$Walt Disney(DIS)$ $Netflix(NFLX)$ $Comcast(CMCSA)$ $Paramount Global(PARA)$
🐭🎢✨ The Mouse Trap: Is Disney’s Magic Losing Its Spark?✨🎢 🐭
Kia ora Tiger traders! 🎬🐭
Disney ($DIS) has long been the darling of the bulls, with its Parks growth shining brighter than Cinderella's castle. But could this fairy tale be turning into a Brothers Grimm special? 🌑 For years, the market has clung to the belief that as long as Mickey keeps the Parks humming, Disney’s EPS would stay enchanted. But we’ve sensed a disturbance in the Magic Kingdom—decades of sky-high ticket prices 🏰, brand missteps that made some think Disney's gone too woke 🌈, and a consumer slowdown that’s more Frozen than Frozen Fever 🥶.
The Not-So-Happily Ever After:
- Too much price gouging ~ even Tom Staggs knew when to get out back in 2017. 🚪💨
- Brand mismanagement ~ whether you think Disney’s woke or just broke, it’s leaving customers feeling more “Hi-Ho” than “Heigh-Ho.”
- Consumer slowdown ~ no amount of pixie dust can fix an empty wallet! 💸
By FY 25 in October, the Parks could go flat 🚑—or worse, negative. That’s more Tower of Terror than It’s a Small World, am I right? 🕳️ Add in the $48B debt mountain ⛰️ and potential Hulu squabbles that could cost another $5B—Disney might need more than just a magic carpet ride to stay afloat. 🐫
And those linear network write-downs? Let’s just say, even Captain Hook wouldn’t touch that shipwreck. ⛴️
The Countdown to “Happily Never After”:
The real kicker? Modeling EPS growth is starting to feel like trying to teach Goofy calculus. While this year’s EPS might get a temporary boost from some Mickey Mouse cost-cutting, the NBA rights renewal in FY26 could be the Death Star lurking on the horizon 🚀. We've long felt that DIS was on thin ice—no more 17-25x EPS fairy dust. It’s more like 7.5-10x now. And that’s the not-so-happily-ever-after where DIS could end up. 🚧
Death Cross Drama:
Disney’s stock just pulled off a "death cross"—when the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term one. This isn’t just a spooky name; it’s the stock market's version of the Grim Reaper knocking at the door. Last time this happened, DIS hit decade lows, and with the stock barely above those lows now, it’s like the castle might be crumbling down. 🕶️ All the indicators are pointing to a "Strong Sell" for Disney. It’s as if the market’s saying, "You’ve had your fun, Mickey, but now it’s time to face the music." The moving averages, oscillators, and even the MACD are all waving red flags like we’re at a bullfighting ring. This death cross is the final nail in the coffin, with EPS projections more like a haunted house than a magic kingdom【23† [oai_citation:1,Disney's Price Targets Lowered — TradingView News](https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:88bc4d04e094b:0-disney-s-price-targets-lowered/) [oai_citation:2,What’s next for Disney stock as DIS forms first death cross in over a year](https://finbold.com/whats-next-for-disney-stock-as-dis-forms-first-death-cross-in-over-a-year/) [oai_citation:3,Technical Analysis of Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS) — TradingView — India](https://in.tradingview.com/symbols/NYSE-DIS/technicals/) [oai_citation:4,Disney Stock Analysis - 2024 | DIS - Macroaxis](https://www.macroaxis.com/stock-analysis/DIS/Walt-Disney)## The Final Plot Twist:
We’re betting Disney’s earnings might settle in the $3-5 EPS range, translating to a stock price between $30 to $75 🏦—welcome to the new, not-so-magical kingdom where DIS may slowly fade into the sunset. 🌑
🔥Ready to Make a Bold Move? Consider the Power of a Put Option on ($DIS)🔥
Why settle for mediocrity when you can seize the moment and ride the wave of bearish momentum? With Disney facing a "death cross," signaling a potential landslide in stock price, and analysts flashing red warning lights all over the place, a put option on $DIS is your ticket to capitalizing on this downward spiral! Imagine locking in profits as the House of Mouse stumbles through a maze of challenges ~ from a consumer slowdown to mounting debts and a shrinking EPS. This isn’t just a trade; it’s a strategic strike at the heart of a market giant teetering on the edge. So, why not go all in? Grab that put option and watch the magic unfold in your favor as Disney’s stock heads south! 🚀📉💥
Hey Tiger traders, do you still believe in Disney’s magic, or is it time to say Hakuna Matata and look elsewhere?
@TigerGPT: Is Disney’s magic wand losing its sparkle, or can the House of Mouse still pull a rabbit out of the hat? 🎩
Happy trading ahead. Cheers, BC 🍀
@Daily_Discussion @TigerStars @Tiger_comments @Trend_Radar @MillionaireTiger @Tiger_Chart @TigerPM @TigerOptions
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Based on the information provided, it seems that there is a concern about the future prospects of Disney ($DIS) and whether its magic is losing its spark. While I don't have access to specific news articles or analytical reports at the moment, I can provide you with some general insights.
Disney has been a beloved company for many years, with its theme parks and entertainment offerings capturing the hearts of millions. However, there are several factors that have raised concerns among investors:
Price Gouging: The high ticket prices at Disney's theme parks have been a point of contention for some consumers. This could potentially impact attendance and revenue growth.
Brand Mismanagement: There have been debates about whether Disney has become too politically correct or "woke," which may have alienated certain segments of its audience. This could potentially affect the company's brand perception and customer loyalty.
Consumer Slowdown: A general economic slowdown or a decrease in consumer spending could impact Disney's revenue streams, including its theme parks and streaming services.
Additionally, the significant debt burden of $48 billion adds another layer of concern. High levels of debt can limit financial flexibility and increase interest expenses.
It's important to note that the information provided is based on the given context and may not reflect the complete picture. To make informed investment decisions, it is recommended to conduct thorough research, analyze financial statements, and consider the latest news and market trends.
As for the recommendation to consider a put option on Disney ($DIS), it is essential to remember that options trading involves risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Options can be complex financial instruments, and their value can be affected by various factors, including stock price movements, time decay, and volatility. It is crucial to thoroughly understand the risks and consult with a financial advisor before engaging in options trading.
Regarding your question about whether Disney's magic is fading or if there is still potential for the company, it is challenging to provide a definitive answer without a comprehensive analysis of the company's financials, industry trends, and future prospects. It would be prudent to closely monitor Disney's performance, including its theme park attendance, streaming subscriber growth, and content pipeline, to assess its long-term viability and growth potential.
Remember, the information provided is for reference purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
$Netflix(NFLX)$ is much better than $Walt Disney(DIS)$