To The Moon

If you want to trade futures, then CFTC data is something you really shouldn’t ignore. The CFTC is the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which you can think of as the regulator of the U.S. futures market. Every week, it publishes large-trader positioning data that tells you which side the big money is on.​ So today, let’s go through the latest set of CFTC data.​ Before we begin, let me briefly explain what CFTC data actually is. The CFTC report tracks positions in futures contracts, and these are divided into reportable positions and non-reportable positions. Reportable positions are further split into commercial and non-commercial positions. You can think of commercial positions as those held by industrial capital, such as mines, smelters, manufacturers, and other business entiti

Yes, gold prices have been increasing and this will lead to FOMO purchases

From my perspective, the surge in precious metals shows how quickly capital moves into safe havens during geopolitical tension. When Middle East risks escalated, investors piled into gold and silver through vehicles like SPDR Gold Shares $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ $SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust(GLDM)$ & iShares Silver Trust $iShare

With no end to war, precious metals rally potentially continue rally.

News and my thoughts from the past week (09Mar2026) Two of the world's largest funds are limiting the amount you can withdraw. BlackRock froze requests for withdrawals of $1.2 billion from its private credit fund. Investors in the BlackRock fund with assets of $26 billion requested the withdrawal of 9.3% of their funds. BlackRock refused, limiting the withdrawal to 5%. The Blackstone fund with assets of $82 billion recorded a record number of requests for withdrawals in the same week. Blackstone had to invest $400 million of its own funds to cover the costs of withdrawals. Similar problems exist with the Blue Owl OBDC II fund, where withdrawals have been suspended. - X user Cha Bowes Kuwait Petroleum declares force majeure on oil sales - MacroEdge Insider sales continue Deutsche warns the

The margin reduction by the CME Group is a meaningful signal for the precious-metals market, mainly because it changes the leverage dynamics for futures traders. 1. Margin cuts typically increase speculative flows Lower initial margins mean traders need less capital to control the same futures position. Gold margin: 9% → 7% Silver margin: 18% → 14% Historically, margin reductions often lead to higher futures volume and short-term price momentum because leveraged funds can re-enter the market. Silver tends to react even more strongly than gold due to its higher volatility. 2. The timing supports a bullish setup The margin cut is happening while fundamentals remain strong. According to the World Gold Council: $5.3B ETF inflows in February 9 straight months of institutional demand That combin

Buckle up, folks— the precious metals arena is heating up like a forge! 🔥 The CME Group just dropped a bombshell by easing initial margin requirements on gold and silver futures, dialing back from sky-high levels that had traders sweating bullets. This isn't just a tweak; it's a green light for leveraged plays that could supercharge the market. Imagine: lower barriers mean more speculators piling in, potentially sparking a wild rebound. But will it stick? Let's dive deep into the glittery details. ✨ First off, the margin makeover is massive. Gold's initial margin plummets from 9% to 7%, while silver slides from 18% to 14%. This reverses a brutal streak of hikes that started early this year to tame wild swings—think volatility that had prices yo-yoing like a pogo stick on steroids. 😵‍💫 With

The CME margin cut is a meaningful signal. When exchanges reduce margins, it usually means volatility risk is perceived to be stabilising, and it often encourages more speculative participation. 1. Will lower margins bring back leveraged traders? Very likely. Reducing margins from 9% → 7% (gold) and 18% → 14% (silver) means traders need less capital to control the same futures exposure. That increases: • hedge fund positioning • CTA trend-following flows • retail futures speculation Historically, margin reductions often precede stronger futures volume, which can amplify price moves if the macro trend is already bullish. 2. Institutional demand remains strong The $5.3B February ETF inflow and nine months of consecutive inflows are more important than the margin change. This suggests: • cent

Silver market too much leverage. Will plunge 

Still prefers gold over silver.

Gold will be continue to rise as it is a solid asset. People are taking profits as it passes ATH in the short term but in the long term itll keep rising as there is alot of instability.

Gold has been one of the market’s strongest performers, but momentum appears to be cooling slightly. With gold consolidating after its recent run, some investors are beginning to look at silver as a potential opportunity. Historically, silver tends to lag behind gold before catching up during strong precious metals cycles. Could silver be the next move if gold slows down? Is silver undervalued right now, or is gold still the safer play? 🤔

$AGQ 20260417 130.0 PUT$   Sold cash secured puts yesterday at 130 strike price. There is a good support level. Silver inventory is at stress levels

gld

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1. Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ After a brief test of the $5,000 level, the technical outlook for gold prices still supports further gains. While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has declined slightly, it remains in bullish territory, indicating that buyers are in control. However, in the short term, gold prices may consolidate in the $5,100-$5,250 range, awaiting a new catalyst. Conversely, if gold prices continue to fall below $5,000, the first support level is at $4,950, followed by the cycle low of $4,841 from February 17th. If gold prices weaken further, the next target will be the 50-day moving average at $4,810. The short-term strategy remains buy-ori

Gold’s wild swing: 6% plunge in 24 hours after hitting $5,400—all from the same Middle East catalyst! The dollar/Treasury rally crushed its safe-haven appeal, and rate cut bets are fading fast. Do you think this is just a short-term pullback, or has the bull market lost steam? Will geopolitics win out to push gold to $6,000, or will Fed policy keep weighing it down? Share your take on gold’s next move below! $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ On Tuesday, the gold market witnessed a heart-stopping plunge. Spot gold tumbled as much as 6% intraday, hitting a low of nearly $5,018 per ounce. Silver fared even worse, with a drop of almost 12% at one point. Yet just a day earlier, gol

Silver is still (theoretically) very undervalued IMHO, and deserves to push on with its rise this year. Bio and Traditional tech sectors are both leaning much harder into silver use now in new developments, while refineries and mining processes only get more efficient. All this combined with rising commodity pricing, means even more $ trickling down to harvesting and refinement practices. A self-perpetuating positive for the metal and its use. Should that provide a rise? Not in itself, and it could be considered yet another reason to see silver prices drop back to BAU levels. However, enabling easier access to cheaper, higher-quality silver can further it's use in bleeding-edge development - and on a wider scale - in more markets. So there is a world in which this recent run

The observation is consistent with what typically happens after geopolitical spikes. When conflict risk stabilises, the “war premium” in gold often fades first, while silver may continue rising if industrial demand remains strong. --- 1. Is this the time to take profit on gold? Not necessarily full profit taking, but partial trimming can be reasonable. Gold’s recent surge was driven by three forces: 1. Geopolitical hedge (Middle East tensions) 2. Central bank buying 3. Rate-cut expectations If the US–Iran situation de-escalates, the first driver could unwind quickly. A 3–5% retracement mentioned by JPMorgan is historically typical after war-risk spikes. Near-term levels: Short-term support: ~$5,200–5,300 Deeper consolidation: ~$5,000 Upside extension: ~$5,800–6,000 (if geopolitical risk pe

Gold will always be a good hedge, keep buying.

Well, in my humble opinion J.P. Morgan is lies. Don't trust their words, trust their actions. And silver compared to gold is a tiny market, so it's way easier to manipulate, if you have a few billion to throw at the silver market easy to manipulate. If you want to play silver, expect major manipulation going forward. If like me you don't have billions but hundreds. Well you are a peasant. To understand that is very important.  Understand that silver is an industrial commodity. Gold is not a commodity, it's actually currency. Gold is a hedge against dollars that get printed, and get devalued by inflation also. The future of money is not the American dollar, it's buggered. What is happening right now is not bitcoin, an interesting idea but nonsense. Gold is the new currency, actually th

 Is always a cheaper option to buy silver than gold. Unless you have deep pockets, gold is too expensive for normal retailer now. Invest wisely .

If you want to trade futures, then CFTC data is something you really shouldn’t ignore. The CFTC is the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which you can think of as the regulator of the U.S. futures market. Every week, it publishes large-trader positioning data that tells you which side the big money is on.​ So today, let’s go through the latest set of CFTC data.​ Before we begin, let me briefly explain what CFTC data actually is. The CFTC report tracks positions in futures contracts, and these are divided into reportable positions and non-reportable positions. Reportable positions are further split into commercial and non-commercial positions. You can think of commercial positions as those held by industrial capital, such as mines, smelters, manufacturers, and other business entiti

Yes, gold prices have been increasing and this will lead to FOMO purchases

From my perspective, the surge in precious metals shows how quickly capital moves into safe havens during geopolitical tension. When Middle East risks escalated, investors piled into gold and silver through vehicles like SPDR Gold Shares $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ $SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust(GLDM)$ & iShares Silver Trust $iShare

News and my thoughts from the past week (09Mar2026) Two of the world's largest funds are limiting the amount you can withdraw. BlackRock froze requests for withdrawals of $1.2 billion from its private credit fund. Investors in the BlackRock fund with assets of $26 billion requested the withdrawal of 9.3% of their funds. BlackRock refused, limiting the withdrawal to 5%. The Blackstone fund with assets of $82 billion recorded a record number of requests for withdrawals in the same week. Blackstone had to invest $400 million of its own funds to cover the costs of withdrawals. Similar problems exist with the Blue Owl OBDC II fund, where withdrawals have been suspended. - X user Cha Bowes Kuwait Petroleum declares force majeure on oil sales - MacroEdge Insider sales continue Deutsche warns the

With no end to war, precious metals rally potentially continue rally.

I was quietly confident that NVDA will hand in a stellar earnings report when I posted about it on Wed, 25 Feb 2026 morning (Singapore time). Click here ! to read, help to Repost ok. Thanks. Stellar, it was ! Q4 2025 Earnings Details. NVDA reported better-than-expected fiscal 4th quarter results on Wednesday, driven by +75% revenue growth in its core data centre business. Actual Earnings vs Analysts' estimates (polled by LSEG): Earnings per share (adjusted) : $1.62 vs $1.53 estimated. Revenue: $68.13 billion vs $66.21 billion estimated vs Q4 2024's $30.3 billion; that's a +73% YoY gain. Net income: almost doubled to $43 billion vs Q4 2024's $22.1 billion; that's a +94.57% YoY gain. Data centre quarterly revenue of $62

Today, the United States and Israel launched military strikes on targets inside Iran, sharply escalating tensions in the Middle East. Geopolitical risk premiums are set to return rapidly to the forefront of market pricing. Next week, capital inflows into the precious metals sector, led by gold and silver, appear almost certain. In the gold ETF space, the largest physically backed gold ETF, $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ , is up 22.06% year to date, while $Gold Trust Ishares(IAU)$ has gained 22.05%. Among gold mining ETFs, $VanEck Gold Miners ETF(GDX)$ is up 35.06% this year and $VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF(GDXJ)$ has risen 37.27%.

As of today, the joint U.S.–Israel strikes on Iran have entered their third day. International futures markets, as expectations about the direction of the war have shifted, have gone through a clear sequence: sharp volatility, then a period of tight balance with slowing swings, and now a renewed pickup in volatility. A war-driven pullback in global risk appetite, together with a surge in safe-haven demand, is gradually turning into a broader wave of portfolio rebalancing.This round of fighting—where major world powers and a major Middle Eastern state are directly entering the battlefield—seems to have convinced many global analysts that the conflict may be moving beyond a localized event and toward a wider confrontation. Meanwhile, the U.S.–Israel side’s unsparing “decapitation” actions ag

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 02Mar2026) Global and U.S. PMI Data The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for February is forecasted at 51.2, signalling expansion and growth in global manufacturing sectors. This positive indicator suggests favourable conditions for the overall market. Similarly, the S&P Global Services PMI forecast stands at 52.3, reflecting growth in the global services sector and providing a constructive outlook for the global economy. The ISM Manufacturing PMI for February is expected to reach 51.7, indicating expansion and growth within the manufacturing sector. However, the ISM Manufacturing Prices forecast is 60.6, which points to inflationary pressures as manufacturers are likely to pass increased costs on to consumers. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Pric

Period Covered: Feb 23–28, 2026Issued: Saturday, Feb 28, 2026Focus: US | China/HK | Crypto | Commodities | Geopolitical Events1) Macro & Geopolitical SummaryUnited StatesEquities:S&P 500: 6,812Nasdaq Composite: 16,432Dow Jones: 34,910Fixed Income: US 10Y Treasury Yield: 3.961%FX: USD DXY: 102.34Macro drivers:Feb 26 PCE inflation 2.9% → marginal driver for 10Y yields decline and short-term equity repricing.Q4 GDP (2/20 Advance Estimate) already digested; included as background.AsiaChina / Hong Kong:Hang Seng: 26,381 (‑1.4%)Hang Seng Tech: 5,109 (‑2.9%)Shanghai Composite: 3,332 (‑0.4%)Japan: Nikkei 225: 31,110 (+0.3%)Capital flows: Anticipate Southbound outflow from HK tech → A-share defense / national tech replacement sectors in response to Pakistan–Afghanistan war.CryptocurrenciesB

🌟🌟🌟The Fire Horse is breathing heat into the metals market currently.  We are at a historic crossroad.  Spot Gold is currently trading around USD 5,122.60/Oz and Spot Silver is near USD 85.34/Oz.  While prices may flicker daily, the structural trend is a powerful uphill climb. The Inverse Logic : Why Metals Are Rising Now After A Sharp Drop  The USD 38 Trillion Elephant : The US National Debt has crossed a mind numbing USD 38 Trillion.  In the Year of the Fire Horse, investors are terrified of Currency Debasement.  When you print more "paper" hard assets like Gold and Silver naturally gallop higher to maintain their value. Central Banks' Hoarding :  We are seeing a historic "Golden Grab".  Central banks led by China, Poland and Brazil are diversifyin

Gold’s wild swing: 6% plunge in 24 hours after hitting $5,400—all from the same Middle East catalyst! The dollar/Treasury rally crushed its safe-haven appeal, and rate cut bets are fading fast. Do you think this is just a short-term pullback, or has the bull market lost steam? Will geopolitics win out to push gold to $6,000, or will Fed policy keep weighing it down? Share your take on gold’s next move below! $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ On Tuesday, the gold market witnessed a heart-stopping plunge. Spot gold tumbled as much as 6% intraday, hitting a low of nearly $5,018 per ounce. Silver fared even worse, with a drop of almost 12% at one point. Yet just a day earlier, gol

Buckle up, folks— the precious metals arena is heating up like a forge! 🔥 The CME Group just dropped a bombshell by easing initial margin requirements on gold and silver futures, dialing back from sky-high levels that had traders sweating bullets. This isn't just a tweak; it's a green light for leveraged plays that could supercharge the market. Imagine: lower barriers mean more speculators piling in, potentially sparking a wild rebound. But will it stick? Let's dive deep into the glittery details. ✨ First off, the margin makeover is massive. Gold's initial margin plummets from 9% to 7%, while silver slides from 18% to 14%. This reverses a brutal streak of hikes that started early this year to tame wild swings—think volatility that had prices yo-yoing like a pogo stick on steroids. 😵‍💫 With

🌍 Geopolitical Shock Changes the Game The recent escalation between Israel and Iran under “Operation Roaring Lion,” alongside U.S. strikes confirmed by Donald Trump, has completely shifted the tone of global markets. When missiles fly and headlines turn serious, investors don’t wait around — they reprice risk immediately. That’s where gold comes in. And that’s exactly why I bought the iShares Gold Trust (IAU) at 95.57. Now it’s already at 99.4. ⸻ 🎯 This Was a Calculated Hedge, Not a Random Trade This wasn’t emotional buying. It was a hedge. When geopolitical tension rises — especially involving oil routes, naval forces, and missile capabilities — markets start pricing in uncertainty. Energy prices can spike. Inflation expectations can rise. Growth stocks can wobble. I’m holding stocks long

Recently due toThe situation in the Middle East escalates(The United States and Israel launch military operations against Iran, etc.), market risk aversion has heated up, gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, is favored by funds, and the price onceImpact high。 Multiple reports show spot and futures gold prices supported by safe-haven buyingOnce rose sharply。 But it also appears at high levelsVolatility adjustment: Due to factors such as the strengthening of the US dollar and changes in risk appetite, the price of gold has experienced a technical pullback/retracement or consolidation, suggesting that the market's expectations for the persistence of the conflict are inconsistent. In addition, in different markets around the world, the short-term amplitude of gold prices has increased sign

Tensions between the US and Iran have detonated into full-blown crisis mode after Israel's preemptive "Operation Roaring Lion" strike hammered Iranian targets, with officials hinting at an initial four-day blitz to neutralize threats. 😤 The US military's gearing up for multi-day ops, as Trump confirmed American strikes kicking off against Iran's missile factories and naval assets to curb nuclear escalations – this massive buildup, the largest since 2003 Iraq, echoes patterns of swift, off-hour actions that could unfold anytime. JPMorgan's fresh upgrade amps the frenzy, lifting long-term gold views to $4,500 near-term and holding bold $6,300 by end-2026 on relentless CB diversification – 755 tonnes expected this year towers over norms, reshaping reserves amid dollar skepticism. Gold's perch

Are you buying the gold rally, waiting for a pullback, or betting on silver instead? What’s your target price for gold in 2026? Share your takes below!$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ As global political and economic volatility intensifies, the international gold market is experiencing a historic bullish wave. Bank of America Global Research recently released a report with a stunning prediction for future gold prices: its analysts explicitly stated that gold is on track to break the unprecedented milestone of $6,000 per ounce within the next 12 months.The report points out that policy uncertainty stemming from leadership changes at the Federal Reserve, combined with global ec

So I've been blathering on about gold and silver since the beginning of this year. So I am in $Pan American Silver(PAAS)$  which is a silver mining company, it mines silver and gold and pays a dividend. Last year I also brought $Santana Minerals Ltd(SMI.AU)$ and $SILVER MINES LTD(SVL.AU)$  these are both pre mining companies. The former is a gold miner in New Zealand, the latter is silver miner in Australia. Both are yet to obtain the permits to mine, but are well down the track. Plus both Countries are very stable. Not sure I'd buy a mining company based in Mexico atm by comparison. Ok so all their proven gold and silver reserve

Executive Summary The U.S. military strike on Iran has triggered more than a geopolitical incident—it has initiated a structural shock to global commerce, energy markets, and financial assets. The action signals a regime-change agenda that could destabilize the Middle East’s physical and financial infrastructure. For investors, this is a pivotal moment: conventional valuation models, risk assumptions, and historical correlations are now largely irrelevant. Key takeaways: the Strait of Hormuz may become impassable, Just-in-Time supply chains could collapse, and freight and energy costs may surge simultaneously, creating a "Cape of Good Hope Premium" that directly redistributes global wealth. Shipping equities ( $ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.(ZIM

Summary of Recent Developments in Private Credit In early March 2026, Blackstone's BCRED (Blackstone Private Credit Fund), the largest private credit fund with around $82 billion in assets, reported record redemption requests totaling 7.9% of shares for Q1 — equivalent to roughly $3.7 billion at current valuations. This exceeded the fund's standard quarterly repurchase limit of 5%. Blackstone $Blackstone Group LP(BX)$ addressed the situation by: Increasing the tender offer to 7% of the fund. Covering the remaining 0.9% (about $400 million) through investments from the firm and its employees. Fulfilling all requests this quarter, consistent with its practice since inception. The fund had over $8 billion in liquidity at the end of 2025 and received ab