fluffzo

Riding the wave of the market, only up from here

    • fluffzofluffzo
      ·2023-08-29

      Xpeng Stock Forecast

      The Xpeng $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ stock price gained 8.21% on Friday, 25th Aug 2023, rising from $16.20 to $17.53. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.20% from a day low at $16.40 to a day high of $17.58. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 7.68% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 8 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 19 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $338.38 million.The stock lies in the lower part of a ve
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      Xpeng Stock Forecast
    • fluffzofluffzo
      ·2023-08-24

      Nvidia: The Magnificent One Delivers On Its AI Promise

      SummaryNvidia's Q2 FY2024 results exceeded expectations, with revenues of $13.51B and non-GAAP EPS of $2.70.The strong performance was driven by growing demand for generative AI and large language models utilizing Nvidia's Data Center AI chips.Nvidia's Q3 sales guidance projects revenue of $16B, indicating a y/y growth of +171% and suggesting continued strong business momentum.Despite strong financial performance and optimistic near-term outlook, question marks remain around the sustainability of this demand spike.Given Nvidia's premium valuation, I see little to no margin of safety in NVDA stock for long term investors. Hence, I choose not to chase NVDA at $500 per share.Justin SullivanIntroductionThe generative AI boom has taken significant mindshare across the globe, with big tech stock
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      Nvidia: The Magnificent One Delivers On Its AI Promise
    • fluffzofluffzo
      ·2023-08-22

      Unity: Luster Dimmed, Leverage And Dilution Metrics Are Distorted

      SummaryUnity's 31% YTD price surge is commendable but not special, with the company underperforming the Nasdaq Index.The path to profitability remains unclear, with a significant portion of R&D channeled towards sustaining market share as opposed to generating growth.The public's interest in VR/AR applications is encouraging. However, the pace of adoption leaves much to be desired.Arsenii PalivodaInvestment ThesisAs consensus grows around the idea that the Fed has successfully navigated a soft landing, the bullish sentiment in the market is palpable. The economy's 2% growth in Q1 2023 and the more recent 2.4% rise in Q2 2023 are evidence of this resilience, reinforcing investors' confidence.Sensing that the tumultuous phase of the downcycle is ebbing, investors are now reconfiguri
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      Unity: Luster Dimmed, Leverage And Dilution Metrics Are Distorted
    • fluffzofluffzo
      ·2023-08-18

      Li Auto: A Buy-The-Dip Situation

      SummaryLi Auto reported better-than-expected earnings for Q2, driven by strong demand for the company's EV products.The company saw triple-digit top-line growth and an increase in vehicle margins Q/Q, despite a price war in the EV market.Li Auto's impressive delivery outlook for Q3 supports the investment thesis, but risks include growing competition and a deteriorating pricing environment.sefa ozelLi Auto $Li Auto(LI)$ reported much better than expected earnings for its second-quarter, due to strong demand for the company's electric vehicle products and industry-leading delivery growth rates. As I indicated in my work Why I Have Doubled My Position Ahead Of Q2, the EV company is the fastest-growing EV company regarding deliveries in its industry gr
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      Li Auto: A Buy-The-Dip Situation
    • fluffzofluffzo
      ·2023-08-17

      AMC Entertainment's APE Conversion: No More Monkey Business

      SummaryA court has approved a settlement offer between AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. and investors, allowing the conversion of preferred equity units into common stock.The settlement will result in a reverse stock split and a decrease in the number of common shares, potentially leading to a convergence in prices between common stock and preferred equity units.The future of AMC Entertainment remains uncertain, with structural issues and a lack of true growth in the movie theater industry. Investors should approach the stock and preferred equity units with caution.lisegagneFrom time to time, markets can behave very irrationally. This also extends to individual companies. Oftentimes, but not always, this irrational behavior can be traced back to some specific event or circumstance. And whe
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      AMC Entertainment's APE Conversion: No More Monkey Business
    • fluffzofluffzo
      ·2023-08-11

      TSM is bottoming here with this wedge

      With this wedge forming with TSM $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ and this trendline as support I think this could be a monster trade. I'm targeting 135 for Wave 3, 115 for Wave 4, and then around 160 for Wave 5.Some people think this could fill the gap but I don't think so. If you look at TSM and Tesla $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ they look very similar and Tesla didn't fill the gap and stopped halfway just like TSM will do. If it does fill the gap then it would break to the downside of the trendline and then it wouldn't be good.
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      TSM is bottoming here with this wedge
    • fluffzofluffzo
      ·2023-08-10
      One has to believe $Plug Power(PLUG)$ can continue this Dog N Pony show for a few more years. They’ve been doing it for so long, they can actually get away with it. Bring in a proposed expansion or affiliation with another country etc once a quarter and BOOM, it’s good for a pop. Than, when ER is due, claim the same story abt production and being behind. That’s PLUG.But, now with Gas Prices going up, the talking heads will revive the Hydrogen Power Theory…In actuality it’s The Father of $Gevo(GEVO)$, which is the Mother of all Bagholders
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    • fluffzofluffzo
      ·2023-08-10

      A 'Going Concern' Filing On August 8 For WeWork Is An Orange Flag

      SummaryWeWork's inclusion of a "going concern" statement in their 10-Q filing caused a sharp drop in their stock price after the close on August 8.This ASU No. 2014-15 (subtopic 205-40) "going concern" statement by management is not the same as a going concern statement by auditors in an annual report.WeWork plans to reduce costs, increase revenue, control expenses, and seek additional capital to alleviate the going concern issue.WeWork will run out of cash by early next year if they continue to burn cash at the same rate as in 2Q.Justin Sullivan/Getty Images NewsAs expected, WeWork $WeWork(WE)$ included a "going concern" statement in their 10-Q filed after the close on August 8, which caused a major drop in the stock during after-hours tr
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      A 'Going Concern' Filing On August 8 For WeWork Is An Orange Flag
    • fluffzofluffzo
      ·2023-08-09
      Some people wrongly understood that Novavax reduced total forecast by $100m. No. They didn’t.Novavax $Novavax(NVAX)$ are still expecting to get $1.4-1.6B into its pocket. As they said in Q1 EC.CEO John Jacobs explained to CNBC.The new guidance does not include $100 million in cash that Canada paid during the second quarter – an amount that "would have been revenue" had the parties completed the transaction, he said."We're still on track for the revenue, but we'd rather have it in cash," Jacobs told CNBC. "That's a good thing for Novavax." It means that income from cash transfers and sales revenues stayed at $1.4-1.6B as Q1 guidance but the income of $100m delivered in cash is not considered (accounting wise) as revenue ( just because no doses
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    • fluffzofluffzo
      ·2023-08-08

      Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast

      The Rivian Automotive $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$ stock price fell by -3.88% on Monday, 7th Aug 2023 from $25.26 to $24.28. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.93% from a day low at $23.63 to a day high of $25.74. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.93% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 4 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 37 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $904.14 million.The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the st
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      Rivian Automotive Stock Forecast
     
     
     
     

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