To The Moon

[Miser]Hi Tigers,

US equities are consolidating near cycle highs, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ holding above key moving averages as upside momentum eases. Volatility has picked up slightly, and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ settling in the mid-teens suggests two-way risk is back on the table.

As liquidity tailwinds fade, investors are refocusing on rate-cut timing, AI capex visibility, and earnings guidance. With Super Earnings Week underway, stock-specific fundamentals are starting to matter more, setting the stage for wider dispersion beneath the index surface.

In this backdrop, positioning is tilting toward AI, big tech, and core US assets. These sectors offer clearer earnings visibility, stronger balance sheets, and structural growth, making them relative safe havens as markets turn more selective and volatile.

@Tiger_Contra’s weekly popular stocks column breaks down the market’s focus names each week—combining fundamentals, earnings context, and near-term price action—to help investors better frame risk and opportunity around earnings season.

⚠️For reference only. Not investment advice.

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• Tigers, with mega-cap earnings rolling this week, are you holding any of the stocks above?

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Below is the detailed analysis.

⚠️ All information is based on official company disclosures and publicly available market data, compiled for discussion and reference only.

🚀 $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ | The AI Infrastructure King

Earning date:Feb 25, 2026

• NVIDIA remains the primary beneficiary of the global AI capex cycle, supported by hyperscaler demand and its dominant CUDA ecosystem. With over 80% share in AI accelerators, competitive threats remain secondary in the near term.

• Financial performance continues to justify premium valuation, driven by rapid data-center revenue growth and structurally high margins, offering strong earnings visibility through the AI buildout.

• Low volume and a flat MACD suggest consolidation rather than reversal. Expect range trading between $181–$190; a close above $190 targets $200, while below $181 risks $175.

📈 $Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$ | Core US Asset, Long-Term Compounder

• VOO provides efficient exposure to US large-cap leaders, appealing to Singapore investors seeking diversified USD assets amid macro uncertainty. Structural inflows into passive strategies remain supportive.

• Scale and low costs underpin steady fund flows, with performance closely tracking US earnings growth and mega-cap tech leadership.

• Fading bearish momentum and a rising RSI suggest steady accumulation near highs. Bias remains to test $640; a breakout opens $645–$650, while $632 should contain downside.

🎬 $Netflix(NFLX)$ | From Growth to Cash Flow

• Netflix is shifting focus from subscriber growth to profitability, supported by advertising monetisation and tighter content spending. Scale and pricing power remain competitive advantages.

• Margins and cash flow continue to improve meaningfully, reflecting better content efficiency even as user growth normalises.

• Light volume and stabilising momentum point to base-building. Expect consolidation between $83.6–$93.8; a break above resistance targets $100, while below $82 risks further weakness.

⚡ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ | High Expectations, Lower Visibility

Earning date:Jan 28, 2026

• Tesla is navigating slower EV demand growth and intensifying competition, weighing on near-term visibility despite long-term optionality in AI and autonomy.

• Financials reflect margin pressure and elevated capex, increasing sensitivity to pricing and volume trends.

• Negative MACD keeps the bearish bias intact, despite easing selling pressure. Likely to chop between $430–$445; a break below $430 targets $415, while $450 is needed to turn momentum.

🧠 $Intel(INTC)$ | Policy-Backed Turnaround Play

• Intel’s turnaround is strategically important, backed by US reshoring policies, though execution risk remains elevated.

• Near-term earnings are constrained by heavy capex, with subsidies and foundry demand providing partial downside support.

• Heavy sell volume suggests capitulation risk, with RSI nearing oversold levels. Expect volatile consolidation between $37–$42.5; below $37 risks $34–$32, while above $45 opens $48.

☁️ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ | AI Monetisation at Scale

Earning date:Jan 28, 2026

• Microsoft offers high-quality exposure to cloud and AI, with Azure and enterprise software anchoring long-term growth.

• Financials remain highly resilient, supported by recurring revenues and strong cash flow funding AI investments.

• Weak volume and converging MACD point to short-term stabilisation. Range likely $460–$480; a break above $480 targets $495, while below $460 risks $450.

🍏 $Apple(AAPL)$ | Ecosystem Cash Machine

Earnings date:Jan 29, 2026

• Apple’s investment case remains anchored in its ecosystem strength and services revenue, while hardware growth stays mature.

• Margins remain stable and cash generation strong, supporting buybacks and dividends despite softer iPhone cycles.

• RSI recovery signals short-term support, though the primary downtrend persists. Expect range trading at $250–$260; above $260 targets $273, while below $250 risks $240.

🛰 $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ | AI Narrative Meets Valuation Reality

Earning date:Feb 02, 2026

• Palantir is leveraged to long-term AI adoption in government and enterprise analytics, though near-term sentiment has cooled after a strong rally.

• Profitability has improved, but valuation remains sensitive to deal momentum and execution.

• Light volume and deeply negative MACD keep downside risk elevated. Choppy trade expected $167–$178; a break below $167 targets $160, while above $178 stabilises bias.

📱 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ | Advertising Recovery + AI Leverage

Earning date:Jan 28, 2026

• Meta continues to benefit from a cyclical rebound in digital advertising, alongside rising AI-driven engagement and monetisation efficiency.

• Margins have rebounded sharply, with operating leverage and cash flow fully restored.

• Bullish momentum remains strong but RSI is stretched. Expect consolidation near $670–$680; above $685 targets $700, while below $665 risks $650.

📊 SPDR S&P500 ETF (SPY) | Liquidity Barometer

• SPY remains the most liquid proxy for US equity exposure, widely used to express broad market views.

• Returns are increasingly driven by mega-cap concentration, reflecting overall risk appetite.

• Thin volume and negative MACD suggest limited conviction. Likely to range between $689–$696; above $696 targets $700, while below $689 risks $685.

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