To The Moon

$GOOG 20261016 350.0 PUT$ 

I am heavily leaning toward the structural upside case, but I am keeping macro volatility in mind. Looking at the related stocks in image_16.png, Tesla Motors is sitting flat at $394.08 (-0.17%), while proxy names like Rocket Lab (RKLB) are showing signs of stabilization at $76.99 (+0.34%). The mechanical selling below $150 provides a highly favorable risk-reward entry window. I am building a direct position in SPCX right here at these technical support levels. Rather than fearing the bubble warnings, I am treating this geopolitical pullback as an institutional-grade opportunity to buy a unique generational asset before a mega-merger conversation takes center stage.

Is the party over? No, it just got a lot cheaper to get in. I am treating this steep correction as a major, high-conviction buying opportunity. While the 2x fund lost a third of its value in a single session, the structural thesis for physical memory names remains entirely intact.

SpaceX is the definitive foundational infrastructure play of the next half-century. However, buying the stock at current levels requires acknowledging that Wall Street's current targets are built on assumptions stretching out to 2045—not today's balance sheet. Do not treat this like a standard tech stock; treat it like a long-term infrastructure monopoly.

The self-driving story isn't just back—it's finally being monetized. Wall Street has been discounting Tesla's FSD and autonomy potential for years, treating it purely as a car company. The Miami Robotaxi launch is the exact catalyst needed to permanently shift TSLA into a high-margin AI and robotics valuation. Paired with stable Q2 delivery data, the downside risk looks increasingly capped. $400 is just the floor now.

The divergence between Wall Street’s "buy" ratings and BofA’s cautious target perfectly highlights the valuation struggle with a company like SpaceX. On one hand, Starlink dominates global satellite internet, and Starship represents a complete monopoly on heavy-lift launch capability.On the other hand, a $152 price point prices in absolute perfection for years to come. The decision by some new ETFs to explicitly exclude Musk-linked assets adds an extra layer of non-fundamental risk (key-man risk and political volatility). I wouldn't call it a "falling knife" just yet given the underlying fundamentals, but chasing this specific rebound without seeing a consolidated base form is highly risky.

A 7x oversubscription for a $26.5B raise is absolutely massive and proves that institutional appetite for the AI infrastructure layer is nowhere near satisfied. SK Hynix essentially owns the high-end HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) market right now, so this Nasdaq debut acts as a massive validation for the entire sector. However, whether this marks a "super-cycle" or "peak sentiment" depends entirely on Nvidia's upcoming architectural rollouts and hyperscaler capex guidance. If AI demand holds, Micron and SanDisk still have room to run. But if supply catches up by late 2026, we could see a classic memory cyclical downturn. For now, momentum is firmly with the bulls.

$GOOG 20261016 345.0 PUT$ 

$GOOG 20261120 330.0 PUT$ 

$GOOG 20260731 350.0 PUT$