$INTC High-significance bearish gap risk Catalyst: Q3 earnings and weaker-than-expected Q4 guidance, released 29 October US time. Intel fell sharply after hours following its earnings release. Reuters reported a decline of approximately 23%; another market-data source showed $70.86, down 23.04% from the $92.07 regular-session close. Other snapshots showed higher after-hours prices, so the exact price depends on the timestamp. Regular-session close, Oct 29 $92.07 Reported after-hours low snapshot $70.86 What the technical evidence says 1. The earnings gap is the primary signal. Confirmed: Q4 revenue guidance of $15–16 billion fell short of analyst expectations of approximately $17 billion. Intel also cited manufacturing constraints and ongoing PC-market weakness. Volume: Regular-sessi
$INTC Strangle 260930 120.0P/121.0C$ $80 premium for the strangle in the last minutes before expiry was a bit strange to see. Guess it was a game of chicken being played expecting a wild swing based on MU earnings post market. Anyway that was an easy winner winner chicken dinner for me today.
In scenario of a Fed rate-hike / higher-for-longer shock, the most likely impact is: gold and silver down, BTC down, and AI stocks under pressure—especially the more expensive, long-duration names. 1) What the market data is already saying The cross-asset tape is consistent with a risk-off / higher-rate reaction : Asset / Proxy Move Interpretation MSTR -4.70% Bitcoin-linked equity under pressure BITO -3.91% Bitcoin proxy selling off NVDA +0.53% Relative resilience in a strong AI leader MSFT -1.68% Broad AI / mega-cap tech pressure GOOGL -1.49% Broad AI / mega-cap tech pressure That pattern suggests the market is not pricing a clean “risk-on” outcome . The strongest immediate losers are the assets most sensitive to liquidity, discount rates, and speculative positioning . 2) Asset-by-asset i