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WolfyJr

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- WolfyJrWolfyJr
  ·2022-12-05
  People are too desperate for upward one direction like previous era. soon, the inevitable will happen.
  Rates And The Dollar Are Sending Warning Signs To Markets
  Powell's appearance on Wednesday was not only jaw-dropping but raised a lot of questions. Instead of
  Rates And The Dollar Are Sending Warning Signs To Markets
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- WolfyJrWolfyJr
  ·2022-11-21
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  2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?
  Buying one Bitcoin per day might just be the ultimate dollar-cost averaging strategy for crypto.
  2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?
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are too desperate&nbsp;for upward one direction like previous era. soon, the inevitable will happen.&nbsp;","listText":"People are too desperate&nbsp;for upward one direction like previous era. soon, the inevitable will happen.&nbsp;","text":"People are too desperate for upward one direction like previous era. soon, the inevitable will happen.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9967082061","repostId":"2288034469","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2288034469","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1670254323,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2288034469?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-05 23:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Rates And The Dollar Are Sending Warning Signs To Markets","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2288034469","media":"Seekingalpha","summary":"Powell's appearance on Wednesday was not only jaw-dropping but raised a lot of questions. Instead of","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Powell&#39;s appearance on Wednesday was not only jaw-dropping but raised a lot of questions. Instead of pushing back against the recent easing of financial conditions, Powell made the same comments as he did at the November FOMC meeting and even stressed caution on overtightening.</p><p>This market has come to a point where anything that is not more hawkish than expected is dovish, leading to a big pop in the S&amp;P 500 following Powell&#39;s appearance. While Powell said almost nothing new, he didn&#39;t say enough to cause the market&#39;s recent easing of financial conditions to reverse.</p><p>It was shocking to hear because at every point before November 30, when financial conditions had eased too much, Powell would push back against the market. But this time, he didn&#39;t, and by not pushing back, he is telling the market he is okay with the recent easing of financial conditions.</p><p>The real question is why Powell would be okay with financial conditions easing. It is the exact opposite of what he has been saying about his desire to raise rates into restrictive territory.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b14e7287ef2ebde557c2c762382b6f3e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>What is even stranger than that is that the jobs data on Friday showed stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll numbers. But, wages rose by 0.6% month-over-month, the hottest reading since January 2022. They also increased by 5.1% year-over-year, while last month&#39;s numbers were all revised higher.</p><p>Meanwhile, the ISM manufacturing data was weaker than expected, suggesting the US economy is inching closer to recession. The ISM report noted that the reading of 49 indicated that the REAL GDP growth in the fourth quarter was around 0.1%.</p><p>The move in the ISM report indicates that S&amp;P 500 earnings growth could turn lower in 2023 and perhaps go negative. The relationship between the ISM manufacturing survey goes back a long time, and they, too, tend to track each other very well.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34b4ece5032dcd46b930fc970e935b00\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The slowing growth and higher wages suggest the recent changes in attitude from the bond market. The data suggest the economy could be very close to or is in a recession, which is likely to squeeze margins for companies and earnings. Earnings estimates do not reflect margin compression and are still pricing a lot of margin expansion.</p><p>Analysts&#39; estimates suggest that earnings in 2023 are expected to grow by around 7%, while sales are expected to rise by about 3%. Currently, analysts&#39; estimates are pricing in margin expansion in 2023. For there to be margin expansion, costs will need to be reduced; otherwise, earnings estimates are too high and need to be slashed.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c45e0b1141d0fecf0649dd89230770d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"369\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Cutting costs usually starts with letting workers go, and the best gauge for the unemployment rate may be the spread between the 10-year and 2-Year Treasury yield spread. In recent times the spread between the 10-year and 2-year yield tends to rise just before the unemployment rate starts to increase as the market anticipates the eventual rate-cutting cycle the Fed is about to embark on.</p><p>The current inversion is the deepest it has been since the early 1980s, and it tells us that unemployment is likely to stay low for some time longer. The current yield curve inversion has even stopped falling yet.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e496080213d87b9baac15b6fab3f9aa\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>But the yield curve inversion that has started to turn higher is the 10-year minus 2-year 18-month forward curve. This forward curve tends to lead the 10-2 year nominal curve by 6 to 12 months, and currently, that forward curve has returned to a neutral level near 0% as the nominal 10-2 yield curve is trading well below the forward curve.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1859642fc4382c863b8d13598ed0c511\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"351\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>The forward curve suggests that the unemployment rate may be significantly higher over the next six months as companies look to shed the rising cost of wages as the economy slows. The data from Quant-Insight shows that the biggest drive in the recent move lower in the 10-year rate is risk aversion. An indication that the market is getting much more cautious and shifting into a risk-off regime.</p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b267e102ea6f61e2f6db897b258239ba\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"275\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Quant-Insight</p><p>Should the dollar continue to weaken and rates continue to fall, it would suggest that risk-off is taking hold. Eventually, the equity market will catch on to the risk-off sentiment, and that bad news is, again, bad news.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Rates And The Dollar Are Sending Warning Signs To Markets</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nRates And The Dollar Are Sending Warning Signs To Markets\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-05 23:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562212-rates-dollar-sending-warning-signs-markets><strong>Seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Powell's appearance on Wednesday was not only jaw-dropping but raised a lot of questions. Instead of pushing back against the recent easing of financial conditions, Powell made the same comments as he...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562212-rates-dollar-sending-warning-signs-markets\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4562212-rates-dollar-sending-warning-signs-markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2288034469","content_text":"Powell's appearance on Wednesday was not only jaw-dropping but raised a lot of questions. Instead of pushing back against the recent easing of financial conditions, Powell made the same comments as he did at the November FOMC meeting and even stressed caution on overtightening.This market has come to a point where anything that is not more hawkish than expected is dovish, leading to a big pop in the S&P 500 following Powell's appearance. While Powell said almost nothing new, he didn't say enough to cause the market's recent easing of financial conditions to reverse.It was shocking to hear because at every point before November 30, when financial conditions had eased too much, Powell would push back against the market. But this time, he didn't, and by not pushing back, he is telling the market he is okay with the recent easing of financial conditions.The real question is why Powell would be okay with financial conditions easing. It is the exact opposite of what he has been saying about his desire to raise rates into restrictive territory.BloombergWhat is even stranger than that is that the jobs data on Friday showed stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll numbers. But, wages rose by 0.6% month-over-month, the hottest reading since January 2022. They also increased by 5.1% year-over-year, while last month's numbers were all revised higher.Meanwhile, the ISM manufacturing data was weaker than expected, suggesting the US economy is inching closer to recession. The ISM report noted that the reading of 49 indicated that the REAL GDP growth in the fourth quarter was around 0.1%.The move in the ISM report indicates that S&P 500 earnings growth could turn lower in 2023 and perhaps go negative. The relationship between the ISM manufacturing survey goes back a long time, and they, too, tend to track each other very well.BloombergThe slowing growth and higher wages suggest the recent changes in attitude from the bond market. The data suggest the economy could be very close to or is in a recession, which is likely to squeeze margins for companies and earnings. Earnings estimates do not reflect margin compression and are still pricing a lot of margin expansion.Analysts' estimates suggest that earnings in 2023 are expected to grow by around 7%, while sales are expected to rise by about 3%. Currently, analysts' estimates are pricing in margin expansion in 2023. For there to be margin expansion, costs will need to be reduced; otherwise, earnings estimates are too high and need to be slashed.BloombergCutting costs usually starts with letting workers go, and the best gauge for the unemployment rate may be the spread between the 10-year and 2-Year Treasury yield spread. In recent times the spread between the 10-year and 2-year yield tends to rise just before the unemployment rate starts to increase as the market anticipates the eventual rate-cutting cycle the Fed is about to embark on.The current inversion is the deepest it has been since the early 1980s, and it tells us that unemployment is likely to stay low for some time longer. The current yield curve inversion has even stopped falling yet.BloombergBut the yield curve inversion that has started to turn higher is the 10-year minus 2-year 18-month forward curve. This forward curve tends to lead the 10-2 year nominal curve by 6 to 12 months, and currently, that forward curve has returned to a neutral level near 0% as the nominal 10-2 yield curve is trading well below the forward curve.BloombergThe forward curve suggests that the unemployment rate may be significantly higher over the next six months as companies look to shed the rising cost of wages as the economy slows. The data from Quant-Insight shows that the biggest drive in the recent move lower in the 10-year rate is risk aversion. An indication that the market is getting much more cautious and shifting into a risk-off regime.Quant-InsightShould the dollar continue to weaken and rates continue to fall, it would suggest that risk-off is taking hold. Eventually, the equity market will catch on to the risk-off sentiment, and that bad news is, again, bad news.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":286,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9961432779,"gmtCreate":1669014122991,"gmtModify":1676538139542,"author":{"id":"4127110347459592","authorId":"4127110347459592","name":"WolfyJr","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/b190f4cdff7931551e1aab83894ed957","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4127110347459592","authorIdStr":"4127110347459592"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"ok","listText":"ok","text":"ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9961432779","repostId":"2284949061","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2284949061","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1669013952,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2284949061?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-21 14:59","market":"other","language":"en","title":"2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2284949061","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Buying one Bitcoin per day might just be the ultimate dollar-cost averaging strategy for crypto.","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Despite the epic crypto market meltdown, two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are doubling down on their crypto bets. On Nov. 16, the president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, announced his country would be buying one <b>Bitcoin</b> per day, every day, starting on Nov. 17. Almost immediately afterward, crypto entrepreneur Justin Sun announced he would adopt the same Bitcoin strategy.</p><p>This Bitcoin strategy is, quite frankly, the ultimate way to dollar-cost average into crypto. Both investors are committed to buying Bitcoin every day, at approximately the same dollar amount, regardless of market conditions. And both are adding to already massive Bitcoin positions. El Salvador, for example, has already invested more than $100 million into Bitcoin. So is a similar type of strategy right for the average investor?</p><h2>Benefits of dollar-cost averaging</h2><p>Dollar-cost averaging has already proven to be a successful strategy with equity investors, and growing evidence suggests a dollar-cost averaging strategy could be successful for Bitcoin investors. In a standard dollar-cost averaging strategy, you invest the same preset amount on a regular basis (such as weekly or monthly), regardless of market conditions. This removes the emotion from investing and eliminates the perils of trying to time the market. Instead of worrying about daily moves upward or downward, investors continue to buy on a regular schedule.</p><p>Another advantage to dollar-cost averaging is that you end up paying less for an investment (in dollar terms) over the long term because you are buying when prices are both rising and falling. You can see this immediately with El Salvador and its Bitcoin strategy. Heading into its new dollar-cost averaging strategy, for example, El Salvador had purchased a total of 2,381 Bitcoins at an average price of $43,357.</p><p>The average price is so high because El Salvador began buying Bitcoin in September 2021, just about the time Bitcoin was hitting all-time highs. Now that El Salvador is buying Bitcoin at a price below $20,000, this average cost will continue to decline over time until Bitcoin regains previous all-time highs.</p><h2>How to dollar-cost average into Bitcoin</h2><p>While most retail investors can&#39;t buy $20,000 worth of Bitcoin every day, they can certainly adopt a modified strategy, such as $50 per week or $200 per month. With dollar-cost averaging, there are numerous ways to adjust the parameters. For example, one could argue that both Bukele and Sun are adopting a &#34;modified&#34; dollar-cost averaging strategy. Instead of committing to a fixed daily amount, they are committing to an amount that will enable them to buy a full Bitcoin. Given that Bitcoin is currently trading around $16,500, some days they might invest $16,000 and on other days, they might invest $17,000.</p><p>Obviously, you will need to tailor your strategy to your specific investment and financial goals. As a general rule of thumb, the most popular dollar-cost averaging strategies are monthly rather than weekly or daily. This helps reduce trading fees and also eliminates any temptation to time the market. Dollar-cost averaging can very quickly become a &#34;set it and forget&#34; strategy, especially if you automate the monthly investment allocation.</p><h2>Dollar-cost averaging in action</h2><p>Using widely available websites, you can see how any dollar-cost averaging strategy for Bitcoin would have played out over any specific time interval. On many sites, you can adjust parameters such as how much you are investing, the regularity of your investment, and the time frame of your dollar-cost averaging strategy.</p><p>For the sake of argument, let&#39;s assume you started investing $100 per month in Bitcoin one year ago, at about the same time that El Salvador started buying Bitcoin in the marketplace. Your $1,200 investment would now be worth $1,150, a 4.17% drop in market value. That might be depressing to some, but it&#39;s certainly better than the 62% drop El Salvador has reported on its Bitcoin position. Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee you will make money on your investment, only that the pain will be much less palpable if the market does crater.</p><h2>Should I dollar-cost average into Bitcoin?</h2><p>Keeping in mind the enormous volatility and risk involved in investing in crypto, a dollar-cost averaging strategy can be a successful way to get exposure to Bitcoin without taking on excessive risk. As seen in the example above, if you had dollar-cost averaged into Bitcoin over the past year, you&#39;d basically be even right now. You wouldn&#39;t be panicking about the market, and you would know that your long-term gains are going to look very impressive if Bitcoin rallies again. That might explain why two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are now dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin.</p></body></html>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 of the Biggest Crypto Investors in the World Are Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin. Should You?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-21 14:59 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/20/biggest-crypto-investors-are-dollar-cost-averaging/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Despite the epic crypto market meltdown, two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are doubling down on their crypto bets. On Nov. 16, the president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, announced his ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/20/biggest-crypto-investors-are-dollar-cost-averaging/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/11/20/biggest-crypto-investors-are-dollar-cost-averaging/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2284949061","content_text":"Despite the epic crypto market meltdown, two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are doubling down on their crypto bets. On Nov. 16, the president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, announced his country would be buying one Bitcoin per day, every day, starting on Nov. 17. Almost immediately afterward, crypto entrepreneur Justin Sun announced he would adopt the same Bitcoin strategy.This Bitcoin strategy is, quite frankly, the ultimate way to dollar-cost average into crypto. Both investors are committed to buying Bitcoin every day, at approximately the same dollar amount, regardless of market conditions. And both are adding to already massive Bitcoin positions. El Salvador, for example, has already invested more than $100 million into Bitcoin. So is a similar type of strategy right for the average investor?Benefits of dollar-cost averagingDollar-cost averaging has already proven to be a successful strategy with equity investors, and growing evidence suggests a dollar-cost averaging strategy could be successful for Bitcoin investors. In a standard dollar-cost averaging strategy, you invest the same preset amount on a regular basis (such as weekly or monthly), regardless of market conditions. This removes the emotion from investing and eliminates the perils of trying to time the market. Instead of worrying about daily moves upward or downward, investors continue to buy on a regular schedule.Another advantage to dollar-cost averaging is that you end up paying less for an investment (in dollar terms) over the long term because you are buying when prices are both rising and falling. You can see this immediately with El Salvador and its Bitcoin strategy. Heading into its new dollar-cost averaging strategy, for example, El Salvador had purchased a total of 2,381 Bitcoins at an average price of $43,357.The average price is so high because El Salvador began buying Bitcoin in September 2021, just about the time Bitcoin was hitting all-time highs. Now that El Salvador is buying Bitcoin at a price below $20,000, this average cost will continue to decline over time until Bitcoin regains previous all-time highs.How to dollar-cost average into BitcoinWhile most retail investors can't buy $20,000 worth of Bitcoin every day, they can certainly adopt a modified strategy, such as $50 per week or $200 per month. With dollar-cost averaging, there are numerous ways to adjust the parameters. For example, one could argue that both Bukele and Sun are adopting a \"modified\" dollar-cost averaging strategy. Instead of committing to a fixed daily amount, they are committing to an amount that will enable them to buy a full Bitcoin. Given that Bitcoin is currently trading around $16,500, some days they might invest $16,000 and on other days, they might invest $17,000.Obviously, you will need to tailor your strategy to your specific investment and financial goals. As a general rule of thumb, the most popular dollar-cost averaging strategies are monthly rather than weekly or daily. This helps reduce trading fees and also eliminates any temptation to time the market. Dollar-cost averaging can very quickly become a \"set it and forget\" strategy, especially if you automate the monthly investment allocation.Dollar-cost averaging in actionUsing widely available websites, you can see how any dollar-cost averaging strategy for Bitcoin would have played out over any specific time interval. On many sites, you can adjust parameters such as how much you are investing, the regularity of your investment, and the time frame of your dollar-cost averaging strategy.For the sake of argument, let's assume you started investing $100 per month in Bitcoin one year ago, at about the same time that El Salvador started buying Bitcoin in the marketplace. Your $1,200 investment would now be worth $1,150, a 4.17% drop in market value. That might be depressing to some, but it's certainly better than the 62% drop El Salvador has reported on its Bitcoin position. Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee you will make money on your investment, only that the pain will be much less palpable if the market does crater.Should I dollar-cost average into Bitcoin?Keeping in mind the enormous volatility and risk involved in investing in crypto, a dollar-cost averaging strategy can be a successful way to get exposure to Bitcoin without taking on excessive risk. As seen in the example above, if you had dollar-cost averaged into Bitcoin over the past year, you'd basically be even right now. You wouldn't be panicking about the market, and you would know that your long-term gains are going to look very impressive if Bitcoin rallies again. That might explain why two of the biggest crypto investors in the world are now dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}