The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite seem to be floating somewhere in the clouds. War with Iran is apparently just a minor inconvenience. Inflation? Job losses? Oil spiking? Weak payroll numbers? Never mind — the market has decided none of that matters.

Even the famous “Magnificent 7” tech stocks have slipped from their highs, yet the indices are still partying as if everything is perfectly fine.

Oil is rising, jobs are weakening, and economists are quietly whispering about stagflation — but the apparent strategy remains: close your eyes, buy the dip, and hope the spreadsheet keeps going up.

Meanwhile, the next interest-rate cut might not arrive until around 2027 (according to expectations tracked by CME Group).

The level of complacency is remarkable. If denial were an asset class, Wall Street would already be at all-time highs.

U.S. Economic Outlook Cut by Goldman over the Iran War - and the Fear Goes Beyond Oil

Every 10% rise in oil increases inflation by two-tenths, Goldman calculates.Things aren't looking so great on the economic front 12 days into the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran. Not only did oil prices...
U.S. Economic Outlook Cut by Goldman over the Iran War - and the Fear Goes Beyond Oil

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