The First Round of the U.S. Election Debate Is Coming Up: Key Insights for Stock Investors


The first debate between Democratic President Joe Biden and Republican former President Donald Trump is scheduled for June 27. With only two debates scheduled, Thursday's clash is highly significant as both candidates intensify their personal attacks. National polls show them in a close contest, and millions of potential voters are expected to tune in.


How Election Outcomes Affect the Stock Market


Despite the heated race, market dynamics remain unaffected, likely due to the election being too close to call. According to Rob Haworth of U.S. Bank Wealth Management, significant policy changes typically occur when one party controls the White House and Congress, a scenario that seems unlikely based on current polls. As the November election approaches, investors are increasingly focused on its potential impact on businesses, the economy, and capital markets. Despite the familiarity with the leading candidates, uncertainties remain about how policy changes based on election outcomes could affect the markets, according to Rob Haworth.

The stock market often experiences increased volatility as investors react to potential election outcomes. For instance, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$   saw significant fluctuations during the 2016 race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Sector performance can vary based on the anticipated winner, with healthcare and energy stocks reacting to proposed policies on healthcare and climate change. The market's immediate reaction post-election can either be a rally if results meet expectations or a decline if outcomes are surprising, as seen in the rallies post-2008 election and the decline following the contested 2000 election.


Check Out Stocks That Could Benefit From Biden or Trump Win:


~What to Expect if Joe Biden Wins a Second Term

Clean Energy Focus: Biden's administration will likely continue prioritizing clean energy and environmental policies, benefiting sectors like renewable energy, electric vehicles, and energy efficiency technologies.

Healthcare Sector Stability: With ongoing efforts to expand access and reduce costs, a second term may further bolster the Affordable Care Act and other healthcare initiatives, leading to potential stability or growth in healthcare stocks, especially in managed care and pharmaceuticals.

Infrastructure Investment: Continued or increased funding for infrastructure projects could benefit sectors such as construction, engineering, and materials.

Regulation and Taxes: Higher corporate taxes and increased regulation for big tech and finance are expected, potentially impacting profitability in these sectors. Investors may need to diversify their portfolios to mitigate risks.


~ What to Expect if Donald Trump Wins

Trade Relations and Tariffs: Focus on higher tariffs could negatively impact companies with international supply chains, particularly in consumer discretionary, industrials, and tech sectors. U.S. companies abroad might face retaliatory measures.

Domestic Producers Benefit: Higher tariffs may benefit domestic producers in steel, lumber, aluminum, and solar cells.

Deregulation: Reduced emphasis on green energy initiatives could benefit traditional energy and financial sectors due to a more relaxed regulatory environment.

Antitrust Enforcement: Less stringent antitrust enforcement might increase mergers and acquisitions activity.

Crypto: Earlier this month, Donald Trump met with Bitcoin mining leaders at Mar-a-Lago, voicing support for cryptocurrency and promising to advocate for the industry if re-elected. He also called for Bitcoin to be "MADE IN THE USA!!!" on Truth Social. Times to look out for$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$  $Riot Blockchain, Inc.(RIOT)$  $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$  


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# US Election: Trump vs. Harris Trade? Your Pick?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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