How I would look at U.S. Labor Data Due To Release On 07 Jul 23
We have the U.S. labor market shows resilience on eve of June's employment report (happening on 07 July 23).
Here is a summary of what have been released on 06 July 23
Weekly jobless claims increase 12,000 to 248,000
Continuing claims drop 13,000 to 1.720 million
Private payrolls jump 497,000 in June
Job openings decline 496,000 to 9.824 million in May
The U.S. Unemployment Rate (June) and U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (June) data will be released at 8.30am(EST) on 07 July 23.
I would expect there will be an increase in U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls, but the unemployment rate will be higher.
Let us look back what happen when there is an increase in U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls, but the unemployment rate will be higher.
Market like when the nonfarm payrolls increase in May
Market was up more than 1% when nonfarm payrolls increase in May.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 1.45% while the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) popped 1.07%.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) led gains, rising 2.12%, or 701.1 points, and closing at a 1-month high.
TQQQ did close well on 02 June 2023 after the job data release.
Market will close higher if we have a higher nonfarm payrolls
Similarly, the market will like it as there have been quite a significant increase in the nonfarm payrolls in June.
The only concern here is the increase of unemployment rate, but it might be due to people are waiting to be hired.
Overall, I think Market should close higher, tech stocks should perform well.
$Nasdaq100 Bull 3X ETF(TQQQ)$ should close higher than its current.
Here is a short analysis of TQQQ Using ADX
TQQQ look to be in a bullish developing trend and +DI above -DI indicate a good uptrend.
Have you taken action to load some TQQQ last night when it trend down a bit?
I will look at $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Apple(AAPL)$
Summary
I think with a positive and better than estimate nonfarm payroll can make the market trade favorably.
But this could open up the rate hike from Fed.
Appreciate if you could share your thoughts in the comment section whether you think the market will move to positive after today’s nonfarm payroll data released.
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Betting against TQQQ is like betting that when you toss a coin a million times, you won't get 50% chance at heads or tails. Only a complete clown will bet there's any other outcome lol.
Meta was able to transform itself from a metaverse company to an A.I. company practically overnight and no one questioned it. Zuckerberg is very smart in keeping Meta relevant, no matter what direction the tech industry takes.
Apple products higher entry cost will always be a stumbling block for any immediate share gains. That's enough to scare investors away.
all these bears waiting to cover and go long, once market changes direction it goes on a long time. This is a true bull
Amazing. Any reason to drive it up more when most stocks are overvalued. I do not think this market rally ends well.
Keeping dry powder until a good opportunity presents. I don’t think this is it.
Meta is able to toss out a free Threads app to easily boost its share price.
I have a feeling that AAPL has a big surprise coming. Longs will be rewarded.
This bubble be bursting soon. Time for sqqq.
weekly wave for tqqq will come - after inflation data.
market drop maybe the interest rate potential Fed hikes?
the current trend for the TQQQ is down