Is Palantir (PLTR) a Buy, Sell or Hold ?
It Is Coming.
I am sure that all investors are aware by now that $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ is set to report its Q2 2025 earnings come Mon, 04 Aug 2025.
As expected, jitters are backed (again !) to haunt S&P 500 - 2025 best performing IT stock, on its run up to releasing its quarterly earnings report card.
This is because PLTR deviates from the norm when analysts tried to dissect it.
Dissatisfactions.
(1) Sky high valuations.
A lot have been said about its valuation (currently at 123x sales as of mid July 2025) as being unrealistically un-sustainable.
Having said that, there was a ‘food for thoughts’ post that question evaluating PLTR based on valuation alone. (see below)
Due to real estate, I will not get into the details but readers are strongly recommended to google and read it.
(2) Biz - Too Govt Centric.
Apart from that, the other grouse is that PLTR leans too heavily on government projects.
As I have said (many times) in the past, when one is opened for business - does it matter if it comes from either the public or private sectors ?
Main considerations should be:
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Does it pay (well) & on time.
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Are there prospects of a long term partnership?
These should be the important factors to take into considerations, no ?
It is also time to debunk the myth over this allegation - once and for all. (see below)
Data is as of FY 2024
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PLTR began as a clandestine data‑crunching outfit for US intelligence agencies.
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Two decades (20 years) later it is a publicly traded enterprise positioning its Gotham and Foundry platforms as mission‑critical operating systems for both armies and asset managers alike.
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Above ‘self-explanatory’ chart by Statista, successfully captures where PLTR’s money is coming from.
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When the difference in revenue quantum between public & private sectors is only $0.3 billion, it does not looked too government centric - does it ?
Q2 Earnings Forecast.
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Earnings per share (EPS): is expected to be $0.14 per share, making it a +54% YoY gain.
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Total Revenue: is projected to be $939 million, that is a +38% YoY growth.
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Government: Expected revenue from government contracts is between $510–513 million; making it a +38% YoY gain in this business segment.
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Commercial: Expected revenue will be between $425–429 million, an estimated +38% YoY growth.
Next Venture.
On 05 Jun 2025, PLTR announced a new partnership with TeleTracking to use its AI suite in conjunction with the latter’s platform to optimize (a) healthcare operations and (b) organizational decision-making capabilities. (see below)
Palantir’s Foundry and AIP systems will integrate with TeleTracking’s Operation IQ platform to:
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“Seamlessly integrate clinical, operational, financial, workforce, and third-party data
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Leverage predictive forecasting and demand modeling to manage capacity, staffing, and resources
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Enable visibility and near real-time situational awareness across regions or systems
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Drive enterprise-wide optimization of key resources and maximize patient flow through operational Command Centers
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Leverage the unique operational data of TeleTracking, coupled with the Palantir AI-native platform, to drive automation in the operational processes
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Reduce burden on staff and caregivers, while improving patient and financial outcomes.”
Seriousness / Dedication.
PLTR is dead serious about this new venture & success in the underserved Healthcare sector.
So laser focused that:
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It has an entire division dedicated to Health & Life sciences, including platforms to support fundamental and translational clinical sciences and research.
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It even has a dedicated vertical for hospitals, developed to address their systematic data needs.
As a result, its small but growing list of impressive clients include:
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UK’s national health system (NHS).
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HCA Healthcare.
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Mt. Sinai Health System.
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The Joint Commission where It is also doing work in the regulatory standards and compliance space, to optimize healthcare and accreditation data.
Stock Movements.
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PLTR has a whirlwind YTD rally in 2025.
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Its stock price has surged by +110.60% as of 31 Jul 2025 closing.
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It hit a 52-week high of $160.89 and a 52-week low of $21.23.
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It’s run in FY 2025, has been driven by robust revenue growth of +39% YoY in registered in Q1 2025.
Market enthusiasm about its artificial intelligence platform, AIP, has resulted in accelerating demand from both government and commercial sectors.
As of 28 July 2025
Technical Analysis.
PLTR's technical analysis (TA) as of late July 2025 shows the stock trading near record highs, driven by strong AI demand and repeatedly accelerating revenue.
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Based on PLTR’s past month’s movements, moving averages (20/50/200-day) remained bullish.
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Momentum oscillator RSI has a reading of “66” as of 31 Jul 2025. PLTR is approaching but not in “overbought” territory yet. This “ties in” with PLTR’s moving average readings - suggesting moderately strong buying momentum.
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It’s Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at “97.92”, indicates PLTR stock price is elevated but not yet at an extreme level that triggers overbought concerns or potential reversals.
Overall, technical and news sources converge on a cautious stance for PLTR:
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Momentum is positive.
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Risk of a valuation-driven reversal is significant if fundamentals do not keep pace.
PLTR is at a inflection point where its Q2 earnings will determine if the stock continues to rise further or encounter a correction.
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Do you think PLTR will be able to outperform its Q2 2024 earnings ?
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Do you think PLTR is a “Buy”, “Sell” or “Hold” ?
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- Mortimer Arthur·08-04TOPA lot of people are expecting this to drop after the earnings report and selling to buy back in at a lower price. I thought about doing the same but I really believe PLTR will significantly exceed all expectations and this stock is going to explode upwards after the earnings report.LikeReport
- Valerie Archibald·08-04TOP$1B in revenue reported and then what happens to the stock???LikeReport
- Venus Reade·08-04TOPToo many contracts written from the last 3 months to not have absolute blowout earnings! 175-185 by WednesdayLikeReport
- JC888·08-05Thank you for reading my post. I hope you find it useful. Please Repost and share so more people can see. Likes are equally welcome. Thanks.LikeReport
- MorganHope·08-04Great analysisLikeReport
