Profile - To The Moon

Merlot_Ray

Merlot

Posts · 3Posts · 3
Following · 0Following · 0
Followers · 0Followers · 0

- Merlot_RayMerlot_Ray
  ·06-02
  I believe it can still go up further beyond $125
  Micron Technology Rating Upgraded by Morgan Stanley, Price Target Raised
  Morgan Stanley's Joseph Moore upgraded their rating on Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) from Strong Sell to Hold on 2024/05/20. The analyst also raised their price target by 32.7% from $98 to $130.In a
  Micron Technology Rating Upgraded by Morgan Stanley, Price Target Raised
  175 Comment
  Like
  Share
  Report
- Merlot_RayMerlot_Ray
  ·2023-03-22
  Which is more painful? Recession or Inflation?
  Fed Caught Between Inflation and Bank Crisis in Crucial Meeting
  Central bank confronts hike-or-pause choice amid turmoilRate forecasts could shift — or be suspended
  Fed Caught Between Inflation and Bank Crisis in Crucial Meeting
  191 Comment
  26
  Share
  Report
- Merlot_RayMerlot_Ray
  ·2023-03-02
  $Micron Technology(MU)$
  101 Comment
  1
  Share
  Report
No following yet

Most Discussed

Terms and Conditions·Privacy Policy

Company: TTMF Limited. Tech supported by Xiangshang Yixin.

Email：uservice@ttm.financial

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"4103375755825880","uuid":"4103375755825880","gmtCreate":1640284368558,"gmtModify":1679954409858,"name":"Merlot_Ray","pinyin":"merlotraymerlotray","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"Merlot","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8e03588df4dfc680b03b075a0e25a934","hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","hatId":"ca_profile_frame_Mpy1eK","hatName":"","vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":1,"headSize":21,"tweetSize":3,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"init","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-2","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":"Senior Tiger","description":"Join the tiger community for 1000 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.09.19","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.12.10","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":2,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.12.10","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":2,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":312259443675152,"gmtCreate":1717260948555,"gmtModify":1717296228163,"author":{"id":"4103375755825880","authorId":"4103375755825880","name":"Merlot_Ray","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8e03588df4dfc680b03b075a0e25a934","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103375755825880","authorIdStr":"4103375755825880"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I believe it can still go up further beyond $125","listText":"I believe it can still go up further beyond $125","text":"I believe it can still go up further beyond $125","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/312259443675152","repostId":"2437464147","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2437464147","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1716272580,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2437464147?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2024-05-21 14:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Micron Technology Rating Upgraded by Morgan Stanley, Price Target Raised","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2437464147","media":"WallStreetZen","summary":"Morgan Stanley's Joseph Moore upgraded their rating on Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) from Strong Sell to Hold on 2024/05/20. The analyst also raised their price target by 32.7% from $98 to $130.In a ","content":"<html><body><div><p>Morgan Stanley's Joseph Moore upgraded their rating on Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) from Strong Sell to Hold on 2024/05/20. The analyst also raised their price target by 32.7% from $98 to $130.</p><p>In a midcycle review ahead of the 2024/06/26 release of Micron Technology's Q3 2024 earnings report, Moore made a number of points to contextualize their upgrade and price target hike:</p><p>- Morgan Stanley now believes it overestimated the impact of 2023's significant losses would weigh on the stock's valuation. - Their firm now believes it underestimated both the economic and narrative elements of AI memory. - Morgan Stanley believes the company could deliver a positive preannouncement this quarter.</p><p>The analyst added that they believe that Micron is still \"fundamentally overvalued\" on long-term metrics, but acknowledged that \"high-bandwidth memory continues to drive sentiment from memory buyers, supporting sustained pricing strength.\"</p><p>This rating change comes as 95.5% of top-rated analysts currently rate MU as a Strong Buy or Buy, with only 4.5% considering it a Hold. No analysts recommend or strongly recommend selling the stock.</p><p>Year-over-year, the stock is up 94.8%, significantly outpacing the S&amp;P 500, which is up 26.6%.</p><p>Joseph Moore, the Morgan Stanley analyst behind the upgrade, is ranked in the top 5% of Wall Street analysts by WallStreetZen. With an average return of 12.7% and a 55.6% win rate, Moore specializes in the Industrials and Healthcare sectors, among others.</p><p>Micron Technology, Inc., the subject of this rating upgrade, is a global leader in memory and storage products. The company operates through four segments: Compute and Networking Business Unit, Mobile Business Unit, Storage Business Unit, and Embedded Business Unit. Its product offerings include DRAM products, NAND products, and NOR memory products, catering to various markets such as cloud servers, enterprise, client, graphics, networking, automotive, industrial, and consumer.</p><p>Micron's stock has shown impressive growth over the past year, with a 94.8% increase. This upward trend has outperformed the broader market represented by the S&amp;P 500, which has risen by 26.6% during the same period.</p></div></body></html>","source":"wallstreetzen_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Micron Technology Rating Upgraded by Morgan Stanley, Price Target Raised</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMicron Technology Rating Upgraded by Morgan Stanley, Price Target Raised\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-05-21 14:23 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.wallstreetzen.com/news/micron-technology-rating-upgraded-by-morgan-stanley-price-target-raised><strong>WallStreetZen</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Morgan Stanley's Joseph Moore upgraded their rating on Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) from Strong Sell to Hold on 2024/05/20. The analyst also raised their price target by 32.7% from $98 to $130.In a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wallstreetzen.com/news/micron-technology-rating-upgraded-by-morgan-stanley-price-target-raised\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1542978709-19c95dc3bc7e?crop=entropy&cs=tinysrgb&fit=crop&fm=jpg&ixid=M3w0NDY2OTN8MHwxfGFsbHx8fHx8fHx8fDE3MDQ0MzcyNjh8&ixlib=rb-4.0.3&q=80&w=260&utm_source=wallstreetzen&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=api-credit&h=180","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","TGT":"塔吉特"},"source_url":"https://www.wallstreetzen.com/news/micron-technology-rating-upgraded-by-morgan-stanley-price-target-raised","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2437464147","content_text":"Morgan Stanley's Joseph Moore upgraded their rating on Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) from Strong Sell to Hold on 2024/05/20. The analyst also raised their price target by 32.7% from $98 to $130.In a midcycle review ahead of the 2024/06/26 release of Micron Technology's Q3 2024 earnings report, Moore made a number of points to contextualize their upgrade and price target hike:- Morgan Stanley now believes it overestimated the impact of 2023's significant losses would weigh on the stock's valuation. - Their firm now believes it underestimated both the economic and narrative elements of AI memory. - Morgan Stanley believes the company could deliver a positive preannouncement this quarter.The analyst added that they believe that Micron is still \"fundamentally overvalued\" on long-term metrics, but acknowledged that \"high-bandwidth memory continues to drive sentiment from memory buyers, supporting sustained pricing strength.\"This rating change comes as 95.5% of top-rated analysts currently rate MU as a Strong Buy or Buy, with only 4.5% considering it a Hold. No analysts recommend or strongly recommend selling the stock.Year-over-year, the stock is up 94.8%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500, which is up 26.6%.Joseph Moore, the Morgan Stanley analyst behind the upgrade, is ranked in the top 5% of Wall Street analysts by WallStreetZen. With an average return of 12.7% and a 55.6% win rate, Moore specializes in the Industrials and Healthcare sectors, among others.Micron Technology, Inc., the subject of this rating upgrade, is a global leader in memory and storage products. The company operates through four segments: Compute and Networking Business Unit, Mobile Business Unit, Storage Business Unit, and Embedded Business Unit. Its product offerings include DRAM products, NAND products, and NOR memory products, catering to various markets such as cloud servers, enterprise, client, graphics, networking, automotive, industrial, and consumer.Micron's stock has shown impressive growth over the past year, with a 94.8% increase. This upward trend has outperformed the broader market represented by the S&P 500, which has risen by 26.6% during the same period.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9943219594,"gmtCreate":1679476456420,"gmtModify":1679476585846,"author":{"id":"4103375755825880","authorId":"4103375755825880","name":"Merlot_Ray","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8e03588df4dfc680b03b075a0e25a934","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103375755825880","authorIdStr":"4103375755825880"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Which is more painful? Recession or Inflation?","listText":"Which is more painful? Recession or Inflation?","text":"Which is more painful? Recession or Inflation?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":26,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9943219594","repostId":"1115636242","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1115636242","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1679473643,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1115636242?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2023-03-22 16:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed Caught Between Inflation and Bank Crisis in Crucial Meeting","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1115636242","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Central bank confronts hike-or-pause choice amid turmoilRate forecasts could shift — or be suspended","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>Central bank confronts hike-or-pause choice amid turmoil</li><li>Rate forecasts could shift — or be suspended altogether</li></ul><p>All eyes in the financial and economic world will be laser-focused Wednesday on the Federal Reserve as Chair Jerome Powell tries to balance his fight against inflation against a sudden banking crisis.</p><p>Powell and his colleagues began their meeting Tuesday with the outcome unusually unclear. While most economists expect a quarter-point interest-rate hike, some say policymakers should pause to shore up financial stability.</p><p>“This tension is leading to existential angst,” said Derek Tang, an economist at LH Meyer/Monetary Policy Analytics in Washington. “Have they gone too far, or not far enough? Both could be true at the same time.”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ecb4316b865c805cdeb4350c2f9c6dd3\" tg-width=\"955\" tg-height=\"664\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Another important element of this week’s meeting: Policymakers are set to issue updated rate projections for the first time since December, offering crucial guidance on whether they still expect any additional hikes this year.</p><p>The decision and forecasts will be released at 2 p.m. in Washington. Powell will hold a press conference 30 minutes later.</p><h2>Market Odds</h2><p>As of Tuesday afternoon, markets were pricing in about 80% odds that the Fed will raise rates by a quarter point, to a range of 4.75% to 5%, the highest since 2007 on the eve of the global financial crisis.</p><p>Still, uncertainty over the decision is among the highest since the Covid-19 pandemic sparked emergency rate cuts in 2020.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f4fa02a2024bd7198ed172dad4ff4862\" tg-width=\"1200\" tg-height=\"675\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Expectations for rate hikes among investors and economists have declined over the last two weeks, amid the collapse of three US regional banks and the takeover of Switzerland’sCredit Suisse Group AG.</p><p>Until the bank turmoil erupted, officials were expected to continue — or even potentially step up — their yearlong campaign to raise interest rates and dampen rising prices.</p><p>“The difficult thing for the FOMC at this meeting will be the tension between bringing down inflation and financial stability risks,” said Jonathan Millar, a senior economist at Barclays Plc in New York.</p><blockquote><b>What Bloomberg Economics Says...</b></blockquote><blockquote>“There are no easy options. A pause could signal that the Fed is not confident in the resiliency of the banking system or the economy, or sees problems that aren’t yet visible to the market. On the other hand, a hike could add to bank stress and spook investors.”</blockquote><blockquote>— Anna Wong, chief US economist. For full analysis</blockquote><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists took a look at how the Fed has reacted during past episodes of financial stress.</p><p>“The historical record suggests that the FOMC tends to avoid tightening monetary policy in times of financial stress and prefers to wait until the extent of the problem becomes clear, unless it is confident that other policy tools will successfully contain financial stability risks,” economists Manuel Abecasis and Tim Krupa wrote in a note.</p><h2>FOMC Forecasts</h2><p>In early March, Powell said the policy group might raise rates higher than previously expected, indicating the “dot plot” could move above the 5.1% median forecast officials penciled in for the end of 2023. Recent tightening in financial conditions in the wake of the bank crisis, if it lasts, would suggest there’s less need to go higher.</p><p>“The difficulty there is not just what’s happening in the financial markets right now, but also estimating to what extent banks might curtail lending as a result,” said Sonia Meskin, head of US Macro at BNY Mellon.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6c7143083404772fdf628653de24f9cc\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, estimated that the crisis was equivalent to a 1.5 percentage-point increase in the Fed’s target interest rate.</p><p>The Fed could choose to suspend its projections as it did in March 2020, when Powell said “the economic outlook is evolving on a daily basis” due to the pandemic and writing down a forecast didn’t seem useful.</p><p>Releasing projections now “could just add more confusion than clarity,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG LLP.</p><h2>FOMC Statement</h2><p>The FOMC statement is likely to see substantial changes, and the committee could choose to drop its pledge of “ongoing increases” and substitute softer or conditional language that still hints at further tightening.</p><p>The Fed will probably also say it’s “closely monitoring developments in financial markets and their implications for the economic outlook,” Millar said.</p><h2>Dissents</h2><p>With the FOMC facing tough choices, the judgment could prompt dissent, which has been rare in the past two years. A possible dovish dissent may come from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, while Neel Kashkari, the Minneapolis Fed president, could argue for a more hawkish move.</p><h2>Balance Sheet</h2><p>The Fed’s balance sheet, which had been steadily declining on the central bank’s gradual reductions of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, has rebounded to almost $8.6 trillion with the latest emergency actions to prop up the banking system.</p><p>Even so, the FOMC views its so-called quantitative tightening as a separate matter that’s happening in the background, and this is likely to continue with no changes, economists said.</p><p>“I expect that quantitative tightening will continue,” former New York Fed President Bill Dudley, a senior adviser to Bloomberg Economics, said in a Bloomberg Television interview.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82c177b6dfa6992e3cddb510ef377cf1\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><h2>Press Conference</h2><p>Powell is likely to be grilled on how the latest turmoil affects financial conditions and the economic outlook and whether he sees a path to reducing inflation without causing a recession.</p><p>His job is to “clearly separate the financial instability issue and the measures taken to address that from the inflation problem and the strong economy,” said Ellen Meade, economics professor at Duke University and former senior Fed staff member.</p><p>He’s also certain to get tough questions on why supervisors at the San Francisco Fed failed to spot or head off problems at Silicon Valley Bank, which suffered losses on securities when interest rates rose. Senator Elizabeth Warren has blasted Powell for “an astonishing list of failures” that she says helped fuel the current crisis.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed Caught Between Inflation and Bank Crisis in Crucial Meeting</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed Caught Between Inflation and Bank Crisis in Crucial Meeting\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-03-22 16:27 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-21/fed-caught-between-inflation-and-bank-crisis-decision-day-guide?srnd=premium-asia><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Central bank confronts hike-or-pause choice amid turmoilRate forecasts could shift — or be suspended altogetherAll eyes in the financial and economic world will be laser-focused Wednesday on the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-21/fed-caught-between-inflation-and-bank-crisis-decision-day-guide?srnd=premium-asia\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-21/fed-caught-between-inflation-and-bank-crisis-decision-day-guide?srnd=premium-asia","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1115636242","content_text":"Central bank confronts hike-or-pause choice amid turmoilRate forecasts could shift — or be suspended altogetherAll eyes in the financial and economic world will be laser-focused Wednesday on the Federal Reserve as Chair Jerome Powell tries to balance his fight against inflation against a sudden banking crisis.Powell and his colleagues began their meeting Tuesday with the outcome unusually unclear. While most economists expect a quarter-point interest-rate hike, some say policymakers should pause to shore up financial stability.“This tension is leading to existential angst,” said Derek Tang, an economist at LH Meyer/Monetary Policy Analytics in Washington. “Have they gone too far, or not far enough? Both could be true at the same time.”Another important element of this week’s meeting: Policymakers are set to issue updated rate projections for the first time since December, offering crucial guidance on whether they still expect any additional hikes this year.The decision and forecasts will be released at 2 p.m. in Washington. Powell will hold a press conference 30 minutes later.Market OddsAs of Tuesday afternoon, markets were pricing in about 80% odds that the Fed will raise rates by a quarter point, to a range of 4.75% to 5%, the highest since 2007 on the eve of the global financial crisis.Still, uncertainty over the decision is among the highest since the Covid-19 pandemic sparked emergency rate cuts in 2020.Expectations for rate hikes among investors and economists have declined over the last two weeks, amid the collapse of three US regional banks and the takeover of Switzerland’sCredit Suisse Group AG.Until the bank turmoil erupted, officials were expected to continue — or even potentially step up — their yearlong campaign to raise interest rates and dampen rising prices.“The difficult thing for the FOMC at this meeting will be the tension between bringing down inflation and financial stability risks,” said Jonathan Millar, a senior economist at Barclays Plc in New York.What Bloomberg Economics Says...“There are no easy options. A pause could signal that the Fed is not confident in the resiliency of the banking system or the economy, or sees problems that aren’t yet visible to the market. On the other hand, a hike could add to bank stress and spook investors.”— Anna Wong, chief US economist. For full analysisGoldman Sachs Group Inc. economists took a look at how the Fed has reacted during past episodes of financial stress.“The historical record suggests that the FOMC tends to avoid tightening monetary policy in times of financial stress and prefers to wait until the extent of the problem becomes clear, unless it is confident that other policy tools will successfully contain financial stability risks,” economists Manuel Abecasis and Tim Krupa wrote in a note.FOMC ForecastsIn early March, Powell said the policy group might raise rates higher than previously expected, indicating the “dot plot” could move above the 5.1% median forecast officials penciled in for the end of 2023. Recent tightening in financial conditions in the wake of the bank crisis, if it lasts, would suggest there’s less need to go higher.“The difficulty there is not just what’s happening in the financial markets right now, but also estimating to what extent banks might curtail lending as a result,” said Sonia Meskin, head of US Macro at BNY Mellon.Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, estimated that the crisis was equivalent to a 1.5 percentage-point increase in the Fed’s target interest rate.The Fed could choose to suspend its projections as it did in March 2020, when Powell said “the economic outlook is evolving on a daily basis” due to the pandemic and writing down a forecast didn’t seem useful.Releasing projections now “could just add more confusion than clarity,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist at KPMG LLP.FOMC StatementThe FOMC statement is likely to see substantial changes, and the committee could choose to drop its pledge of “ongoing increases” and substitute softer or conditional language that still hints at further tightening.The Fed will probably also say it’s “closely monitoring developments in financial markets and their implications for the economic outlook,” Millar said.DissentsWith the FOMC facing tough choices, the judgment could prompt dissent, which has been rare in the past two years. A possible dovish dissent may come from Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, while Neel Kashkari, the Minneapolis Fed president, could argue for a more hawkish move.Balance SheetThe Fed’s balance sheet, which had been steadily declining on the central bank’s gradual reductions of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, has rebounded to almost $8.6 trillion with the latest emergency actions to prop up the banking system.Even so, the FOMC views its so-called quantitative tightening as a separate matter that’s happening in the background, and this is likely to continue with no changes, economists said.“I expect that quantitative tightening will continue,” former New York Fed President Bill Dudley, a senior adviser to Bloomberg Economics, said in a Bloomberg Television interview.Press ConferencePowell is likely to be grilled on how the latest turmoil affects financial conditions and the economic outlook and whether he sees a path to reducing inflation without causing a recession.His job is to “clearly separate the financial instability issue and the measures taken to address that from the inflation problem and the strong economy,” said Ellen Meade, economics professor at Duke University and former senior Fed staff member.He’s also certain to get tough questions on why supervisors at the San Francisco Fed failed to spot or head off problems at Silicon Valley Bank, which suffered losses on securities when interest rates rose. Senator Elizabeth Warren has blasted Powell for “an astonishing list of failures” that she says helped fuel the current crisis.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9940383761,"gmtCreate":1677693408754,"gmtModify":1677693456380,"author":{"id":"4103375755825880","authorId":"4103375755825880","name":"Merlot_Ray","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8e03588df4dfc680b03b075a0e25a934","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4103375755825880","authorIdStr":"4103375755825880"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/MU\">$Micron Technology(MU)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","text":"$Micron Technology(MU)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9940383761","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":101,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}