$Opendoor Technologies Inc(OPEN)$ $Zillow(Z)$ $Rocket Companies(RKT)$ ๐ช๐๐ $OPEN Earnings Drop Today + Mortgage Rates Hit Multi-Year Low. Options Signaling a Big Move? ๐ ๐๐
30-year fixed mortgage rates just plunged to 6.01% (Freddie Mac, Feb 19 release). That is the lowest level since Sept 2022, down sharply from about 6.85% a year ago. The housing market is thawing fast ๐. This is a meaningful macro tailwind for real estate disruptor $OPEN.
Pre-earnings options flow looks constructive:
๐ Calls leading puts roughly 3:1, a bullish lean
๐ Implied volatility pricing about a 13.0% move, roughly 61ยข from recent levels๐ Median actual move over the past eight quarters is 9.7%
In other words, the options market is pricing more volatility than history suggests. Traders appear positioned for a catalyst.
Fundamental backdrop adds fuel:
โ EPS beats 75% of the time over the past year
โ Revenue beats 75% of the time๐ Q4 2025 results after hours today, consensus around -0.10 EPS
Rate relief plus a history of surprises creates an asymmetric setup. If guidance stabilises alongside improving housing liquidity, the narrative could shift quickly.
Undervalued catalyst firing. ๐โWho is positioning for the volatility expansion?
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