Michael Esther

    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·09:49

      $AVGO Is Nearly 30% Below Its High. I’m Watching This Setup

      🚨 $Broadcom(AVGO)$ IS NEARLY 30% BELOW ITS $495 HIGH. Meanwhile, Broadcom just delivered: 📈 Revenue growth: +86% YoY 📈 Adjusted EPS growth: +96% YoY 🔥 AI semiconductor revenue: +221% YoY And management expects AI revenue growth of 236% next quarter. That’s why this pullback has my attention. 👀 🎯 The setup I’m watching $AVGO is around $347 on this chart. A move back to the previous $495 high would represent roughly 43% upside from here. Key levels: 🟢 $330–345 → Buyers need to defend 🔑 $360–365 → Reclaim would strengthen the setup 🚀 $400 → First upside level 🚀 $430 → Next target 🎯 $495 → Previous high ⚠️ I don’t want to chase the first bounce. I want to see price confirm the reversal before taking the swing. If $330–345 fails, the setup weakens. St
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      $AVGO Is Nearly 30% Below Its High. I’m Watching This Setup
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·09:47

      $SPY Could Be in Trouble If Yields Keep Climbing

      ⚠️ The bond market is flashing a warning that stocks can’t ignore. The 10Y and 30Y Treasury yields just hit their highest levels since 2002: 📈 10Y: ~5.33% 📈 30Y: ~5.67% And here’s the part that gets my attention: The last time yields were around these levels, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ was in the middle of a 49% crash. 📉 Why are yields rising? This time, the pressure is coming from several directions: 🔥 Sticky energy-driven inflation 🏦 A Fed that just hiked for the first time in 3 years 💰 Fiscal concerns pushing investors to demand more compensation for holding US debt Higher long-term yields mean higher discount rates. And that creates the most pressure on long-duration growth stocks — exactly the AI and tech names carrying the index. 🚨 T
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      $SPY Could Be in Trouble If Yields Keep Climbing
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·10-01 10:23

      $MU Hit $1,100, I’m Still Bullish Toward $1,250

      I said to buy $Micron Technology(MU)$ at $80. Now it’s trading above $1,000 — and the crazy part? $MU is cheaper right now. 👀 🎯 I didn’t just call $MU to $1,100. I called $1,100 as the earnings target for this quarter. Then $MU hit it. At that point, I said the earnings move was already priced in and told members to consider a $1,000 / $1,100 / $1,200 butterfly instead of chasing calls. Now earnings are out, and the $1,100 target was right on the money. 🔥 But I’m not done with the thesis. I’m still bullish on $MU into Q4, with $1,250 as my next target. $80 → $1,100 was the first leg. Now I’m watching what comes next. 📈 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury yields, oil prices and rate ex
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      $MU Hit $1,100, I’m Still Bullish Toward $1,250
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·10-01 10:18

      3 Stocks That Could Follow the $INTC Playbook

      $Intel(INTC)$ went from $20 to $140 in one year. That’s roughly a 7x move. Now the market is starting to look for the next companies with a similar strategic setup — small enough to rerate dramatically, but tied to sectors Washington considers strategically important. Here are 3 names on my radar 👇 1️⃣ $Aeluma, Inc.(ALMU)$ 🔬 Small-cap semiconductor + photonics play. Aeluma has signed a letter of intent involving CHIPS Act funding in exchange for a government equity stake. The company is tiny relative to the other names here, which means the upside could be substantial if the deal closes and execution follows. 2️⃣ $USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$ 🇺🇸 Washington is back
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      3 Stocks That Could Follow the $INTC Playbook
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·09-29

      $DKNG Could Be the 52-Week Low Ready to Reverse

      📉 Stocks sitting at 52-week lows $Trade Desk Inc.(TTD)$ $12.60$DraftKings Inc.(DKNG)$ $22.02$Papa John's(PZZA)$ $19.55$Campbell Soup(CPB)$ $19.37$Li Auto(LI)$ $11.50$Simply Good Foods Company(SMPL)$ $9.60$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$ $8.35$Sunrun(RUN)$ $8.11$Weibo(WB)$ $6.49$Fermi Inc.(FRMI)$ $4.52 Out of this list, $DKNG is the one I’m watching for a potential reversal. Here’s
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      $DKNG Could Be the 52-Week Low Ready to Reverse
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·09-29

      $MU HIT MY $1,100 TARGET

      I called $Micron Technology(MU)$ to $1,100 when it was still trading in the $900s. I first posted the target on Sep 3 ahead of earnings, then repeated it on Sep 4, Sep 9, Sep 15 and Sep 17. On Sep 25, MU printed $1,108.72 — five days before earnings. 🔥 +$159.28 per share 🔥 +16.8% from my original call 🎯 $1,100 TARGET: NAILED Now the options tape is pointing to the next levels: • 200 Oct 2 $1,100 calls → $510K premium • 9,048 OI at the $1,100 strike • ~$2.93M across long-dated $1,200 calls • ~$6.18M in visible opening $1,000-call activity across Oct/Nov The $1,100 target is done. Now the question is how far the positioning can push the next leg. 👀 Markets are always moving - and sometimes, the best move is knowing what works for you. With Treasury y
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      $MU HIT MY $1,100 TARGET
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·09-29

      10Y Hits 5.23%. Does That Mean $SPY Is About to Crash?

      The 10Y just hit 5.23%, its highest level since June 2007. The immediate reaction is obvious: 📉 Higher yields 📉 Higher discount rates 📉 “ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ crash incoming” But history tells a more nuanced story. Since 1953, the 10Y has broken above 5% nine times. Over the following 12 months: 📊 Average $SPY return: +2% 📊 Normal 12-month return: +9% 🔻 4 of 9 periods were negative 📉 Average worst drawdown: -10% That's not a comfortable setup. But it also doesn't automatically equal a crash. The bigger question is why yields are rising. 🔥 1️⃣ AI earnings boom Hyperscalers are spending hundreds of billions on AI infrastructure. If that spending continues translating into real earnings growth, stocks don't need multiple expansion alone t
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      10Y Hits 5.23%. Does That Mean $SPY Is About to Crash?
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·09-28

      🔥 1 Trade Is All You Need

      $Microsoft(MSFT)$ went from $2 → $18 on this trade. Here’s the setup I was watching 👇 Last night, $MSFT dropped to around $490, right into a major support level. Then came the first clue: 📈 Price bounced straight back toward $500. But the real signal came in the premarket. Instead of breaking below $490, $MSFT held the level. That tells you buyers were still defending the downside — and potentially positioning for a move higher at the open. 🎯 The setup: Major support → sharp bounce → premarket holds → buyers confirm → opening breakout This is the kind of structure that can precede a big green candle when the market opens. Don't chase the candle. Watch the level first. If support holds and premarket refuses to break down, the risk/reward can change
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      🔥 1 Trade Is All You Need
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·09-28

      TSMC Just Raised AI Spending. These 6 Stocks Target the Bottlenecks Beyond Chips

      🚨 AI’s Next Bottleneck Is Bigger Than Chips $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ just delivered record Q2 profit, raised 2026 capex to $60–$64B, and committed another $100B to U.S. chip production. CEO C.C. Wei says conviction in the multi-year AI megatrend remains very high. But here’s the bigger picture: 🧠 AI infrastructure is becoming a full-stack buildout. The bottleneck is no longer just silicon. 🔹 $Broadcom(AVGO)$ — Custom Silicon Hyperscalers are building chips optimized for their own workloads. Broadcom sits at the intersection of custom accelerators and the networking that connects them. 🔹 $Arista Networks(ANET)$ — Networking Thousands of processor
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      TSMC Just Raised AI Spending. These 6 Stocks Target the Bottlenecks Beyond Chips
    • Michael EstherMichael Esther
      ·09-28

      $NKE Is Down 80%, but Earnings Expectations Are Starting to Turn

      🚨 $Nike(NKE)$ Is Down 80% From Its All-Time High. The Setup Is Getting Interesting. $179.10 → $35.75 That’s an 80% drawdown — and a return to the former high would represent roughly +401% from current levels. But the bigger story is what could change the setup from here. 📅 Oct. 1 | Earnings after the close 💰 EPS estimate: $0.44 vs. $0.20 last quarter → +120% sequentially 📈 Nike has also delivered 4 consecutive EPS beats, with surprises of: +81.8% +20.7% +43.2% +81.5% 📉 Meanwhile, monthly RSI is sitting near 27, pointing to deeply oversold conditions. That creates an interesting combination: Low expectations + improving EPS momentum + deeply oversold price + a near-term catalyst. The key question now is whether earnings can finally give $NKE the fun
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      $NKE Is Down 80%, but Earnings Expectations Are Starting to Turn
       
       
       
       

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