The Market Trap: Watching SPY While Energy Decides Everything
Everyone is watching rates, GDP, GOLD and the YEN this week.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ needs to hold above $675 this week to go higher towards $690 OR we can pull back under towards $670 to form DOJI on monthly chart. (check out chart to study it)
Almost no one is watching what actually breaks markets.
That’s the trap.
This week alone:
• US GDP drops Tuesday at 8:30am, a delayed report with market moving power
• SPY is sitting on a knife edge between $675–$690, with an expected move as low as $673
• Markets are open reduced hours and no trading Thursday, creating liquidity air pockets
• Commodities just hit record highs: gold above $2,165, copper and silver at all-time highs
But zoom out.
While traders argue over 5–10 SPY points, the real pressure is structural.
China’s power grid: 3.9 terawatts
America’s power grid: 1.3 terawatts
China has 3× the electrical capacity of the US.
They added more power generation from 2010–2024 than the rest of the world combined.
China data centers pay 3¢/kWh.
America’s AI heartland pays 9¢/kWh.
That cost gap is not cyclical.
It’s fatal.
Markets don’t crash from headlines.
They crack when liquidity, energy, and growth collide.
If SPY loses $675, this won’t look like a pullback.
It will look like realization.
The AI race isn’t lost in chips.
It’s lost in kilowatts.
And markets always price that… late.
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