To The Moon

July 15, 2025, is a high-octane day for the stock market, with the June Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, Q2 earnings from banking giants, and “Crypto Week” developments in Congress setting the stage for big moves. The S&P 500’s steady climb to 6,263.26 and the Nasdaq’s record high at 20,630 reflect optimism, but the VIX at 15.94 signals volatility as tariff tensions and economic data loom. Investors are eyeing opportunities in financials, tech, and crypto stocks, with JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, NVIDIA, and Coinbase leading the pack. This report highlights key market catalysts, top stocks to watch, and strategic trading opportunities to seize the day while managing risks.

Market Landscape: Catalysts Driving Action

Key News and Movements

• June CPI Release: The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release June CPI data, projected at 2.33%, the lowest since January 2019’s 1.97%. A lower-than-expected CPI could boost hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts, lifting tech and consumer stocks, while a higher reading might pressure growth sectors.

• Q2 Bank Earnings: JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C), and Wells Fargo (WFC) report Q2 earnings today, serving as bellwethers for the financial sector. Strong results could drive sector gains, while misses might trigger sell-offs.

• Crypto Week: The House’s “Crypto Week” (July 14-18) features three bills—GENIUS Act, CLARITY Act, and CBDC Anti-Surveillance State Act—aiming to regulate cryptocurrencies. Positive developments could lift crypto stocks like Coinbase (COIN).

• Tariff Tensions: President Trump’s tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada, effective August 1) have markets cautious, but a softened White House stance boosts hopes for deals. The S&P 500’s 0.07% gain on July 11 suggests resilience.

• AI and Tech Momentum: NVIDIA’s $4 trillion market cap and China sales resumption, alongside xAI’s Grok-4 integration into Tesla vehicles, keep tech stocks hot.

• Geopolitical Risks: The Israel-Iran conflict, with oil at $75 per barrel, supports energy stocks like ExxonMobil (XOM) but pressures consumer sectors.

Social media sentiment on X is mixed, with users hyping bank earnings and crypto bills but warning of tariff-driven volatility, with one post noting, “CPI and tariffs could shake markets—hedge or hold tight.”

Stocks to Watch: July 15, 2025

Here’s a curated list of stocks poised for action today, driven by earnings, economic data, and sector trends:

• JPMorgan Chase ( $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ ): Q2 earnings expected to show $4.47 EPS (up 15% YoY), driven by 31% investment banking fee growth. Targets $190, with support at $175.

• Citigroup ( $Citigroup(C)$ ): Q2 EPS forecast at $1.39 (up 12% YoY), with $2.5 billion in cost savings. Targets $70, with support at $55.

• Wells Fargo ( $Wells Fargo(WFC)$ ): Q2 earnings could signal NII recovery, with EPS up 14% YoY. Targets $60, with support at $50.

• NVIDIA ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ): Up 171% YTD to $167, with China sales resumption fueling momentum. Targets $190, with support at $150.

• Coinbase ( $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ ): Up 171% YTD to $382.60, driven by Bitcoin’s $118K surge and Crypto Week bills. Targets $400, with support at $350.

• Delta Air Lines (DAL): Up 5% recently to $50, with a 10% revenue growth outlook. Targets $60, with support at $45.

• UnitedHealth (UNH): Down 35% YTD to $300, but a defensive play with a 2.8% dividend yield. Targets $436.83, with support at $280.

• Microsoft (MSFT): Up 30% YTD to $475, with Q2 earnings (July 29) forecasting $65 billion revenue. Targets $550, with support at $450.

• Palantir (PLTR): Up 83.95% YTD to $139.12, with 39% Q1 revenue growth. Targets $155, with support at $120.

• Trade Desk (TTD): Up 14% to $86.75 on S&P 500 inclusion. Targets $100, with support at $80.

Key News and Highlights

June CPI Release

The June CPI, projected at 2.33%, could be the lowest since January 2019’s 1.97%. A lower-than-expected reading might boost rate-sensitive stocks like NVDA, MSFT, and TTD, while a higher CPI could lift financials like JPM and C. A dovish CPI could raise Fed rate cut odds to 70% for September, per futures markets.

Q2 Bank Earnings

• JPMorgan (JPM): Expected to report $4.47 EPS and $41 billion revenue, up 15% and 10% YoY, driven by trading and investment banking. A beat could push JPM to $190; a miss might test $175.

• Citigroup (C): Forecasted $1.39 EPS and $20.8 billion revenue, up 12% and 8% YoY, with cost cuts as a tailwind. Targets $70 on a beat, with $55 support.

• Wells Fargo (WFC): Projected $1.29 EPS and $20.5 billion revenue, up 14% YoY, with NII recovery key. Targets $60 on a beat, with $50 support.

Crypto Week Developments

The House’s “Crypto Week” (July 14-18) features the GENIUS Act, CLARITY Act, and CBDC Anti-Surveillance State Act, with a 92% chance of GENIUS passing, per Polymarket. Positive outcomes could lift COIN to $400, while delays might test $350.

Tariff Tensions

Trump’s tariffs (30% on EU/Mexico, 35% on Canada, effective August 1) have softened, with the White House calling deadlines “not critical.” Deal progress could lift tech (NVDA, MSFT) and consumer stocks (DAL); failures might trigger a 5-10% S&P 500 pullback to 5,800-6,000.

AI and Consumer Strength

• NVIDIA (NVDA): China sales resumption and a $4 trillion market cap fuel optimism, with Q2 earnings (August 27) expected at $47 billion.

• Delta Air Lines (DAL): A 10% revenue growth outlook signals consumer strength, lifting airline stocks like UAL and AAL.

Trading Opportunities

Short-Term Plays

• Buy JPMorgan on Earnings Beat: Enter at $175-$180, target $190, stop at $170. A 5-8% gain if Q2 earnings exceed $4.47 EPS.

• Buy Citigroup on Dip: Grab at $55-$58, target $70, stop at $50. A 20% gain if cost cuts shine.

• Options Straddle: Buy $180 calls/puts on JPM or $58 calls/puts on C for earnings volatility.

• Buy NVIDIA on Dip: Enter at $150-$155, target $190, stop at $140. A 18-27% gain if China sales momentum holds.

Long-Term Investments

• Hold NVIDIA: Buy at $150-$155, target $200-$250, for 22-55% upside with AI growth.

• Hold Coinbase: Buy at $350-$360, target $400-$420, for 10-20% upside with crypto momentum.

• Diversify with Tech ETF (XLK): Buy at $200, target $220, stop at $190, for broad tech exposure.

Hedge Strategies

• VIXY ETF: Buy at $15, target $18, stop at $13, to hedge against tariff or CPI volatility.

• SPY ETF Puts: Use puts at $614 to protect against a 5-10% S&P 500 pullback.

• Gold ETF (GLD): Buy at $200, target $220, stop at $190, as a safe-haven hedge.

My Trading Plan

I’m bullish on JPMorgan for its earnings strength and NVIDIA for its AI-driven growth but cautious about tariff and CPI risks. I’ll buy JPM at $175-$180, targeting $190, with a $170 stop, and NVDA at $150-$155, targeting $190, with a $140 stop. For diversification, I’ll add COIN at $350-$360, targeting $400, with a $330 stop, betting on Crypto Week momentum. I’m hedging with VIXY at $15, targeting $18, and keeping 20% cash to seize dips if tariffs (e.g., U.S.-China trade tensions) or geopolitical tensions (Israel-Iran conflict) shake markets. I’ll monitor CPI data, Q2 earnings, and Crypto Week developments for cues.

The Bigger Picture

July 15, 2025, is a critical day with June CPI data, Q2 bank earnings from JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo, and Crypto Week developments driving market action. NVIDIA’s China sales resumption, Coinbase’s crypto surge, and Delta’s consumer strength add to the opportunities, while tariff risks and geopolitical tensions (Israel-Iran conflict, oil at $75 per barrel) keep volatility alive. Investors should buy financials and tech on dips for growth, use options for earnings volatility, and hedge with VIXY or GLD to manage risks. The market’s a high-stakes game—pick your winners and trade smart.

What’s your top stock pick for July 15? Are you betting on banks, tech, or crypto? Share your strategy below! 🎁

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📝 Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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