It is possible, but not the base case. At around USD 4,500, gold already reflects expectations of Fed rate cuts, sustained central bank buying, fiscal imbalances, and geopolitical risk. A move to USD 5,000 likely requires an additional catalyst, such as a sharper US slowdown, deeper-than-expected easing, renewed inflation pressure, or a major geopolitical escalation. In a soft-landing scenario with stable growth and a firm US dollar, consolidation below USD 5,000 is more probable than a clean breakout.
Futures, ETFs or leveraged ETFs?
• ETFs are best for most investors, offering simple, long-term exposure without leverage decay.
• Futures suit experienced traders who can manage volatility and margin risk.
• Leveraged ETFs are strictly short-term trading tools due to compounding decay.
Conclusion
USD 5,000 is an upside scenario, not a certainty. Unleveraged ETFs provide the most sensible risk-adjusted exposure for most participants.
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.
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