SIA is no longer a reopening trade. Most good news, strong travel demand, high yields, and record revenue, is largely priced in. The stock now trades on earnings stability and dividend visibility, not growth surprise. Upside exists but is likely gradual rather than explosive.

Air India losses look more like long-term restructuring costs than structural failure. India’s aviation market is attractive, but airline turnarounds typically take 5–7 years, so earnings drag may persist near term.

SIA’s high-price strategy can likely hold through 2026 due to premium branding and hub advantage, but industry capacity is returning. As competitors expand, yields may slowly normalise rather than collapse.

Overall: quality cyclical, not peak panic nor early-cycle bargain.

# SIA Record Revenue! But Profit Declines, Does One-Off Effect Matter?

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