Deep dive with rising gold

$UNITED GENERAL(SG9999001143.SGD)$ 

๐ŸŒŸ Goldman Sets Gold for $5,000 Amid Market Chaos: Long or Short? ๐ŸŒŸ

โœจ Goldโ€™s recent rally has stunned global markets, breaking through the $3,430 resistance level and quickly powering up to $3,600. This breakout from the barrier triangle pattern has ignited bullish calls, with Goldman Sachs even suggesting that gold could climb as high as $5,000 if the Federal Reserveโ€™s credibility is further damaged by economic instability. ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ’ฑ

๐Ÿฅˆ Silver has followed suit, breaking above $40 for the first time since 2011. The momentum in precious metals has raised pressing questions for investors: Is this a sustainable rally or a setup for a pullback? ๐Ÿค”

$iShares Gold Trust(IAU)$  

๐Ÿš€ $3,800 Next Stop or a Pullback? ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ“‰

From a technical perspective, $3,800 looks like the next logical stop if momentum continues. ๐Ÿ“Š Goldโ€™s breakout was accompanied by strong volume, signaling institutional buying. However, such steep climbs are rarely linear. โšก After touching $3,600, a pullback toward $3,450โ€“$3,500 is possible before another leg higher. Traders ๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿ’ป may look for profit-taking opportunities, while long-term holders ๐Ÿฆ see any dip as a chance to accumulate.

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๐ŸŒ• Moving Into Gold & Silver ๐Ÿ’Ž

With geopolitical tensions ๐ŸŒ, central bank buying ๐Ÿ›๏ธ, and persistent inflationary pressures ๐Ÿ”ฅ, goldโ€™s appeal as a safe-haven asset has only strengthened. I personally own IAU (iShares Gold Trust) ๐Ÿช™, giving me direct exposure to bullion, as well as positions in gold-focused funds ๐Ÿ“ฆ.

For diversification, I also hold IBIT (BlackRockโ€™s Bitcoin ETF) ๐Ÿช™๐Ÿ’ป, which offers a different flavor of โ€œdigital gold.โ€ Silver, with its dual role as a monetary ๐Ÿ’ต and industrial โš™๏ธ metal, is catching up fastโ€”its breakout above $40 could mark the start of a long-overdue re-rating.

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๐Ÿ’ปโœจ Crypto as a Parallel Safe Asset ๐Ÿ”

Bitcoin and crypto assets are also rebounding ๐Ÿ“ˆ, positioning themselves as alternative safe havens. While more volatile ๐ŸŽข than gold, Bitcoin is increasingly being treated as a hedge against currency debasement ๐Ÿ’ธ and central bank policy missteps.

My allocation to IBIT complements my gold holdings ๐Ÿช™, giving me exposure to both traditional ๐Ÿฆ and digital ๐ŸŒ stores of value.

$iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF(IBIT)$  

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๐Ÿ“ Covered Calls: Locking in Premiums While Holding ๐Ÿ’ฐ

For investors already positioned in gold ETFs like IAU, one tactical move is to sell covered calls ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ“ฆ. This strategy allows me to lock in additional income ๐Ÿ’ต through premiums while continuing to benefit from long-term appreciation ๐ŸŒŸ.

If prices stall or consolidate near $3,500โ€“$3,600 ๐Ÿ“Š, covered calls provide a way to monetize sideways action โžก๏ธโฌ…๏ธ without selling core holdings. On the flip side, if gold surges past $3,800 ๐Ÿš€, my upside is capped at the strike price ๐ŸŽฏ, but I still keep the premium as a buffer ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ.

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๐Ÿค” Would You Short Gold at $3,500? โš”๏ธ

Shorting gold at current levels is risky โš ๏ธ. Momentum remains on the bullsโ€™ side ๐Ÿ‚, and any short position could quickly turn painful ๐Ÿ˜ฃ if $3,800 is tested.

However, tactical traders ๐ŸŽฏ may attempt short plays if gold fails to hold above $3,500, looking for quick pullbacks ๐ŸŒ€. For investors like myself, who are already positioned in IAU, IBIT, and gold funds, the strategy is to ride the long-term trend ๐ŸŒŠ while respecting near-term volatility ๐ŸŒช๏ธ.

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โšก Conclusion: The Rally Is Real, but Volatility Ahead โšก

Gold and silver have reasserted themselves as core safe-haven assets ๐Ÿฐ in todayโ€™s uncertain environment ๐ŸŒ. While a short-term pullback โฌ‡๏ธ is possible, the long-term trajectoryโ€”fueled by central bank buying ๐Ÿ›๏ธ, macro uncertainty ๐ŸŒช๏ธ, and weakening faith in fiat stability ๐Ÿ’ตโ€”remains intact.

For now, I am holding my positions ๐Ÿ› ๏ธ in gold and crypto, treating dips as opportunities ๐ŸŽ rather than threats. At the same time, I see covered calls as a smart way ๐Ÿง  to extract premiums and reinforce my portfolioโ€™s cash flow ๐Ÿ’ธ.

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๐Ÿพ My โ€œOptions Puppyโ€ Journey ๐Ÿพ

As an investor, I position myself as a disciplined learner ๐Ÿ“š in the markets, focusing on covered calls ๐Ÿ“ฆ and cash-secured puts ๐Ÿ”’ under the framework of my Options Puppy journey.

With a background in accounting studies ๐Ÿ“Š, I have developed a strong foundation in financial analysis ๐Ÿ’ก, capital allocation โš–๏ธ, and risk management ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ.

My core strategy is built on financial freedom ๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ through stable income streams, beginning with the reliability of Singapore government bonds ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ, while enhancing returns through options premium generation ๐Ÿช™ and Tiger Vault strategies ๐Ÿฏ.

This dual approach balances long-term security ๐Ÿฆ with short-term cash flow ๐Ÿ’ต, enabling me to service housing loans ๐Ÿ  and meet daily living expenses ๐Ÿฝ๏ธ without financial strain.

Ultimately, I believe in applying freedom rules โœจ: disciplined capital management ๐Ÿ“, prudent expenditure control ๐Ÿ’ณ, and a clear distinction between needs โœ… and wants โŒ.

This mindset allows me to grow sustainably ๐ŸŒฑ, stay resilient in volatile markets ๐ŸŒช๏ธ, and work towards lasting independence ๐Ÿ†.

@Wrtd @Daily_Discussion @MillionaireTiger @TigerClub @TigerStars 

# Option Puppy's High-Conviction Lab

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  • Mortimer Arthur
    ยท09-07
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    there are several gold ETF to choose from, does it matter which one a person chooses?

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    • Optionspuppy:ย 
      I think choose one with options
      09-07
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    • Optionspuppy:ย 
      Doesnโ€™t matter
      09-07
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  • peppywoo
    ยท09-05
    Amazing insights on gold's rise! ๐ŸŒŸ๐Ÿ™Œ
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    • Optionspuppy:ย 
      Check out my Nvdia too
      09-05
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  • happygo
    ยท09-05
    Great insights
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    • Optionspuppy:ย 
      Check out my Nvdia too !
      09-05
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