Will the Fed spoil the Halloween party?

With an impending meeting between 31 Oct - 1 Nov of the Fed officials to decide their next monetary policy move, the markets have been treading cautiously between optimism from latest job data showing a still robust labour market and pessimism from the sticky inflation that has shown no consistent signs yet of cooling to the Fed’s long-term target of 2%, increasing the odds that the Fed may resume its rate hike before the end of this year and hold the rate higher for longer.

US government 10-year bonds have also reacted with record yields in recent years, igniting flees from risky assets like equities to the safety of US dollars.

These have weighed on growth stocks like $C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ and $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ , speculative bets on $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$  and meme stock the likes of $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ , as their borrowings to fund future growth become more costly and their valuations come under pressure.

These are not helped by a slowing economy from the lagging effects of previous rate hikes and persistent geopolitical tensions, offsetting hopes for a soft landing of the economy and raising the odds of stagflation.

Recent hype on artificial intelligence has yet to bring home the bacon and propel explosive growth in the technology sector, as the AI revenue takes time to materialise, weighing on C3.ai, Palantir Technologies and the semiconductor sector SOXL that were originally expected to ride on the next phase of growth driven by AI demands.

Nevertheless, recent resurgence in global COVID-19 cases led by the emergence of new sub-variant may benefit $Sea Ltd(SE)$ , as more consumers turn to its e-commerce and online gaming platforms for shopping and entertainment, while at the same time discouraging outdoor activities, so that earlier improving turnouts at AMC’s theatre chain may start to see renewed declines as customers shun the cinema halls and opt for online movies streaming options.

@CaptainTiger @TigerWire @TigerStars @MillionaireTiger @TigerEvents 

# October Effect or October Rebound? How to Trade?

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  • GriseldaBrown
    ·2023-10-08

    Although I believe there is a slight AI bubble. Is that bubble done, ready to pop? Is this a coordinated effort to keep the investment money flowing to further AI for our own inevitable demise?

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  • BenedictMill
    ·2023-10-08

    STILL waiting for AMC to publish the financial terms! So, yes, they will just be left with the cleaning bill...

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  • AprilBridges
    ·2023-10-08

    So who do you guys think will come out on top in the next few years in the AI arena?

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  • Aqa
    ·2023-10-09
    Not just the Fed, Hamas also might spoilt the party. Liked and shared. 👍🏻
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  • HLPA
    ·2023-10-08
    c3ai is a joke but pltr is not and as for amc, no apes, no play
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  • MalcolmEmily
    ·2023-10-08

    $AI has too much cash and opportunity to keep shortin

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