I'm expecting Q2 to see further gains in election build up. 

From Blackrock:

For equity markets, election years traditionally start slow (and volatile) and improve with greater certainty ― e.g., once candidates are nominated in the summer and after Election Day, as shown in the chart below. The outcome of the election historically has done little to change this pattern, suggesting that clarity is more important than parties or politics when it comes to the broad market.

One notable takeaway from our analysis of data back to 1928 is that average full-year price returns in election vs. non-election years are basically the same ― at 7.3% and 7.5%, respectively ― but the path to getting there is very different, as the chart shows. This year’s strong start (+7% through March 15 vs. the 0% election year average shown below) could mean an even better trajectory for stocks if past cycles are any indication.

U.S. equities are anticipated to sustain a robust trajectory in the foreseeable future. However, this projection hinges on the implementation of fresh fiscal stimulus measures by the government and the ongoing momentum of innovation within the technology sector. Concurrently, the trajectory of China's economic revival will serve as a critical variable. Should any of these three pillars falter, it could dampen or prematurely halt the bullish trend in U.S. stocks. Consequently, it is advisable to vigilantly track developments in these pivotal factors and adapt their investment strategies accordingly.

# Can We Expect More Gains in Q2?

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  • koolgal
    ·04-05
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    Thanks for sharing your valuable insights 😍😍😍. Through the ups and downs, it is important to stay invested.  Best of luck my friend 🍀🍀🍀🌈🌈🌈💰💰💰
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    • Barcode
      Thank you and the best of British to you 😊
      04-05
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