I think all eyes are on CPI data, however, high interest rates and quantitative tightening have sucked liquidity out of the market, and it seems the rally in Jan is running out of steam, so for Feb, it might be a pull back.
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What is the outlook for US stock in the next month?So far in June, various economic activity index have generally weakened, while some indicators predicting inflation have not risen significantly.The market's trend this month can be summarized as an "inflation top + recession trading pattern" or a "double downward inflation and economic trading pattern".In this context, the rally in stock markets and the downward movement of the dollar index are proceeding in parallel (Figure 1). In particular, Treasury yields in the G7 countries have also continued to move downward, with the yield curve extremely flat or even inverted (Figure 2).Figure 1: Since July, US stocks have rallied; the U.S. dollar index has retraced.(