To The Moon

Hong Kong stocks performed poorly with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 4.79% this week, leaving the market in a dismal state.

In domestic news, the 20th Central Committee convened for its third plenary session, but market response was subdued.

Internationally, last Saturday, Trump was attacked, which boosted his popularity and led markets to speculate on post-election trading under a potential Trump presidency. Trump's campaign policies suggest possible tariffs on China and increased oil production upon taking office, adversely affecting related stocks.

Simultaneously, major AI players such as $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ and $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ released earnings reports below expectations.

Coupled with the Biden administration's consideration of stricter export controls on advanced semiconductor technology to China, this triggered a sharp decline in semiconductor stocks, causing the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ to experience its largest drop since late 2022.

By sectors, dividend stocks and internet companies both declined, contributing to the weakness in the Hang Seng Index.

Surprisingly, this week saw a net inflow of HK $19.2 billion in southbound funds, primarily into banking and telecommunications stocks.

Key Events in Hong Kong Stocks This Week

1. $POP MART(09992)$ expects a significant increase in mid-term profits, pushing its stock price up over 10%.

2. The 20th Central Committee held its third plenary session.

3. $NIO-SW(09866)$ scaled back its limited-time benefits, causing its stock price to rise.

4. Spot gold briefly exceeded $2480 per ounce, hitting a historical high.

5. Trump announced plans to significantly increase oil production if re-elected, aiming to curb inflation.

6. The US is considering strengthening export restrictions on advanced semiconductor technology to China.

7. Lei Jun's annual speech is set for Friday, coinciding with the launch of $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ MIXFold4.

8. The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged.

9. Zhang Kun heavily increased holdings in $SAMSONITE(01910)$ and $PRADA(01913)$ once again.

10. The Hong Kong Consumer Council apologized for its misstatement regarding $NONGFU SPRING(09633)$ products meeting all relevant standards.

Four Stocks Worth Attention Among Top Trading HK Stocks This Week

Top 2: $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ , with Lei Jun set to host his 5th annual speech on Friday themed "Courage," unveiling new products and recounting the company's tumultuous journey into car manufacturing.

Top 3: $BIDU-SW(09888)$ , which soared last week on news of its autonomous driving subsidiary, but almost returned to its starting point this week.

Top 5: $CNOOC(00883)$ , which saw a significant drop after market concerns over Trump's potential re-election and policies favoring increased oil production to combat inflation.

Top 9: $NONGFU SPRING(09633)$ , whose stock price has been on a downward trend since the price war on mineral water erupted. This week, the Hong Kong Consumer Council apologized for misstatements and confirmed the products met standards after discussions with the company.

Next Week's Hong Kong Stock Market Events

1. The People's Bank of China's announcement next Monday of the July Loan Prime Rate (LPR), with focus on any changes.

2. Next week, earnings reports from tech giants like $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$, expected to have significant impacts on US stocks and potentially influence Hong Kong stocks.