⚡ Oil's Wild Ride: Surge Then Slump on Supply Hopes
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Catch up fast：These events rocked the markets today.
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Weekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, Earnings
Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!
✨Tuesday — Singapore Stocks
Singapore stocks opened sharply higher on Tuesday, with the STI surging 1.52%. ProNex, SATS, Keppel, CityDev and DBS rose around 2%, while OCBC, Genting Singapore and SIA gained over 1%.
Great Eastern appointed OCBC director Andrew Khoo as its new chairman. Suntec Reit's manager received regulatory approval for acquisition by Gordon Tang's firm. Intraco's subsidiary faced force majeure from a major supplier due to Middle East conflict.
Singapore's Q2 hiring sentiment improved to 24% net outlook, with 45% of firms planning to increase headcount. The escalating Middle East conflict threatens Singapore's petrochemical sector, with two companies declaring force majeure and oil prices exceeding US$100/barrel.
📌【Today’s Question】
Oil prices are like a rollercoaster. Share your thoughts on oil and precious metal prices in the comments section.
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Gold:
Prices hit a peak near $5,400/oz in early March due to war fears but retraced to ~$5,000 as the dollar strengthened.
Major banks like J.P. Morgan and UBS remain bullish, with year-end targets ranging from $6,300 to $7,200, citing central bank buying and long-term inflation hedging.
Silver:
Silver remains more volatile, oscillating between $80 and $100.
Beyond "safe-haven" status, silver is supported by a 5-year supply deficit driven by massive demand in solar panels and AI data center hardware.
3. Strategy: How to Play the Swing?
Gold as a "Stabilizer": Analysts suggest keeping 5-15% of a portfolio in gold/silver to buffer against "black swan" geopolitical events.
Avoid "Chasing": Given the TACO effect (prices crashing on a single tweet), avoid buying into massive daily spikes; wait for the "Trump-induced" dips to enter long-term positions.
Watch the USD: If Trump’s policies lead to higher interest rates(to fight inflation).
1. Oil: The "Trump Discount" vs. Supply Reality
Recent Slump: Crude prices (Brent) plunged over 6% on March 10, 2026, hitting ~$92 after Trump’s remarks that Middle East conflicts could end "very soon."
Volatility Drivers: Just days prior, oil flirted with $120 due to fears of the Strait of Hormuz closing. The market is now pricing in a potential de-escalation led by U.S. intervention.
Outlook: If Trump successfully brokers a deal or eases sanctions on Russia/Venezuela, oil could stabilize in the $80–$90 range. However, any actual strike on oil infrastructure would likely trigger an immediate spike back above $110.