MaverickWealthBuilder

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    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·04-12 11:54

      BIG TECH WEEKLY | Chip War's coming? The only winner is...

      Big-Tech’s PerformanceMagnificent 7 hit a new high this week, and the excess returns over $S&P 500(.SPX)$ also hit a new high. Despite this week's CPI exceeding expectations, the market's expectations for rate cuts this year have greatly declined, with only one rate cut expected in September.Whether hedging or convergency, the seven giants with strong cash flows and high tech attributes have also received inflows. According to Bloomberg's consensus, Q1 profits of the M7 are expected to grow by 38%.As of the close on April 11, all big tech companies have risen over the past week. The best performers were $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ +5.9%,
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      BIG TECH WEEKLY | Chip War's coming? The only winner is...
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·04-11

      Surprising March CPI Makes Market Hard to React

      After the release of the March CPI, the CME's FedWatch Tool shows that it may be very difficult to cut interest rates twice this year. The current pricing is for a rate cut in September (with a probability of 46%), and a second rate cut in December (with a probability of 33.7% vs. 33.6%).Why does this CPI exceed expectations and have a significant impact on the market?It may once again expose the shortcoming of the Fed's "delayed" judgmentCoincidentally, on April 10th, the day the CPI data was announced, the minutes of the March meeting were also released, indicating that the expectation of three rate cuts this year remains unchanged.Although the Fed has slowed down its balance sheet reduction this year, it does not intend to reduce the pace of reduction.The purchasing power support brough
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      Surprising March CPI Makes Market Hard to React
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·04-10

      What if you own TSLA and NVDA at the same time?

      A Almost hedge Portfolio?The trends of $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ have been opposite as the stock price chart shows.About priceIn the first three months, NVDA had unlimited glory, while Tesla shareholders suffered. In April, Tesla instead rose against the trnd. The correlation of NVDA and Tesla YTD is only 0.002, compared to an average of 0.245 over the past two years. Similarly, the correlation between Tesla and $Apple(AAPL)$ remains around 0.5. About VolatilityTurn to options' implied volatility, since 2024, the at-the-money options volatility of Tesla and NVDA has also shown fluctuation of one doing well while the other drops. Both PUT and CA
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      What if you own TSLA and NVDA at the same time?
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·04-09

      DXYZ-Another GME, or best way investing SpaceX & OpenAI?

      $Destiny Tech100 Inc(DXYZ)$ is a closed-end fund, with an initial listing price of $8.25, soaring to over $100 in just 9 days, closing at $99.75. And post-trade on April 10, it surged another 16%.There's a reason for all the frenzy, this closed-end fund is composed of 100 top private tech companies, including $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Elon Musk's SpaceX, $Apple(AAPL)$ competitor EpicGame, and the current hottest ChatGPT's parent company OpenAI $Microsoft(MSFT)$ .The main holdings are as follows, with SpaceX accounting for over a third of the portfolio at 34.6%. So buying this CEF is equivalent to buying a high percentage of S
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      DXYZ-Another GME, or best way investing SpaceX & OpenAI?
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·04-08

      How Japan's "Inflation" Means To Investors?

      Japan is gradually moving out of deflation, mainly due to external shocks such as Covid-19 and Ukrainian War, rather than the internal "Abenomics." The main reasons why "Abenomics" failed to achieve inflation are the tight fiscal policy and the failure to address labor shortages.The growth of salaries in Japan in 2024 may once again see a significant increase, and it is expected that Japan's inflation will be around 2.0-2.5% in 2024. In the long run, given the shortage of domestic labor supply in Japan and the changes in the international trade pattern, it is believed that Japan may completely get out of deflation.Today, the Japanese economy may have emerged from the "Lost 30 Years", and the future may face an important turning point. During 2021-2023, Japan's economy grew above potential
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      How Japan's "Inflation" Means To Investors?
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·04-03

      Impact of the 7.5 magnitude earthquake on TSMC

      $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ evacuated production lines and factory areas in response to the major 7.4 magnitude earthquake, indicating disruptions to its manufacturing operations. This could lead to production delays and supply chain issues for TSMC's major customers like $Apple(AAPL)$ and $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ .ImageFrom historical experience, earthquakes affect five sectors of the industryTaiwan's chip cowos packaging sector, GPU/AI chip capacity.Taiwan's wafer foundry contract manufacturing, high-end mobile phones, and server chips.Taiwan's panel LCD industry, will continue to affect the supply.Japan and South Korea's storage industry, dram and nand
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      Impact of the 7.5 magnitude earthquake on TSMC
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·04-01

      3 Pillars of the US Bull Market

      Since the pandemic in 2020, the U.S. stock market has shown extraordinary resilience. Even under the impact of high inflation and a rapid interest rate hike cycle, U.S. stocks have maintained a strong performance, even hitting new highs recently under the expectation of interest rate cuts. The reasons behind this are not as simple as they appear on the surface, but rather the result of a relay of factors.Souce: CICC Quarterly Foreign Direct Investment into US marketPillar 1: Leverage, The key role of government fiscal stimulusDuring the pandemic, the U.S. government implemented large-scale fiscal stimulus measures, including direct cash subsidies to residents and loan support to the corporate sector. This not only protected the balance sheets of residents and businesses, but also stimulate
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      3 Pillars of the US Bull Market
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·03-29

      BIG TECH WEEKLY | Tesla's still in the stage

      Big-Tech’s PerformanceThe curtain falls on Q1 2024, with strong tech stocks leading the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 to new highs. Two concepts are leading the way: AI and digital currency, both with certain performance supports and benefiting from a decline in risk premiums.Big tech companies are also showing a bifurcation, with NVDA performing the strongest in Q1, surging 82.6%, and TSLA being the worst performer, pulling back 29.3%.As of the close on March 28th, over the past week, the best performers among big tech companies were $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ +2.26%, $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ +1.25%, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
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      BIG TECH WEEKLY | Tesla's still in the stage
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·03-28

      Why Quarterly Rebalancing Matters?

      March 28 is the last trading day of Q1 this year. According to a recent research report from $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ , it is estimated that $32 billion worth of stock assets will be sold off, mainly from pension funds. The sell-off in the U.S. stock market on the afternoon of March 26 is related to this. It is important to note that quarterly rebalancing is different from the 'index rebalancing' familiar to individual stock investors. Index rebalancing often does not occur on the final day of the quarter. For example, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rebalances at the close of the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. Quarterly rebalancing generally refers to rebalancing asset portfolios (asset classes) and
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      Why Quarterly Rebalancing Matters?
    • MaverickWealthBuilderMaverickWealthBuilder
      ·03-28

      Unusual Option Talks? Tesla's back

      AI frenzy at the beginning of the year put chip stocks in the limelight. Despite the high stock price, the options trading volume for $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ remains high, even surpassing $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ By the middle to late March, investors slowly adapt to the current trend, and the volatility of chip stocks has also decreased significantly. NVDA's current IV Rank (a percentage of the high and low IV points in the past 52 weeks) remains at 42%, while other AI stocks have all retreated below the 50th percentile. Relatively stable are $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ On the other hand, Tesla (TSLA),
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      Unusual Option Talks? Tesla's back
       
       
       
       

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