KevinKelly

    • KevinKellyKevinKelly
      ·04-09
      $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ 40 million plus battery swaps would seem to indicate that it is not so stupid. The versatility in options is logically attractive and baas is a nice cash flow alternative that others would like to have. Just consider the schemes many manufacturers have been trying to use to get regular cash flows without additional cost. BMW - with their heated seats as one example. In those cases, the customer has to pay for the hardware up front without having access to use unless they pay a subscription fee. With NIO, customers can buy the car without the battery and only pay for the option of battery that they need. And a 3-5 minute change time vs 20-40 minutes to charge in ideal conditions is a no brainer.What is your
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    • KevinKellyKevinKelly
      ·04-09
      $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ look I'll be the first to admit the opportunity cost holding so much sofi in my poor people IRA and brokerage account has been disappointing, maddening, deflating, and bad for my ego. But when the tide turns and other sectors dump and sofi the stock is more aligned with Sofi the company I will be rewarded. We will be rewarded. It hasn't been the best investment I've made but the company continues to execute and deliver. Blow after blow punch after punch macro political interest rates manipulation from competition spac offerings acquisitions etc etc. But why am I not shaken? They have navigated ALL OF IT with precision and have exceeded not only my expectations but I think their own. Noto isn
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    • KevinKellyKevinKelly
      ·04-08
      $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Just Ridiculous!!!! Keep buying!!! I feel like a broken record. These guys were researching AI before anyone thought of it. They are years ahead of anyone else. Their chips are the best and are selling for premiums ABOVE list price. AMD, the closest competitor's chips are selling at discounts. NVDA's AI training is THE industry training. They have the software developed for their chips. Their AI business support services are second to none. They have the whole AI package. NO ONE comes close nor will they for years, and when they do, NVDA will already be leaving them in the dust. Oh yea and the claim of a slowing economy will affect sales, any companies needing cheaper will buy AMD chips, but they are i
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    • KevinKellyKevinKelly
      ·04-08
      $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ after announcing a stock split and a $10B share buyback program on March 9th 2022, the stock jumped +23% in 17 business days after 📈🐂 This earnings report/call might get real exciting at the end of April 👀The Drop Football GIF
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    • KevinKellyKevinKelly
      ·04-08
      $Micron Technology(MU)$ I really hate to say it, but “this time is different” and I expect MU to have a super cycle this time around. Why? As you know, I always look at memories as a commodity and even HBM is no different. As a commodity, the key driver for price, and hence gross margin and operating margin is supply/demand balance. Because of the 3-1 trade in HBM vs DDR, the industry abruptly transitioned from over supply to severe under supply in one year while HBM demand continues to ramp rapidly and DDR demand is recovering. You add to this supply demand imbalance by WFE capex discipline as the suppliers are forced to invest in packaging driven again by HBM requirements. So we are in the beginning of a perfect storm of severe supply demand imbal
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    • KevinKellyKevinKelly
      ·04-03
      $Reddit(RDDT)$ Reddit is the training platform of AI, the potential competitive advantage is huge. Lots of guys are lagging behind the pace of time, the bubble period of AI is just beginning. Except those short sellers, they are merely gamblers.
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    • KevinKellyKevinKelly
      ·04-03
      $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ With less than 2 hrs to closing DJI is down near 480 points. AMZN Is down just 30 cents. To me this would be acceptable for today as AMZN is holding above $180. I dare say AMZN may even close in the green. Hope is truly eternal. Stay positive.
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    • KevinKellyKevinKelly
      ·04-03
      $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ would love for this to run on next ER, but it wants/needs to bust through this ‘magical’ support and go through a ‘bottom discovery’ process first. It’s running out of juice and being supported on very low volume. Needs to consolidate lower on higher volume in order to have fuel for the next leg up. Many bearish bulls are waiting to get in lower. Also, seems like macro is a bigger factor than anything stock specific.
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    • KevinKellyKevinKelly
      ·04-03
      $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ people who say ai is hype and is over have no clue. Everyone in tech I talk to say it’s being used more and more and they want more . This stock is not just a ai hype it’s being used to help the country! Get a clueeveryone in tech I have spoken to say you can’t even comprehend where it’s going. I know lawyers that are having Ai proofread emails looking for specific information. It’s going to be bigger than we think.
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    • KevinKellyKevinKelly
      ·04-03
      $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ I am short again very recently. I have covered some of my short from above 500, and I am thinking it could fill the gap from February. There is a larger gap down to $400, and I think that this could get tested too.Of course, this technical stuff doesn't really matter that much. Large-Cap Technology has been helped for a lot of reasons, and I think that investors will soon see how the estimates are too high (and the valuations). 18X enterprise value to projected adjusted EBITDA in 2025 is too high in my view.
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