DLTR +2.1% Bounce Faces $128 Resistance
$Dollar Tree(DLTR)$
DLTR Rebounds +2.07%: Defying Net Outflow, Eyes $127.8 Resistance
Latest Close Data:
Closed at $122.01 (USD) on 2025-12-25, up +2.07% ($2.48). The stock trades ~7.9% below its 52-week high of $132.48.
Core Market Drivers:
The rebound occurred despite a net outflow of capital over the past five trading days, suggesting a potential technical oversold bounce.
The discount retailer continues to navigate a challenging consumer spending environment characterized by high inflation.
Technical Analysis:
Volume was 1.30M shares with a Volume Ratio of 0.59, indicating below-average participation, typical of a holiday-shortened session.
The RSI(6) at 43.97 has recovered from near-oversold levels (33.16), showing short-term momentum improvement.
MACD (-2.06) remains negative and below its signal line, indicating the underlying trend is still bearish.
Key Price Levels:
Primary Support: $100.61 (USD) - Critical level from recent lows.
Strong Resistance: $127.81 (USD) - Key hurdle for any sustained uptrend.
Immediate Pivot: ~$122.00 - Today's close acts as a near-term pivot; holding above is key for further recovery.
Valuation Perspective:
The trailing P/E is negative (-8.77) due to recent losses. The Forward P/E stands at 20.89, above its historical average of 18.42, suggesting the market is pricing in a future earnings recovery.
Analyst Targets:
Consensus among 22 analysts is a "Hold" with an average price target of $117.32. Sentiment is mixed: 2 Strong Buy, 7 Buy, 14 Hold, 3 Underperform, 1 Sell.
Weekly Outlook:
Expect consolidation between $119 and $125 in the near term. A decisive break above $127.81 could target the $132-$135 zone. A failure to hold $119 may see a retest of support near $110.
Risk Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research.
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