Mixed Cycle Signals: $SOFI Weak, $COIN Neutral, $SPY Bullish, $NFLX Bearish

Markets are entering a highly selective phase where cycle confirmation matters more than momentum.

While broad indices show early signs of a potential multi-month bull structure, individual names remain split between bearish continuation, trap-driven rebounds, and early accumulation zones.

The key distinction is no longer direction alone—but whether buying pressure confirms the move or not.

1. $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$

This is why we wait for Bull Cycles to confirm $SOFI

When the MBX is 🔴, most bounces are traps, but wouldn’t surprise me if $SOFI sells off to $12.50

2. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$

$COIN sitting at major Smart Money support, but I won’t touch it until we confirm buying pressure on the BX

Getting in early is great when it works.

Without buying pressure, you run the risk of each pop being a trap.

3. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$

$SPY looks like it’s ready to enter into a 6-12 month Bull Cycle

That said, the daily is trading above the deviation band.

A sign we are over priced short term.

Worst case, price pulls back to $700 before a bounce

4. $Netflix(NFLX)$

$NFLX still in a bear cycle.

Strong bounce off lows, but Monthly BX shows ongoing selling and the 33 FVB keeps trend bearish.

I’m staying patient and flat.

When the trend clearly reverses, that’s when I’ll look to get long.


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