To The Moon

Well, September curse... i just say fobar! This month alone my $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ stock has doubled and ive made $ thousands selling rklb call options I brought days, weeks and a few months ago. Been with tiger since march this year, and quite frankly i love it here. I've transferred approximately $5000 from my other brokerage so far and my portfolio is now worth over $12,000.

Being an emotional investor, i obviously have regrets. Another $10k transferred in and my portfolio would be at $36,000 now. But hindsight is a stupid emotion to dwell on. What could have been is a pointless undertaking. Instead I think about what will be. Will rocket lab go to the moon? Well it actually has a satellite orbiting the moon already. Mars then... well its actually built 2 satellites for NASA that are going there, and have plans to launch their own satellite to Venus. 

Rklb closed this week just shy of $10 but next week will the rally continue or will it pull back? I have no clue to be fair, but i prey it will so i can buy more. But then again my DCF modeling points to it being worth at least $22. That really means nothing though, because if you know what i know about discounted cash flows, well its rubbish in and rubbish out. Math is certain, finance is not. Finance uses math to create a false sense of certainty that actually doesn't exist. 

What to do? The quandary we all have to be fair. The stock is still not profitable and probably won't be for 1 to 2 years. It has the second most successful launch cadence in the USA, not close to space x yet, but you can't buy space x. And the only company in the world that beats rklb is actually not a company... its the Chinese government. 

Launching rockets though is only 1 third of rocket labs business, most of its money is made building satellites and essential satellite components, like solar panels. Oh and then there is satellite consultations, yep thats the next plan once they finish building their new neutron medium lift rocket.

So its rocket science, and its space, so many things could and probably will go wrong. But rklb on every benchmark blows every other space company out of the sky. Industry standard for satellite deployment in space is within 15km, rklb does it within 8 meters! They are building a medium launch vehicle for $300 million including all the infrastructure. Everyone else, well its $billions. 

But wait theres more, way more. But why don't you do your own DD and comment. Is it cheap at $10, is $10 still bargain basement, or is it expensive? Id love to hear your opinions. 

September is a curse, but so is every other month if you just want to go blindfolded and pin a tale on a donkey. Personally id rather go out there eyes wide open and find a unicorn like $Apple(AAPL)$  or $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  used to be.  @TigerWire @Tiger_chat @SPACE ROCKET