5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN
5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN Ltd(IREN)$
1/ Huge Demand
"We can't meet the demand fast enough," Dan Roberts
There is a huge demand for AI computing power, as hyperscalers invest hundreds of billions of dollars.
IREN is perfectly situated to meet that demand.
2/ Focus on Bare Metal over Colocation
"Colocation would be a lot easier, but we don't feel that it is the best value-creating opportunity." Dan Roberts, $IREN CEO
AI cloud (bare metal) services can generate roughly $10M per megawatt, whereas simply leasing data center space (collocation) only brings in about $1.5-2M.
We can see these dynamics at play with the $MSFT contract.
The deal involves a 200MW deployment and will generate $9.7B in 5 years.
A colocation contract would have been worth just $1.5-2B, 5-6x lower.
3/ Competent Leadership
The Roberts brothers are competent leaders whose vision built IREN from scratch into a large-scale, institutional-grade infrastructure company.
They’ve consistently focused on low-cost, renewable-powered operations, which are more resilient and in higher demand.
They also showed strong vision by pivoting from $BTC to AI when the opportunity presented itself.
This clearly demonstrates strategic adaptability and long-term thinking.
4/ Scale
While other competitors focus on small data centers of a few hundred MW, $IREN focuses on GW-scale locations.
Smaller data centers are cheaper, faster, and easier to build, but they are less efficient.
- 750 MW Childress
- 1.6 GW Oklahoma
- 2 GW Sweetwarer
4.35 GW of efficient large-scale capacity!
5/ Growing TAM
McKinsey estimates that the global data center capacity will grow by 3.5x by 2030.
124 GW of incremental capacity will be added in the next 5 years.
$IREN is well-positioned to serve this growing TAM.
6/ Bonus Point Valuation
With a 2026 ARR guidance of $3.7B, $IREN trades for 4.5x FWD ARR.
Analyst 2028 estimates are grossly pessimistic, but even looking at them, $IREN trades at 5.5x 2028 EBITDA.
Considering the growth opportunity, surreally fair multiple should be higher than that.
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