$VinFast Auto(VFS)$ The soaring share price of Vietnamese electric-vehicle manufacturer VinFast has triggered a wave of excitement, but a closer look reveals an overvaluation that is difficult to justify in the context of the broader automotive industry. While VinFast's recent stock surge has been reminiscent of the share price craze witnessed in GameStop and AMC, caution is advised rather than succumbing to the allure of short-term gains.

One of the most glaring concerns is how a relatively young player in the automotive sector is being valued more highly than established giants such as Mercedes, Volkswagen, Ford, and General Motors. These industry stalwarts have an extensive history and global manufacturing presence that dwarf VinFast's relatively recent foray into the market. In fact, VinFast's current market capitalization surpasses the combined valuations of General Motors and Ford, raising eyebrows and prompting questions about its sustainability.

This rapid ascent in valuation evokes memories of past market phenomena that have often led to sudden reversals. Drawing parallels with the GameStop and AMC hype, it's prudent to be skeptical of the longevity of such rallies. The question remains whether VinFast's share price will continue to ascend, possibly surpassing the $100 mark. However, fundamentally, the valuation doesn't align with the company's output—VinFast's production volume doesn't warrant a price tag of $100 per share.

The situation brings to mind the old adage: "Buy low, sell high." In the case of VinFast, caution and critical assessment seem to be in order, as the valuation appears detached from the company's production capacity and overall market standing. While shorting the stock directly or opting for at-the-money put options may seem tempting for those seeking to capitalize on this overvaluation, prudent market behavior should still take precedence.

VinFast's swift entry onto Wall Street has generated substantial interest, but its inherent volatility and the gap between its valuation and its fundamental metrics demand a measured approach. The company's dominance by Vietnam's wealthiest individual and its limited public float contribute to this volatility. With only a small portion of shares available for trading, price fluctuations have been pronounced, revealing the inherent risks in an investment.

As VinFast positions itself to compete with automotive giants and make its mark in the electric vehicle market, the volatility of its shares highlights the speculative nature of the current rally. Given the disparity between the valuation and the company's current standing, careful evaluation and a long-term perspective are advised, rather than succumbing to short-term exuberance.

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# Not selling $VFS until hitting $100?

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  • ClarenceNehemiah
    ·2023-08-31
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    The company has been expanding its operations into new markets. The company recently announced that it will be opening dealerships in the United States and Europe. This expansion is expected to boost VinFast's sales and revenue.

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    • JinHan
      Caught that too! Great news for the company. Will take awhile to catch up with other traditional/ EV companies! Vinfast is still largely Vietnam focused.
      2023-08-31
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  • LeonaClemens
    ·2023-08-31
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    VinFast's share price has been soaring in recent months, and this has triggered a wave of excitement among investors.

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    • JinHan
      Which might be worrying! It is definitely overvalued for the amount of cars they are making and also in the medium term!
      2023-08-31
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  • Guy
    ·2023-08-31
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    VinFast is a promising company with a lot of potential.

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    • JinHan
      No doubt about that but it is difficult to justify the current share price
      2023-08-31
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  • JinHan
    ·2023-08-30
    A hype/ meme stock to stay clear off!
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