Lappi

    • LappiLappi
      ·07-07
      By fast-tracking a $2 trillion company with a tiny 5% public float, the Nasdaq has forced passive mega-funds into an illiquid bottleneck. This structural loophole guarantees artificial buying pressure and explosive volatility, essentially weaponizing SpaceX to widen the stability gap between the Nasdaq-100 and the S&P 500.

      The Nasdaq-100 Has Been Far More Volatile Than the S&P 500. Now Add SpaceX to the Mix

      While SpaceX is due to join the Nasdaq-100 on Tuesday, it isn’t eligible to become part of the S&P 500 for at least another year — likely furthering the volatility spread between those two indexes.
      The Nasdaq-100 Has Been Far More Volatile Than the S&P 500. Now Add SpaceX to the Mix
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    • LappiLappi
      ·07-02
      Tesla is targeting production capacity of 1 million robots per year, capacity that could match roughly half its entire 2025 vehicle output, but for an unproven product. A slower ramp doesn’t just delay revenue, it stretches the burn on a parallel manufacturing buildout (Fremont plus a second, larger factory at Giga Texas targeting summer 2027, with long-term capacity of 10 million units annually) while that capacity sits underutilized. Slower ramp = capex committed earlier than revenue arrives = worse near-term free cash flow. This is structurally similar to the AI hyperscaler capex-vs-payback tension

      Musk: Optimus Mass Production Will Be Extremely Slow at Start as Technologies Are All Newly Developed

      Tesla CEO Musk posted a photo from the Optimus humanoid robot production line at the Fremont, California factory and said initial mass production will be extremely slow because all technologies are newly developed, adding it is not like manufacturing cars.
      Musk: Optimus Mass Production Will Be Extremely Slow at Start as Technologies Are All Newly Developed
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    • LappiLappi
      ·07-02
      it correctly reports Burry’s five short positions but omits that his stated thesis is a valuation call (semiconductor index 65% above its 200-day average, Caterpillar’s 30-year-high price-to-sales ratio) rather than a bet that AI itself fails. It also doesn’t mention Burry’s history of headline-sized bets turning out smaller in practice (e.g., his 2021 Tesla puts were often overstated as “hundreds of millions” when actual capital was just the option premium), which matters for weighing how large this “wager” really is.

      Michael Burry Cites 'beginning of the End' with New AI Short Bets

      Michael Burry's big short on AI just got a whole lot bigger.Tesla, Caterpillar, semiconductor manufacturer Applied Materials and an ETF tracking chip makers are among the latest bearish bets announced
      Michael Burry Cites 'beginning of the End' with New AI Short Bets
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    • LappiLappi
      ·07-02
      CoreWeave's biggest buyer became its competitor. Jane st & NVDA have been backing an unprofitable venture

      Coreweave, Nebius Shares Tumble as Meta Stands to Become a Fresh Threat in the Cloud

      Meta's reported interest in monetizing its AI infrastructure is leading investors to question the sustainability of neocloud business modelsMeta holds $35.2 billion in infrastructure contracts with Co
      Coreweave, Nebius Shares Tumble as Meta Stands to Become a Fresh Threat in the Cloud
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    • LappiLappi
      ·07-02
      Meta’s move comes weeks after SpaceX made a similar move via xAI, and the pattern suggests the winners of the AI race may be the ones who own the data centers, rather than the ones with the best models, but only if compute demand continues to hold and data centers retain their value. This entire Meta story remains an unconfirmed report

      Meta's Strategic Shift on Computing Power Challenges Chip Stock Rally Narrative

      Meta's plan to sell surplus computing capacity has shaken the market's core belief in the absolute scarcity of such power, triggering a significant capital outflow from semiconductor stocks and...
      Meta's Strategic Shift on Computing Power Challenges Chip Stock Rally Narrative
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    • LappiLappi
      ·06-30
      95Comment
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    • LappiLappi
      ·06-30
      241Comment
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    • LappiLappi
      ·06-23
      Technicals support the data

      Option Focus | SPY's $22.7 Million Synthetic Short Signals Institutional Bearishness; Premium-Collection Trades Also Emerge

      The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) closed at $744.39, down 0.31% on the session. Activity in the SPY options market drew attention as a series of large block trades crossed the tape, highlighted by a...
      Option Focus | SPY's $22.7 Million Synthetic Short Signals Institutional Bearishness; Premium-Collection Trades Also Emerge
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    • LappiLappi
      ·06-12
      Not bad. I have sell orders at 258. 

      Spacex Shares Indicated to Open at $171 in Nasdaq Debut VS IPO Price of $135 per Share

      Spacex Shares Indicated to Open at $171 in Nasdaq Debut VS IPO Price of $135 per Share
      Spacex Shares Indicated to Open at $171 in Nasdaq Debut VS IPO Price of $135 per Share
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