To The Moon

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ I am wondering if party is over for GOOGL and it is going toward $100, may be because Anti Trust Investigation, UK has something similar and Musk claiming to build biggest Search Engine, which will bring google down. Nothing make sense about this stock anymore, and google being tight lip about everything, and $6-8 drop is very common everyday from $180.

$Intel(INTC)$ There is no logical reason for a company to buy Intel at this time. They can wait until they are dropped from the dow and next earnings are horrible. The stock price will drop below $10 and bankruptcy is probably imminent unless they get bailed out. Then a company can buy them at a much better price.

$Broadcom(AVGO)$ Tech stocks are quite toxic right now. It's very easy to look at them and conclude the prices are at a screaming buy but that could be a huge mistake. There is most definitely room for these stocks to fall further. Hope I'm wrong but there is a mad exodus out of equities and into bonds right now. If that continues for another few weeks these high flying tech stocks could fall another 15-20%. THAT would be the time to load up if it happens.

$Intel(INTC)$ The split is the only way forward. Intel is losing market share on all fronts using chips made internally. It is starting to use $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ for its flagship designs and the early looks are encouraging. Hence, the sooner Intel ditches the fabs the better. The costs of building & sustaining investments in Fabs are astronomic and only pure play foundries like TSMC can afford them or a behemoth like $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNLF)$ . Intel is neither and is in much worse situation than both. It has the worst cost structure and worst competitive position between all leading edge foundries

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ The problem is that the AI portion of the business is essentially a start-up. Why should we believe Tesla has a better chance of dominating these areas than any other company? Tesla had a 5-10 year lead in EVs at one point and now revenues are stagnant in a rapidly growing market segment, so market share is plunging. Why invest in a company that cant even compete in its current business? Pivoting to a new business because you are failing at the current one is a big gamble and with the current valuation, investors are taking enormous risk.The robotics opportunity is huge, but will Tesla be the leader here? Who knows?

$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ if this dead cat can crawl back up to $21 it could be a good short from there.. puts have cheapened today (IV dropped ~30%) so buying the $17.50 October OTM Put for around $0.30-0.40 as the underlying hits $21 could yield nicely (assuming AI fails to crack $21 and slides back down)..

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ you expect the share to climb 20% while they buyback 1.66% of the company valuation ? Might i had there is no timeline for that buyback. So it could be running for the 10 years to come if they want to. As they can wait 1 year or 2 before beginning the buyback.The buyback will trigger no uplift, it is just pure fact based on the company way bigger valuation. The numbers of shares will not decline enough to have a meaningful impact on the price rise for what would be left after it is completed.At least I am giving you arguments, facts, as to why it won’t do anything.While all you do is write buyback=share price uplift. Well sorry, it doesn’t occur in all buyback.

$Apple(AAPL)$ Buffet knows something. He famously said we would never have cash around just to hold cash. They know something is coming and $Apple(AAPL)$ & $Bank of America(BAC)$ indicate it’s an everything problem not a remote problem with both companies. War, reinflation, consumer debt, stagflation, etc.

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ The graph of TSLA since Nov. 2021 is the most informative and most relevant. Tesla has has all of the supposed stated advantages thru this entire period. What I see is three attempts to recover the Nov. highs all of which collapsed on the basis on continuing declining fundamentals. Since Nov. 21 the single largest factor seems to be the maturing of EV commodity vehicle markets and while Musk has bragged about Tesla vertical integration and scaling - Tesla still buys the majority of battery cells from its competitors in both EVs and Energy Storage. Finally, the delayed FSD robotaxi reveal will not arrive with either DOT licenses or insurance carriers underwriting. All of which means in the best case sc

$Fair Isaac(FICO)$ I’m interested in acquiring a position in FICO, but I have concerns about its current valuation. The recent increase in the stock price seems to be driven primarily by multiple expansion. Looking ahead, what will sustain future returns? It’s unlikely that further multiple expansion will occur from a 90 P/E ratio, especially with revenue growth projected at 8-12% in the coming years. Is the company’s monopoly and pricing power the key factors that will drive FCF per share growth? What kind of returns can be expected over the next 5-10 years? Perhaps 10-15% if the P/E ratio compresses slightly as the company matures and growth slows?