Technical Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) as of 25 Feb 2025
1. Current Price Action:
- Tesla's stock is down 18% year-to-date (YTD) in 2025, reflecting significant bearish momentum.
2. Key Support Levels:
- $315: This is a critical technical support level. If Tesla fails to hold this level, it could trigger further selling pressure.
- $296–$300: This range represents the next major support zone. Historically, this area has acted as a strong floor for Tesla's price during previous corrections.
- $265: If the bearish momentum intensifies, this level could come into play as a long-term support level.
3. Moving Averages:
- Tesla has broken below the 100-day simple moving average (100 SMA), which is a bearish signal. The 100 SMA often acts as dynamic support, and a break below it indicates weakening momentum.
- The 200-day SMA is currently around $276-280, which could serve as a strong support level if the stock continues to decline.
4. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
- The RSI on 4hr chart is currently in oversold territory, which could indicate a potential short-term bounce or consolidation. However, oversold conditions can persist in strong downtrends, so caution is advised.
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Fundamental Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) as of 25 Feb 2025.
1. Macroeconomic Factors:
- Rising interest rates and inflationary pressures have weighed on high-growth stocks like Tesla. Higher borrowing costs could impact consumer demand for EVs and Tesla's ability to fund its expansion plans.
- Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions remain key risks for Tesla's global operations.
2. Innovation and Growth Drivers:
- Tesla continues to invest heavily in autonomous driving technology and energy storage solutions, which could be significant growth drivers in the long term.
- The company's Gigafactories are scaling production, but delays or inefficiencies could impact profitability.
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Key Levels to Watch:
- Support Levels: $325 (immediate), $315 (triple daily top), $296–$300 (next major zone), $265 (long-term).
- Resistance Levels: $350, $343 (100 SMA), $362.62.
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Investment Strategy:
Personally, I will wait for a clear reversal signal or a bounce from key support levels ($315 or $296–$300) before considering an entry.
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Conclusion:
Tesla's stock is currently in a bearish trend, with key technical levels and fundamental challenges weighing on the price. While the stock could see a bounce from oversold conditions, the overall trend remains weak. Investors should monitor key support levels ($315 and $296–$300) and wait for confirmation of a reversal before making significant moves. Long-term investors may find value at lower prices, but short-term traders should remain cautious.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
- Ping23·02-25TOPTSLA stock and AI related shares will see the bearish market movements in the next few months. Chinese DeepSeek and US tariffs restrict US technology access to the Chinese market. I believe Investing in Chinese companies are high risk.1Report
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