PamelaOng

No Fear No Gain?

    • PamelaOngPamelaOng
      ·11-13 07:06
      $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Signal: modestly bullish options positioning, but not an unusually expensive volatility setup. A 1.50 call/put ratio means call trading exceeded put trading, which usually reflects a more constructive near-term bias. But it is not a standalone directional forecast: calls can be sold as covered calls or spreads, and puts can be used for hedges. For Tesla (TSLA) watchlist : 47% IV: this is the market’s annualised estimate of future variability, not an expected return or a bullish signal by itself. Against TSLA’s 52-week IV range of 41.49%–67.06% and median of 49.34%, 47% is broadly normal-to-moderate rather than an extreme fear/event premium. 1.50 call/put ratio: calls were 1.5 times puts by trading volume for that session—
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    • PamelaOngPamelaOng
      ·11-13 07:06
      $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ Base case: Berkshire’s next major capital deployment is more likely to remain a barbell—short-dated Treasury liquidity plus selective buybacks and operating-business investment—than an imminent, cash-consuming mega-acquisition. The Q3 buyback signals that management sees value in retiring shares, but the cash pile is so large that it preserves substantial optionality rather than committing Berkshire to a new strategy. For Berkshire Hathaway Class B (BRK.B) watchlist , cash and short-term investments reached US$377.44 billion at 2026-09-30, equivalent to 28.9% of total assets. Q3 repurchases were reported at US$9.6 billion , the year’s highest quarterly level; that is only 2.5% of the period-end cash reserve. Tiger
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    • PamelaOngPamelaOng
      ·11-13 07:06
      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) watchlist closed at $757.12 on 2026-11-13. That places it $11.08 , or 1.46% , below the $768.20 resistance level. So SPY is relatively close to that resistance: a move of roughly 1.5% would retest it. The live quote service identifies nearby resistance at $767.25 , broadly consistent with your $768.20 reference. Today’s high was $763.04 , meaning it approached the zone but did not reach it. The stated 52-week high of $781.62 is further away—SPY is 3.24% below it based on the latest close, rather than 2.8%. Short-term technical readings describe a volatile rising trend, while the medium-term trend remains a rebound within a broader decline. A sustained close above roughly $767–
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    • PamelaOngPamelaOng
      ·11-13 07:06
      $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA (NVDA) watchlist fell 4.34% to US$166.19 primarily on a company-specific leadership shock , not a broad reassessment of technology demand. News reports said investors were reacting to Jensen Huang’s sudden departure and uncertainty around possible board action—creating governance, execution and customer-confidence risk for a company where the CEO is central to strategy and AI-platform relationships. Tiger News Tiger News The selling was unusually forceful: 747.71 million shares traded, about 2.20× the prior session’s 339.21 million shares. NVDA also swung from an intraday low of US$148.80 to a high of US$167.14 , a 10.56% intraday range. That combination is consistent with rapid repricing of an idiosyncratic risk rather
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    • PamelaOngPamelaOng
      ·11-12 14:12
      $Sprouts Farmers(SFM)$ Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) watchlist : the near-term setup is still cautious despite a technical rebound. The key issue is not valuation alone—it is the sharp reset in earnings expectations after the latest quarter. Latest close: US$51.38 on 2026-11-13, up 1.62% for the session. Technical signals describe a volatile short-term rise, but the medium-term trend remains a rebound within a decline. Q3 2026: revenue was US$2.305bn, up 4.74% YoY but 1.38% below consensus; EPS was US$1.21, down 0.82% YoY and 1.22% below consensus. EBIT also missed estimates. This points to softer-than-expected traffic/sales and margin delivery rather than an outright revenue collapse. Guidance reset: management’s FY2026 EPS outlook of about U
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    • PamelaOngPamelaOng
      ·11-12 10:12
      $Frencken(E28.SI)$ Frencken (E28.SI) watchlist — quick view Conditional view: Frencken’s balance sheet and operating profitability remain reasonable, but the share-price trend is still weak and the valuation is not obviously inexpensive for a company with near-flat latest-quarter revenue. The key near-term question is whether management can deploy its recent capital raise into earnings-accretive growth. Latest price: S$1.92 on 2026-11-12, up 1.59% on the day. It traded between S$1.84 and S$1.92, with S$1.62m turnover. Trend: The stock is down 5.88% over five trading days, 18.30% over 20 days, and 29.15% over 60 days. At S$1.92, it is 45.76% below its 52-week high of S$3.54 and sits at the 27.78th percentile of its 52-week range. The recent
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    • PamelaOngPamelaOng
      ·11-12 07:06
      $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Conditional view: weak Cybertruck sales are likely a modest direct drag on Tesla’s near-term revenue outlook, but they matter more as a margin, capacity-utilisation and execution risk than as a standalone revenue driver. The key limitation is that Tesla does not separately disclose Cybertruck revenue; it is grouped with Model S/X and Semi in “other models.” For Tesla (TSLA) watchlist , the 2026 revenue consensus is US$107.55 billion , up 13.4123% from 2025’s US$94.83 billion—an implied increase of US$12.7185 billion . Cybertruck weakness alone is unlikely to overturn that company-wide growth path because Tesla’s revenue base is much broader: In 2026Q3, automotive revenue was US$20.56 billion , or 73.3081% of total revenue
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    • PamelaOngPamelaOng
      ·11-12 07:06
      $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ Near term, the disclosure was supportive for Berkshire Hathaway Class B (BRK.B) watchlist shares, but it did not remove the market’s concern over slower operating profit. BRK.B rose from US$570.89 on 2026-11-06 to US$588.24 on 2026-11-12 , a 3.04% gain, reaching a fresh 52-week high of US$588.54 . The quarterly report was released on 2026-11-07. Buyback signal: Berkshire repurchased about US$9.6 billion of shares in Q3—the reported record quarterly pace. That is roughly 0.77% of the current US$1.25 trillion market capitalisation. Repurchases reduce share count and signal that management regarded the shares as an acceptable use of capital relative to other available opportunities. This likely helped underpin the p
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    • PamelaOngPamelaOng
      ·11-12 07:06
      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ SPY is currently quite sensitive to a “higher-for-longer” repricing, but the CPI print alone does not establish a new tightening cycle. October headline CPI rose 0.4% m/m , versus 0.3% consensus —a 10 bp upside surprise—while core CPI was also 0.3% m/m versus 0.2% expected . The Fed held its upper policy-rate bound at 4.0% on 2026-10-28. Combined with firm October payrolls (+165,000), unemployment at 4.1%, and Q3 real GDP growth of 3.4% annualised, this makes a near-term easing repricing harder to sustain. Transmission to SPY: higher expected policy rates tend to lift discount rates and Treasury yields, pressuring equity multiples—especially long-duration growth stocks that are heavily represented in the S&
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    • PamelaOngPamelaOng
      ·11-12 07:06
      $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ The consensus dataset indicates estimated year-on-year growth of 90.6% for EPS and 91.6% for revenue . The calendar’s fiscal-quarter label appears inconsistent, but the estimate series identifies these figures as FY2027 Q3. Information is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
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