To The Moon

I didn't realize that the U.S. General Election Debate could attract the attention of top streamer Taylor Swift, but if it were in the entertainment industry, Trump would already be dead.At this juncture to do such a large section of justified publicity, obviously also brokers together to discuss the results, after all, the people in this industry know the most about the flow, but also the most understanding of "The Crowd", and even in this contrast, Elon Musk's counter-attacks also seem a little "furious!".At the end of the day, Trump's debates are really bad, but not that bad compared to his past performances - after all, he's not a "reasonable" (in the purely literal sense of the word) person - so Kamala Harris hits him on a couple of key points, and they're right on the money:Trump can

The current state of the United States economy is at the center of the market's disagreement over the "rate-cutting cycle".Some participants believe that the U.S. is on the verge of a recession, while others emphasize the resilience of the economy and continued growth.Rate cuts and recession?Current market expectations for rate cuts stem from two main directions:If the U.S. economy falls into recession, the Fed may be forced to cut rates quickly (the first 50 basis points to start) to ease economic downward pressure;If the economy continues to be resilient, the Fed may also take precautionary rate cuts (starting at 25 basis points for the first time) to ensure that the economy achieves a soft landing.More than 70 common U.S. economic data indicators are divided into core, auxiliary and for

Financial markets are grappling with a new wave of uncertainty as economic indicators point towards a slowing labor market and a potential economic slowdown. Despite expectations for Fed rate cuts, the mood among investors has turned cautious, as the prospect of rate reductions is overshadowed by fears of a more pronounced downturn. The most recent jobs report, which showed weaker-than-expected growth, has fueled concerns that the Fed’s efforts to tame inflation may have gone too far, potentially cooling the economy beyond desired levels. This analysis provides a recap of the latest market movements, explores potential future market scenarios, and outlines key catalysts that will shape market sentiment in the coming weeks. Labor Market Slows as Fed Rate Cuts Near The U.S. labor market show

The market is highly focused on the last non-farm payrolls data ahead of the upcoming September FOMC meeting, as this data will have a decisive impact on the risk of a future recession and the magnitude of the Fed's rate cut.The market is discussing whether the Fed will cut rates by 25 bps or 50 bps, especially after Powell reiterated the importance of the job market to policy decisions at the Jackson Hole meeting, the possibility of a rate cut is in the spotlight.However, the market's reaction did not form a unified trend, and the performance of various asset classes is not the same.As of now, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September reflected in CME interest rate futures has risen to 71%, while the 50 basis point rate cut is expected to fall back to 29%.Meanwhile, the 10

Recently market has falls to its worst week in 2024. Investors are watching the yield curve inversing to positive rate. Each instances the yield curve inverted US economy falls into recession eventually and recent non farm payroll and unemployment rates beat expectation which expecting yield curve falls below negative territory but payroll for Jun and Jul data was revised to lower payroll results, pushing yield lower which resulted yield curve returning all time highs since 2022.  Investors are wary on the future of the US economy as yield curve may push the market lower. Although the current data have weaken it's nowhere near recessionary data, market may not have strength during this period. Market will shows strength once yield curve falls. Wednesday inflation data may be the key.&

It suggests that the recent declines in the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 in early September present a buying opportunity. $Microsoft(MSFT)$  $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  $Amazon.com(AMZN)$  $Alphabet(GOOG)$   $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  According to Ned Davis Research (NDR), this dip is part of typical weak seasonal trends but is expected to lead to a strong rally in the fourth quarter.  NDR points out that earnings revisions are improving and economic indicators remain supportive,

Bad report is a bad report lol

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   This week's S&P 500 heatmap. What do you see? I see a rotation into defensive sectors, like utilities, staples and healthcare and out of riskier and more cyclical areas of the market. In any market environment, there is opportunity. Even during the worst week since March '23.

Even though gold $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ prices are still trading high, their upward momentum seems to wane with the arrival of September, a trend sometimes referred to as the “September Curse” in the gold market.Nicky Shiels, the Head of Metals Strategy at MKS PAMP, recently highlighted that since 2009, gold prices have averaged a 2.4% drop in September. Analysts also note that since 2017, gold has averaged a 3.2% decline during this month.It’s not just gold, silver also suffers in September. Over the past 15 years, silver prices have dropped an average of 3.7% in the last month of Q3.Why does gold tend to fall in September?Several factors might be at play. Analysts suggest that traders might adjust their asset allocation strategies during

@Giftreward [Cool]  [What]  [Miser]  

September's irrational self-fulfilling cycle: Basically with growth that we have seen TTM for semiconductor giants, they have been delivering better results than last year but the speculations on declined growth tend to focus too much on quarterly result. If we look at the following table, NVDA's latest quarter earning might not be a big winner but TTM growth is at 193% vs 125% last year, the stock price growth in 2023 was 239%. The recent irrational selling questioning the valuation is caused by short sellers and fear mongers spreading fake news. NVDA's P/E in 2024 is at 89 compared to 284 in 2023. Next for AMAT, in 2023 we saw a return of 67.98%. But for this year, it has improved in EPS TTM and gross margin. We are currently only seeing a limited return at 11.8%. The worst is for A

Since July this year, weak economic data from the United States has further exacerbated market fears of a recession and led to greater volatility.However, as the market gradually stabilized, investors' expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September became clearer and the market has fully priced in the possibility of a rate cut.From a macro perspective, economic data have been erratic, related to the different stages of the current economic cycle and the "green-tinged" policy environment.Currently, corporate earnings data provides a more micro perspective to help further understand market sentiment.9-5_EI InfographicOverall trend: Q2 earnings performance exceeded expectations, revenue growth and cost control to drive up net profit marginsAt the overall level, U.S. corporate

Very well. I need to trade soon.

Overview of the Markets Global stock markets experienced a challenging day, as mixed economic data and concerns over future growth weighed on investor sentiment. US stocks reacted to weaker-than-expected labor market data, while European and Asian markets faced pressures from broader global concerns. The tech-heavy Nasdaq showed some resilience, while other indices faltered. US Markets: Labor Worries Weigh on Stocks US stocks closed lower, as the Dow Jones $DJIA(.DJI)$   dropped by 0.5% to 40,755, and the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$  lost 0.3% to 5,503. Investors were wary following weaker-than-expected labor market data, ra

$S&P 500(.SPX)$  September 6th after the report been announced. It will slightly rebound. But overall, don't forget the curse of september. In my opinion, it will still go down until end of Oct or early Nov! 

$S&P 500(.SPX)$  more Scary day coming

#JOLTS #Non-Farm Payrolls As investors eagerly await the release of Friday’s non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, there is growing speculation about the state of the U.S. labour market and its potential impact on the stock market. Recent job openings, quits, and services activity data suggest a complex picture of the labour market that could guide expectations for the NFP report. With job openings dropping to their lowest level since January 2021 and quits rates edging higher from 2020 lows, there are clear signs of moderation in the labour market that could influence Friday’s report and, in turn, stock market movements. Key Labor Market Indicators The latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that job openings fell by 237,000 in July to 7.673 million, below market expectation

VIX GO

With interest rate cuts on the horizon and increased market volatility ahead of economic data releases, overall volatility of the broader market has increased since August, and the $S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX)$ has moved up and down and has seen more frequent flows of capital between sectors.In addition to more inflows into interest rate-sensitive sectors such as REITs, more attention has been paid to defensive sectors, which have long been characterized as "high dividend paying, counter-cyclical" subsectors that are typically resilient to asset volatility.TobaccoUnconsciously, several giants of the tobacco sector, has hit no less than 30% rise in the year, and since August obviously all the way up.We believe the tobacco sector's strength has b

$S&P 500(.SPX)$   "I sense a looming downturn in the US stock market, as market makers will likely seize on any excuse to drive prices down and fuel fear and uncertainty. Regardless of the upcoming jobs data, the market is poised to react negatively. If the data exceeds expectations, the market will anticipate a smaller interest rate hike, leading to a sell-off. Conversely, if the data disappoints, recession fears will take hold, prompting another sell-off to pressure the Fed into a larger rate cut. Either way, I believe the market is headed for a downturn." Or in a more concise form: "I predict a US stock market downturn, as market makers will exploit any excuse to create fear and uncertainty. The market w

The current state of the United States economy is at the center of the market's disagreement over the "rate-cutting cycle".Some participants believe that the U.S. is on the verge of a recession, while others emphasize the resilience of the economy and continued growth.Rate cuts and recession?Current market expectations for rate cuts stem from two main directions:If the U.S. economy falls into recession, the Fed may be forced to cut rates quickly (the first 50 basis points to start) to ease economic downward pressure;If the economy continues to be resilient, the Fed may also take precautionary rate cuts (starting at 25 basis points for the first time) to ensure that the economy achieves a soft landing.More than 70 common U.S. economic data indicators are divided into core, auxiliary and for

$DJIA(.DJI)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $Gold - main 2412(GCmain)$ $WTI Crude Oil - main 2410(CLmain)$ OverviewStocks have largely recovered from the almost 10% correction seen early in August, which was the worst start to a month since 2002. However, in just 11 trading days the market had recovered and even came near its record July highs.While the Fed has begun to telegraph it will likely cut before the year is out, the market may be jumping the gun, pricing in an aggressive 100bps cut by the end of the year. For September, 63% expect a 25bps cut, and 37% exp

Major EV manufacturers released their August delivery numbers yesterday, and the results were a mixed bag.NIO, XPeng & Li AutoStarting with $NIO Inc.(NIO)$ $NIO-SW(09866)$ , they delivered 20,176 units in August, a 4.4% increase year-over-year, marking their fourth consecutive month with over 20,000 units. This is solid for NIO, especially since they haven’t launched any new models recently and are relying on their existing lineup. For a company focusing solely on EV, maintaining monthly sales above 20,000 units is impressive.NIO also celebrated the launch of its new brand, ONVO, which kicked off with a “100 Stores Opening” event. ONVO L60 model will be available in 105 stores across 55 cities and 23

The market is highly focused on the last non-farm payrolls data ahead of the upcoming September FOMC meeting, as this data will have a decisive impact on the risk of a future recession and the magnitude of the Fed's rate cut.The market is discussing whether the Fed will cut rates by 25 bps or 50 bps, especially after Powell reiterated the importance of the job market to policy decisions at the Jackson Hole meeting, the possibility of a rate cut is in the spotlight.However, the market's reaction did not form a unified trend, and the performance of various asset classes is not the same.As of now, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September reflected in CME interest rate futures has risen to 71%, while the 50 basis point rate cut is expected to fall back to 29%.Meanwhile, the 10

I didn't realize that the U.S. General Election Debate could attract the attention of top streamer Taylor Swift, but if it were in the entertainment industry, Trump would already be dead.At this juncture to do such a large section of justified publicity, obviously also brokers together to discuss the results, after all, the people in this industry know the most about the flow, but also the most understanding of "The Crowd", and even in this contrast, Elon Musk's counter-attacks also seem a little "furious!".At the end of the day, Trump's debates are really bad, but not that bad compared to his past performances - after all, he's not a "reasonable" (in the purely literal sense of the word) person - so Kamala Harris hits him on a couple of key points, and they're right on the money:Trump can

Financial markets are grappling with a new wave of uncertainty as economic indicators point towards a slowing labor market and a potential economic slowdown. Despite expectations for Fed rate cuts, the mood among investors has turned cautious, as the prospect of rate reductions is overshadowed by fears of a more pronounced downturn. The most recent jobs report, which showed weaker-than-expected growth, has fueled concerns that the Fed’s efforts to tame inflation may have gone too far, potentially cooling the economy beyond desired levels. This analysis provides a recap of the latest market movements, explores potential future market scenarios, and outlines key catalysts that will shape market sentiment in the coming weeks. Labor Market Slows as Fed Rate Cuts Near The U.S. labor market show

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  🎯💥 🚨 Caution: Market Storm Brewing! Brace for NVIDIA’s Next Move!💥🎯 🚨 Tēnā koe i tēnei ahiahi everyone, Barcode here with the latest on the broader market action for 4th of September 2024! Now,  if today’s market drop felt like getting whacked by a wet fish ~ don’t worry, we saw this one coming from a mile away! And guess what? The show’s  just getting started. 🎬 📊 NVIDIA: The Drama Queen of the Market Let’s start with NVIDIA, the star of my charts. She’s throwing a bit of a tantrum and is heading for a retest at the $100 mark. But don’t grab your popcorn just yet ~ this isn’t the kind of bounce you want to ride to the moon. 🚀 Nope, after the bounce, I’m expecting a perfect shorting opportunity as we head into t

Since July this year, weak economic data from the United States has further exacerbated market fears of a recession and led to greater volatility.However, as the market gradually stabilized, investors' expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September became clearer and the market has fully priced in the possibility of a rate cut.From a macro perspective, economic data have been erratic, related to the different stages of the current economic cycle and the "green-tinged" policy environment.Currently, corporate earnings data provides a more micro perspective to help further understand market sentiment.9-5_EI InfographicOverall trend: Q2 earnings performance exceeded expectations, revenue growth and cost control to drive up net profit marginsAt the overall level, U.S. corporate

The calm in the U.S. stock market was shattered on Tuesday, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ plunging over 2% and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ soaring. This volatility spike netted an options trader around $12 million in profits by Friday night.The $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ jumped due to a tech stock sell-off dragging down the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ gapped down 2.8% and continued to slide, ending 9.5% lower at a three-week low of $108, shrinking its market cap by $279 billion.On Friday night, an investor spent nearly $9 million buying 350,000

#JOLTS #Non-Farm Payrolls As investors eagerly await the release of Friday’s non-farm payrolls (NFP) data, there is growing speculation about the state of the U.S. labour market and its potential impact on the stock market. Recent job openings, quits, and services activity data suggest a complex picture of the labour market that could guide expectations for the NFP report. With job openings dropping to their lowest level since January 2021 and quits rates edging higher from 2020 lows, there are clear signs of moderation in the labour market that could influence Friday’s report and, in turn, stock market movements. Key Labor Market Indicators The latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that job openings fell by 237,000 in July to 7.673 million, below market expectation

$Costco(COST)$  📈🎯💡 August's Market Mosaic: Winners, Losers, and Surprising Twists!💡🎯📈 Kia ora Tiger traders! August was a whirlwind for the S&P 500, with a market performance as colorful as a stock trader's dream chart! While tech titans either soared or stumbled, some unexpected pairings emerged as the month’s power couples. Let’s break down the heatmap highlights and find out who led, who lagged, and where the surprises lurked! 🎢 Tech vs. Communication Services: A Tale of Two Sectors 🎢 📉 Google's Red Day: GOOG (Google) saw its share price drop by -4.26%, thanks to the ongoing antitrust investigation that's got them feeling like they're on the Monopoly board's 'Go to Jail' square. Meanwhile, over in the tech corner, AAPL (Apple) +4.87%

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThe U.S. stock market was divided this week, with the $DJIA(.DJI)$ Dow Jones reaching record highs in a row while the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ slowly retraced its steps.Obviously, the interest rate cut market is more favorable to growth stocks, why growth companies instead of performance is weaker?In fact, the main thing that caused the Nasdaq to pull back was the highs and lows of the big tech companies that are heavyweights.Nvidia's earnings this week attracted the attention of the whole market, but in the almost impeccable financial results after there are still 6 points of decline, nothing more than to prove that the current market on its performance statement is expected to be full of s

On Tuesday, $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ rose over 38%, with $W&T Offshore(WTI)$ dropped below $70 per barron for the first time since January and is now down 2% on the year.“$WTI continues to drop amid global demand weakness and particularly, continued worries about Chinese growth. On the supply side, the current shutdowns in Libya may be resolved soon and OPEC+ sources have touted production increases in October. Bounces may run into trouble around the broken $72/73 zone. “—@forexanalytix from X platformThe negative line of the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ on the first trading day of September does send a pessimistic signal. The Market wiped out $1 TRILLION

$Kellanova(K)$ $Fortinet(FTNT)$ $Axon Enterprise, Inc.(AXON)$ $Starbucks(SBUX)$ $Clorox(CLX)$ 🎯 August Sizzlers: The Top S&P 500 Performers~Ready for Takeoff or Fizzling Out? 🎯 Kia ora Tiger traders! August zoomed by faster than a SpaceX rocket, but not without leaving some scorch marks on the S&P 500! 🌠 This month was like a good suspense thriller~plenty of twists, a couple of cliffhangers, and a few heroes who saved the day. So, who were the real stars of the show? Let’s dive into the stock market’s August blockbuster! 📊 Broader Market Update: The S&P 500 ha

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC(SPX.UK)$  📊 Market Recap & Week Ahead: Your Essential Guide to Staying Ahead in Trading! 📅 🎯 Heat Map Recap: S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 Performance (31 August 2024) Kia ora Tiger traders! Let’s dive into today’s market performance, where the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 all strutted their stuff in the post-market limelight: 📊 S&P 500 ($SPX) - Performance: The S&P 500 held its ground, showing that tech is still the heavyweight champ. - Key Movers: - Nvidia ($NVDA): +1.51% — The AI darling keeps flexing its muscles. - Amazon ($AMZN): +3.71% — Shopping carts aren’t the only thing overflowing; AMZN's gains are too

As we enter the first week of September 2024, several significant economic events are set to shape market movements and investor sentiment. These events are closely tied to anticipated monetary policy changes and economic indicators, making them crucial for market participants to monitor. Here are the four major economic events to watch this week: 1. U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report (Friday, September 6) The most anticipated event of the week is the U.S. Department of Labor's release of the August non-farm payrolls report on Friday. The previous month's data showed an increase of 114,000 jobs, while the expectation for August is a gain of 165,000. This report is particularly significant because it will influence the Federal Reserve's decision at its upcoming policy meeting on September 17-18.

Market saw major indices put in a mixed performance Thursday as shares of Nvidia decline sharply despite a positive earnings but investors are looking for high growth outlook. S&P 500 closed flat while NASDAQ fell by -0.23% with both indexes losing ground late in the day as the Nvidia selling intensified. Only DJIA managed to gain +0.59% to close at record high for the third time in four days. Other mega-cap tech stocks were mostly higher on Thursday, with Meta Platforms (META), Microsoft (MSFT), $Apple(AAPL)$ and Amazon (AMZN) gaining ground while Alphabet (GOOGL) finished lower. Economic Data Weekly jobless claims figures released early Thursday came in as expected, while the latest revision to gross domestic product numbers showed that the

With interest rate cuts on the horizon and increased market volatility ahead of economic data releases, overall volatility of the broader market has increased since August, and the $S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX)$ has moved up and down and has seen more frequent flows of capital between sectors.In addition to more inflows into interest rate-sensitive sectors such as REITs, more attention has been paid to defensive sectors, which have long been characterized as "high dividend paying, counter-cyclical" subsectors that are typically resilient to asset volatility.TobaccoUnconsciously, several giants of the tobacco sector, has hit no less than 30% rise in the year, and since August obviously all the way up.We believe the tobacco sector's strength has b

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$  📊 Market Warning - 29 August 2024: NVIDIA’s Plunge Signals Danger Ahead—Extreme Short Term Caution Required! 📊 Kia ora Tiger traders! I’m a little late with my report today after a big nap this afternoon following a huge night last night watching the market and Nividia’s performance. Phew that’s done and dusted right! Strap in and hold tight~NVIDIA delivered a gut punch that could send shockwaves through the entire market! With a jaw-dropping 10% drop, this market leader’s performance is a flashing red warning

$IBM(IBM)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $1X AMZN(AMZN.UK)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  💹💰💹 IBM Roars to Life: Hedge Funds? More Like Hedge Fools! 💹💰💹 Kia ora Tiger traders! $IBM: From Sleeper to a Beast! 🚀 I’ve got to say~there’s nothing “sleeper” about IBM stock, despite what some hedge funds tried to convince us earlier this year. While they were busy hitting the snooze button, I was wide awake and riding this beast to the top. I’m now up 5.27%, and it’s clear that those who called it a “short” missed the boat entirely! 📈 Post-Market Update: IBM Still Climbing! • Last Price: $202.15 • Post-Market Price: $202.15 (+0.01%) • High: