AfraSimon

    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·09:42

      Volkswagen Is Running Out of Time

      The fate of Volkswagen explains yesterday's election results in Germany, with AFD securing a massive victory. $Volkswagen AG(VLKAF)$ is down 67% from 2017 peak, and it is on a path towards bankruptcy in 5 years. Its recent 8% jump after the union agreement is unwarranted. They should close factories TODAY, but because of the pressure from the unions and the government, they will close in 2030-34. The unions and the government are not allowing Volkswagen to compete effectively. These delayed factory closures will cost billions and waste valuable time, when there is no time left. This is literally the same thing that happened 2 years ago, when instead of major reforms, unions and the government pressured VW into small cuts and no plant closures. Th
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      Volkswagen Is Running Out of Time
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·09:39

      $IREN Down 42% While Revenue Estimates Surge

      $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ is down 42% from its highs. But the interesting part is what’s happening underneath the stock. Analysts currently see roughly 44% upside, while $IREN remains on track for $4B of 2026 ARR. The company could potentially reach $16B–$24B of ARR in 2027 if its AI infrastructure rollout continues as planned. And the estimates are already moving. The fiscal 2027 revenue estimate has jumped from $1.5B to $2.8B in just 12 months, an 87% increase. The fiscal 2028 estimate has also moved higher, from $6.4B to $7.2B. That’s the key question for me: If analysts had to raise the 2027 estimate by 87%, how much room is there for the 2028 number to move next? The economics are also getting more interesting. GPU pricing remains strong, while custom
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      $IREN Down 42% While Revenue Estimates Surge
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·09:36

      $SOFI Has Beaten Estimates for 21 Straight Quarters

      $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ has beaten analyst revenue estimates for 21 straight quarters. Normally, a streak like that forces analysts to raise their numbers until the company eventually starts meeting or missing expectations. That hasn’t happened with $SOFI. Even more interesting, analyst estimates for 2028 revenue and EPS are still below the company’s own 2028 targets. That tells me the bigger opportunity may be the gap between what Wall Street expects and what $SOFI actually delivers. Meanwhile, the stock is down roughly 43% from its highs, despite the business continuing to strengthen: • 1M+ new members added in Q2 • Record deposits • Record loan originations • 40%+ top-line growth • Improving profitability • New partnerships with Kraken a
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      $SOFI Has Beaten Estimates for 21 Straight Quarters
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·09:31

      Jensen Huang Gave You the AI Investment Map 🗺️

      Jensen Huang basically gave investors a roadmap for the AI buildout. And the interesting part is that $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ isn't the whole story. NVIDIA describes AI as a five-layer stack running from energy → chips → infrastructure → models → applications. Every layer has to be built, and every layer creates a different investment opportunity. Here’s how I’m looking at it: ⚡ Layer 1 — Energy $Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ $GE Vernova Inc.(GEV)$ $Quanta(PWR)$ $Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.(FPS)$ $FuelCell(FCEL)$ $V
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      Jensen Huang Gave You the AI Investment Map 🗺️
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·09-07 07:34

      $SKHY Still Looks Way Too Cheap 👀

      How does $SK hynix(SKHY)$ not work from here? The setup is almost too obvious: 💰 1. The valuation is still crazy Around 4x forward earnings for a company sitting at the center of the AI memory shortage. The market is clearly pricing in a brutal memory-cycle reversal. But what if this cycle is different? 🔥 2. The margins are insane AI-driven HBM demand has completely changed the economics of memory. SK hynix reported a 72% operating margin in Q1 2026, showing just how much pricing power the current supply environment can create. 🧠 3. The shortage isn't disappearing anytime soon This is probably the biggest part of the thesis. SK hynix's CEO recently said the memory shortage could persist through 2030, while the company plans to begin volume product
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      $SKHY Still Looks Way Too Cheap 👀
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·09-07 07:32

      $AMZN Had Only 2 Red Years Since 2013

      $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ has had an incredible run. Since 2013, Amazon has posted positive returns in 12 of the 14 periods listed. Here’s the breakdown: 🟢 2013 +58.96% 🔴 2014 -22.18% 🟢 2015 +117.78% 🟢 2016 +10.95% 🟢 2017 +55.96% 🟢 2018 +28.43% 🟢 2019 +23.03% 🟢 2020 +76.26% 🟢 2021 +2.38% 🔴 2022 -49.62% 🟢 2023 +80.88% 🟢 2024 +44.39% 🟢 2025 +5.21% 🟢 2026 +15.43% YTD And here's what really stands out 👀 The two red years weren't small pullbacks. 2014: -22.18%2022: -49.62% Yet both were followed by powerful recoveries. After the 2014 decline: 🚀 2015 +117.78% After the 2022 collapse: 🚀 2023 +80.88% 🚀 2024 +44.39% That's the part I think investors often underestimate. A great compounder doesn't have to avoid brutal drawdowns. It has to keep finding new growth e
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      $AMZN Had Only 2 Red Years Since 2013
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·09-07 07:30

      $RKLB at $64.30, The Setup Is Just Getting Started

      I took a position in $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ at $64.30 last Friday. The setup is pretty straightforward: 🎯 Catalyst: Golden Dome funding, with the market watching the next major funding developments around October 📈 Volume: Uptick in volume, now above the previous two-week range 👀 Price action: Volume is picking up without a huge expansion in the candle — something I like to see when a stock is building rather than chasing 🧱 Risk: Clear support sitting underneath on the weekly chart 🚀 Theme: Space + defense is becoming one of the most interesting emerging themes in the market And that's the part I really like about $RKLB. I'm not buying it because I think it has already broken out. I'm buying it because risk is defined near support while the
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      $RKLB at $64.30, The Setup Is Just Getting Started
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·09-07 07:21

      Earnings Season Is Getting Wild 🚀

      Some of the biggest earnings reactions this season have been way beyond the usual post-earnings move. Here are the names that really stood out 👀 🚀 +50% AND ABOVE $ChargePoint Holdings Inc.(CHPT)$ +74.95%$Ibotta Inc(IBTA)$ +51.91% 🔥 +30% TO +40% $Digital Turbine(APPS)$ +38.49%$Abercrombie & Fitch(ANF)$ +35.67%$Atlassian Corporation PLC(TEAM)$ +35.31%$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ +34.14%$Doximity, Inc.(DOCS)$ +32.62%$Alamar Biosciences(ALMR)$ +30.65%
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      Earnings Season Is Getting Wild 🚀
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·09-06 08:52

      $NVDA Had Only 2 Red Years Since 2013 🚀

      $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has only had 2 losing years since 2013. But that’s not even the most interesting part. 2018: 🔴 -31.01% 2022: 🔴 -50.31% Every other year in this 14-period stretch was positive, including: 2016: 🟢 +223.85% 2020: 🟢 +121.93% 2021: 🟢 +125.29% 2023: 🟢 +238.87% 2024: 🟢 +171.17% That tells you something important about Nvidia. The returns haven’t been driven by a smooth, steady climb. They’ve come in massive bursts, followed by brutal resets. And the resets mattered. After falling 31% in 2018, $NVDA gained 76.25% in 2019 and 121.93% in 2020. After losing 50.31% in 2022, it came back with +238.87% in 2023 and +171.17% in 2024. That’s the pattern investors need to understand. You didn’t need $NVDA to be green every year. You needed to survive
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      $NVDA Had Only 2 Red Years Since 2013 🚀
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·09-06 08:49

      Thanks Tim Apple. $AAPL Just Kept Printing Gains 🍎

      Thanks, Tim Apple. Look at what $Apple(AAPL)$ has done since 2013: 🟢 2013 +5.42% 🟢 2014 +37.72% 🔴 2015 -4.64% 🟢 2016 +10.03% 🟢 2017 +46.11% 🔴 2018 -6.79% 🟢 2019 +86.16% 🟢 2020 +80.75% 🟢 2021 +33.82% 🔴 2022 -26.83% 🟢 2023 +48.18% 🟢 2024 +30.07% 🟢 2025 +8.56% 🟢 2026 +16.5% YTD That’s 12 green years out of 14 completed years, with only 2015, 2018 and 2022 finishing lower. And the bigger takeaway? Apple didn’t need to deliver a huge gain every single year. It just kept compounding through the cycles. Now Tim Cook has handed the CEO role to John Ternus after 15 years at the helm, closing one of the strongest stock-market runs in corporate history. Whatever you think about Apple today, that track record is hard to ignore. Thanks, Tim Apple. 🍎
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      Thanks Tim Apple. $AAPL Just Kept Printing Gains 🍎
       
       
       
       

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