To The Moon

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ managed to turn a profit in the third quarter of 2024, which was reported on November 11, and jumped more than 12% after the earnings report.

An overview of the financials

• Revenue: Q3 revenue was $716 million, up 17% year-over-year and 20% on a constant currency basis, beating expectations of $699 million; on-demand gross transaction value GMV reached $4,659 million, up 15% year-over-year and 18% on a constant currency basis.

• On the profit side, a turnaround was achieved with a profit of $15 million, a significant improvement from a loss of $99 million in the same period last year; adjusted EBITDA was $90 million, up 224% year-over-year.

• Operating cash flow was $338 million, up 5% year-over-year.Adjusted free cash flow was $138 million, compared to negative $6 million in the same period last year.

Business Segment Performance

1. Distribution: revenue of $380 million, up 13% year-on-year and 16% at constant exchange rates; GMV of $2,965 million, up 12% year-on-year and 16% at constant exchange rates, with a significant increase in transaction volume.

2. Travel: revenue of $271 million, up 17% year-on-year and 20% at constant exchange rates; GMV of $1,694 million, up 20% year-on-year and 24% at constant exchange rates, with a significant increase in user activity.

3. Financial services: revenue of $64 million, up 34% year-on-year and 38% at constant exchange rates, with strong contributions from lending business and digital banking; loan portfolio reached $498 million, up 81% year-on-year.

Performance Outlook

The company expects full-year 2024 revenues to reach between $2.76 billion and $2.78 billion, up 17%-18% year-over-year.Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $308 million to $313 million, beating market expectations.

Investment Highlights

On growth sustainability

In a competitive market environment, the CEO said that Grab will continue to invest in technology and infrastructure to enhance user experience and grow market share, and that a diversified business model will help it remain resilient in different economic environments.

On cost control measures

The CFO noted that the company is controlling costs by optimizing operational processes and reducing the percentage of incentive spending, which has declined relative to GMV despite an increase in incentive spending.

On the growth prospects of financial services

Financial services are a key driver of Grab's future growth, and the company plans to further expand its loan offerings and explore new opportunities in digital banking to meet growing market demand.

On international expansion plans

The COO said that Grab is currently focused on consolidating its leadership position in the Southeast Asian market, but is also evaluating potential new market opportunities.He emphasized that international expansion would be carefully considered while ensuring the robust growth of the existing business.