To The Moon

$AeroVironment(AVAV)$ just caught my attention—and here’s why I believe it’s shaping up as one of the more exciting stocks to watch right now.

With institutional investors buying quietly, AVAV is building a solid base before the bigger move. That steady support behind the scenes could make any future breakout more reliable.

Q4 saw an astounding +274% YoY in EPS and +40% YoY in revenues. While recent EPS momentum decelerated slightly (77 EPS Rating), the growth trajectory remains strong and validates the current technical breakout.

AVAV Daily Chart

Among peers like $Heico(HEI)$ and $Espey Manufacturing & Electronics(ESP)$, AeroVironment ranks 6th in its group—a telling sign that the market is starting to appreciate its potential as drones and autonomous systems gain traction in defense spending.

As defense budgets and commercial drone use expand, AVAV stands to benefit from its strong R&D pipeline and defense contracts—sectors often overlooked in commercial tech pullbacks.

With the breakout triggered, my lens is on whether AVAV can hold above $260–$265. A dedicated retest of that level followed by buying volume would signal a clear "go." That zone aligns roughly with yesterday’s consolidation highs and AVAV’s rising 20-day moving average—a logical place for dip buyers to defend.

The next ceiling I’m watching is $285. A clean close above $285, especially on elevated volume, would signal continued leader-style strength. Beyond that, $300 becomes the psychological round number to test. AVAV is now comfortably above its 50- and 200-day SMAs (currently near $240 and $200, respectively), reinforcing a sustained uptrend. When a stock trades well above both moving averages, it often signals runaway momentum—which is exactly what I’m seeing.

I’d look to add to my position on pullbacks into the $260–$265 zone, using that level as my tactical entry while placing a stop just below $255 to limit downside. I want to see volume on rallies exceed yesterday’s 4.7 million shares to confirm institutional participation is still intact. Should AVAV clear $285, I’d set an initial upside target near $300, then $315–$325 in the coming 2–3 months if the defense-drone thesis remains supportive.

In summary, AVAV isn’t cheap at $272.37—but it’s far from stretched given its fundamentals and technical momentum. I’m watching for disciplined entries on dips into $260–$265, ready to scale in as volume confirms continued institutional support. If you believe that autonomous systems and defense applications will only accelerate, AVAV remains one of the higher-upside names I’d hold.

@MillionaireTiger @Tiger_comments @Daily_Discussion @CaptainTiger @TigerSG

Disclaimer: This is a general analysis and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.