To The Moon

The Market Is Stuck. Nvidia Holds the Key. But Watch Out. This week, bonds called the shots. Next week, all eyes turn to **Jensen Huang** and his AI empire. Since the last earnings report, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ stock has gone nowhere. Yet options markets are pricing in a ±5.3% swing by Friday’s close. That’s a $562 billion market cap move, up or down. NVDA The Bull Case: Everything Looks Perfect Nvidia carries a 7.6% weight in the S&P 500. Its forward P/E has cooled to ~20, way below the 5-year average of 63. The stock hasn’t rallied into earnings, less risk of a "buy the rumor, sell the news" flush. On paper, Nvidia has everything it needs to reignite the broader market. But Here’s the Catch, According to Bespoke Nvidia is a "triple-play king": Beat

[Silence] Here's the question I really want to hear from investors: If the 10-year Treasury stays near 5%, which part of the market breaks first? AI / Big Tech $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$   $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ Infrastructure Housing Consumer High-growth stocks Or… nothing? 👇 Drop your answer below.

The last update is great 👍. Thanks 👍 

the last update is great 👍

Wall Street went from relief to reality in less than 24 hours. Wednesday brought a Treasury-driven rally. Thursday brought the reminder investors didn't want to hear: The bond market still has the upper hand. The Dow plunged 698 points. The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ dropped 0.87%. The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ lost 1.00%. And the real warning wasn't the equity selloff. It was Treasury yields moving higher again. THE 30-YEAR TREASURY IS BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT Yields After Wednesday's Treasury buyback announcement briefly calmed bond markets, yields reversed higher. 30-year Treasury: 5.25%. 10-year Treasury: 4.70% And that's the key message. Treasury buybacks may improve liquidity. But they don't magically solve the struct

After two ugly sessions, Wall Street finally caught a break. Three completely different catalysts suddenly aligned: A blockbuster biotech surprise A more dovish interpretation of the Fed A major Treasury move that pushed bond yields lower Dow: +0.22%. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +0.21%. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ Not a huge rally. But the message underneath it is much more interesting: When yields fall, risk appetite can come back very quickly. MODERNA JUST DID SOMETHING ALMOST UNHEARD OF The day's biggest story was $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ . Shares exploded: +177. That's extraordinary. Positive interim Phase 3 results for a cancer vaccine. Moderna became only the second stock in

Stocks are now 0-for-2 this week. Market And once again, the same three forces are driving the market: Bond yields Oil prices Semiconductor weakness $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ The Nasdaq took the biggest hit, falling 1.33%. But the real story isn't simply that tech sold off. It's that the market is beginning to question whether the AI trade has become too crowded, and too expensive. TECH TAKES ANOTHER HIT Tuesday's numbers: $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -1.33%. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.69%. Dow Jones: -0.22% Technology was the worst-performing major sector, falling 1.9%. $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ And sem

Another sleepy August session. The major indexes slipped. Trading volume was thin. Most stocks barely moved. But underneath the surface, three important stories are developing: SOX Semiconductors are back in a bull market. $Philadelphia Semiconductor Index(SOX)$ Oil is climbing again. The 30-year Treasury yield just hit a level not seen since 2007. That combination deserves attention. THE MARKET LOOKED WEAK, BUT THE DETAILS MATTER Monday's numbers: Dow Jones: -0.51%. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.52%. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -0.32% At first glance, nothing dramatic. But trading volume tells the real story. Only 13.83 billion shares changed hands. The year-to-date average,

The S&P 500 pulled back slightly from its record high on Friday. But don't mistake a quiet session for a weak market. The index just posted its third consecutive weekly gain. And perhaps the most interesting number right now isn't the S&P 500. It's the VIX. At 14.25, volatility has fallen to its lowest level since December. Wall Street is almost… too comfortable. ANOTHER WEEK, ANOTHER GAIN $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.17%. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -0.28% and Dow Jones: -0.20% But zoom out. The S&P 500 has now delivered three straight weeks of gains and remains close to record territory. More importantly, investors barely reacted to several potentially negative headlines. Retail sales unexpectedly decli

The S&P 500 just hit another record high. And investors are celebrating. But the reason is more interesting than the headline. Inflation is cooling. The Fed is under less pressure to hike. And Wall Street is betting the economy can keep running hot. The question is: How long can this perfect setup last? ANOTHER RECORD FOR THE S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +0.65% Nasdaq: +0.81% Dow Jones: +0.13% The S&P 500 recorded its 27th record close of the year. And this wasn't just a handful of stocks pushing the index higher. Most S&P 500 sectors finished in positive territory, with technology leading the charge. Chip stocks and software names were particularly strong. The summer rally is alive. $NVIDIA(