To The Moon

The crypto IPO market is on fire, and this week’s numbers are turning heads! FIGR, the latest crypto sensation, skyrocketed 30% in its debut, while GEMI, the well-known Gemini exchange led by the Winklevoss twins, posted a solid 14% gain. This surge underscores a powerful trend: slap a crypto label on it, and Wall Street institutions alongside retail investors can’t get enough. With Gemini’s Nasdaq debut pulling in $425 million and FIGR riding a wave of hype, the market is buzzing. Did you snag an allocation in Tiger’s IPO subscription? Which of these IPOs padded your wallet the most? Let’s break down the action, explore the winners, and debate the future of crypto IPOs.

The Crypto IPO Surge: What’s Driving the Madness?

This week’s performance isn’t random—here’s what’s fueling the frenzy:

• Gemini’s Milestone: Priced at $28, GEMI opened at $37.01, hit $45.89 (63.9% peak), and closed up 14%, valuing the company at $3.8 billion. Oversubscription hit 20x, showing insatiable demand.

• FIGR’s Fireworks: Up 30% this week, FIGR’s debut capitalized on crypto optimism, with its innovative blockchain tech drawing $300 million in initial funding.

• Market Sentiment: Posts found on X cheer “crypto IPOs are the new gold rush,” though some caution “volatility ahead” with Bitcoin at $125,200 and Ethereum at $4,500.

• Institutional FOMO: Hedge funds and banks poured $1.2 billion into crypto IPOs this month, per market data, betting on long-term growth.

• Retail Hype: Small investors grabbed 40% of GEMI shares, driving retail trading volume to $800 million on day one.

• Regulatory Tailwind: SEC’s lighter stance on crypto ETFs, with approvals looming, boosts confidence.

This isn’t just a trend—it’s a market shift.

Who’s Winning the Crypto IPO Game?

The gains are spreading across the board:

• Gemini (GEMI): Up 14% week-over-week, with a market cap near $3.8 billion. Trading volume hit $1.5 billion, and the Winklevoss brothers’ $1 million Bitcoin prediction fuels optimism.

• FIGR: A 30% weekly jump, with a $1.2 billion valuation after debut. Its blockchain platform saw 50,000 new users in 48 hours.

• Broader Market: Crypto-related stocks like CRCL (Circle) up 8% and BLSH (Bullish) up 5%, showing a sector-wide lift.

• Crypto Assets: Bitcoin up 5% to $125,200 and Ethereum up 6% to $4,500, amplifying IPO gains.

• Sentiment Check: X posts rave “FIGR is the sleeper hit,” but note “GEMI’s stability wins long-term.”

The crypto label is a golden ticket.

Key Players: Where the Action’s Happening

Spotlight on these movers:

• Gemini Exchange: Trading at $32, targeting $35, with support at $28. A 9% upside if momentum holds.

• FIGR Blockchain: At $15, aiming for $20, with support at $12. A 33% potential gain on adoption.

• Circle ( $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ ): At $45, targeting $48, with support at $42. A 6% rise on stablecoin demand.

• Bullish (BLSH): At $22, targeting $24, with support at $20. A 9% lift on Thiel backing.

• Bitcoin ETF Inflows: $500 million this week, pushing BTC to $125,200, with a $130,000 target.

• Sentiment Check: X buzz highlights “FIGR’s upside” but warns “GEMI’s regulatory risks.”

These are the names to watch.

Investment Outlook: Bullish or Bubble?

The crystal ball says:

• Bull Case: GEMI could hit $40 (25% upside) and FIGR $25 (66% upside) by October if crypto rallies to $135,000 BTC and $5,000 ETH.

• Bear Case: A 10-15% dip to $27-$28 (GEMI) or $12-$13 (FIGR) risks if SEC tightens rules or markets cool.

• Technical View: RSI at 72 for GEMI and 78 for FIGR signal overbought conditions, but MACD remains bullish.

• Long-Term View: If IPOs maintain 15% average gains, the sector could add $10 billion in value by 2026.

• Sentiment Check: X leans “bullish on crypto IPOs” but flags “profit-taking at peaks.”

It’s a high-wire act.

Trading Opportunities: Jump on the IPO Train

Strategic moves to consider:

• Gemini (GEMI): Buy at $32, target $35, stop at $28. A 9% gain on stability.

• FIGR Blockchain: Buy at $15, target $20, stop at $12. A 33% upside on growth.

• Circle (CRCL): Buy at $45, target $48, stop at $42. A 6% rise on demand.

• Bullish (BLSH): Buy at $22, target $24, stop at $20. A 9% lift on hype.

• Bitcoin Play: Buy BTC at $125,200, target $130,000, stop at $120,000. A 3.8% gain.

• Options Edge: Buy $35 GEMI calls or $20 FIGR calls (October expiry) for 100-150% gains on a 10% move.

Strike while the iron’s hot.

Trading Strategies: Ride or Hedge the Hype

Short-Term Plays

• GEMI Quick Flip: Buy at $32, sell at $33.5, stop at $30. A 4.7% scalp on volume.

• FIGR Spike: Buy at $15, target $16.5, stop at $13.5. A 10% rise on news.

• CRCL Bump: Buy at $45, target $46.5, stop at $43. A 3.3% gain on inflows.

• Bearish Guard: Buy GEMI puts at $32, target $28, stop at $34. A 12.5% win if dip hits.

• Profit Lock: Sell FIGR at $15.5, target $14, stop at $16. A 9.7% buffer.

Long-Term Investments

• Hold GEMI: Buy at $32, target $40 by 2026, for 25% upside. Stop at $28.

• Hold FIGR: Buy at $15, target $25, for 66% upside on adoption. Stop at $12.

• Value Anchor: Buy Coinbase at $220, target $250, for 13% upside. Stop at $200.

• Defensive Hold: Buy MicroStrategy at $180, target $200, for 11% upside. Stop at $165.

Hedge Strategies

• VIXY ETF: Buy at $14, target $16, stop at $13, to hedge volatility.

• Gold (GLD): Buy at $205, target $215, stop at $200, as a buffer.

• T-Bond Puts: Use puts at 3.9% yield for a rate spike.

My Investment Plan: Betting on the Crypto Boom

I’m diving into the IPO rush. I’ll buy GEMI at $32, targeting $35, with a $28 stop, riding its stability. I’ll grab FIGR at $15, aiming for $20, with a $12 stop, on growth potential. I’ll add CRCL at $45, targeting $48, with a $42 stop, and BLSH at $22, targeting $24, with a $20 stop. For crypto exposure, I’ll buy BTC at $125,200, targeting $130,000, with a $120,000 stop. I’ll hedge with VIXY at $14, targeting $15.5, and hold 15% cash for a dip or regulatory shift. I’ll monitor SEC moves and X sentiment closely.

Key Metrics

The Bigger Picture

On September 13, 2025, crypto IPOs are stealing the spotlight, with FIGR up 30% and GEMI up 14% this week. Gemini’s $425 million raise and FIGR’s $300 million debut fuel a $5 billion sector boost. Bitcoin at $125,200 and Ethereum at $4,500 underpin gains, while S&P 500 at 6,600 and Nasdaq at 22,200 ride the wave. A 15-20% upside to $36-$40 (GEMI) or $18-$20 (FIGR) is in play if crypto holds, with 2026 targets of $50 (GEMI, 56%) and $30 (FIGR, 100%) possible. A 10% dip to $28-$29 (GEMI) or $13-$14 (FIGR) looms if regulation tightens. The $1.2 billion institutional inflow suggests momentum—jump in or step back?

How much did you gain from FIGR or GEMI? Share your wins! 🎉

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📝 Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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