In my view, the market has been pricing in the "Trump trade" for the past month, but we're starting to see signs of an unwind. We've seen a strong rally in crypto alongside Trump, but it seems likely that this will reverse if he loses.
For example, Bitcoin dropped 6%$iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ , $Trump Media & Technology(DJT)$
Looking at fundamental indicators like favourability, voter enthusiasm, fundraising, donor numbers, and voter mobilization, it seems clear that Harris is outpacing Trump.
Modify on 2024-11-04 02:54
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