，作者普雷姆·賈因是一位會計專家，他從巴菲特身上看到了那些在財務報表上看不到的東西。1987年，當我還在賓夕法尼亞大學沃頓商學院擔任財務報表分析課的助理教授時，一位資歷較老的同事問我：“沃倫·巴菲特為何如此成功？”我回答不上來。他說服我專門研究巴菲特以找出答案。從科學角度出發，這位同事建議“我們尋找特例來深入學習”。我的研究旅程就這樣開始了。在閱讀了許多文章並與幾位研究人員交談後，我發現大多數學者都能舉出巴菲特先生獲得成功的例子，但沒有人能解釋他為什麼會成功。當時普遍的答案是，他的巨大成功應歸功於偶然的運氣。我那時並不認為這是一個令人滿意的答案，多年來這種解釋已被證明是不充分的。我認為巴菲特先生是個特例，因此決定深入挖掘。有兩個原因促使我去尋找問題的答案。第一，高尚點說，是為了教我的學生如何成功。第二，自私點說，是為我自己。我給伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司寫了封信，要來了1979年以來巴菲特先生所有的年度信件，並裝訂成冊。我還請巴菲特先生在封面上簽名，他答應了我的請求，這讓我喜出望外。每年的“致股東信”都很有用，但它們從來沒有對巴菲特先生可以傳授和複製的成功方法做出過令人滿意的解釋。從我自己的教學經驗中，我知道聽老師講課是很重要的，

U.S. stocks plunged Tuesday as the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates and letdowns from big-box retailers dampened the mood on Wall Street to start a busy holiday-shortened week. The U.S. stock and bond markets were closed on Monday for Presidents Day. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) nosedived 2%, falling below the key 4,000 level, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) shed nearly 700 points, or 2.1%. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) tanked 2.5%. Investors evaluated quarterly financials from Walmart (WMT) and the Home Depot (HD) for updates on the health of the U.S. consumer, which has so far remained resilient in the face of stubbornly high inflation — most recently evidenced by January's stunning retail sales data out last week. Walmart, however, warned Tuesday mor

Deepavali is around the corner. The Singapore market will be closed on Monday, 24 October 2022. Plea

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