PeterDiCarlo

Quant Trader 💻 NEVER FINANCIAL ADVICE

    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·03-31

      $HOOD Key Level to Watch Is $70 Before Volume Gap to $40

      Stopped trading $Robinhood(HOOD)$ at the end of January. It is down 40% since. Not touching it yet. Monthly chart is still showing a bear cycle. Until that flips there is nothing to do here. The level to watch is $70. If that breaks we have a volume gap all the way down to $40. I am not looking for a short term bounce. Bounces in bear cycles are traps. You buy it. It fades. You hold the bag. I am waiting for the full cycle shift back to bull before I even think about an entry. Buying dips in a bear cycle feels smart. It rarely ends that way. I will be waiting for confirmation of a rotation on the MBX For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stock
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      $HOOD Key Level to Watch Is $70 Before Volume Gap to $40
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·03-31

      $PLTR Worst Case Targets $80 After Volume Gap Fill

      Called the $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ trap weeks ago. Stock is now down 15% from that breakout. Here is what is happening. We are in a bear cycle. The monthly chart confirms it. In a bear cycle every bounce is a trap. Retail sees a bottom. Institutions see an exit. That bounce up to $170 I was watching did not even fully play out. The rejection last month was not a good sign. Worst case from here is another 30% down. That puts price around $80 after filling the volume gap. So what do we do? We wait. No buying. No bottom guessing. No being exit liquidity for the people selling into your confidence. When our bull cycle criteria is met again we will look to buy at a significant discount. Until then the trade is patience. For SG users only, We
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      $PLTR Worst Case Targets $80 After Volume Gap Fill
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·03-31

      $NVDA Faces $140 Support as Selling Pressure Mounts

      We exited $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ at the end of last month. Since then it is down 8%. Next stop should be $140. Every time price tests a liquidity zone the odds of a sweep go up. The monthly chart shows buying pressure being pulled out consistently. When institutions stop defending a stock they are not coming back to save it. So what do we do? Nothing. Yet. No shorts. No guessing the bottom. We wait for the selloff. Then we wait for our system to confirm buying pressure is rotating back in. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. 🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports
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      $NVDA Faces $140 Support as Selling Pressure Mounts
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·03-31

      $TSLA Bull Cycle Ends Soon, Focus on Process, Not Outcome

      In September 2025 our model flagged $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ entering a bull cycle. We were bullish from the start. At the peak the stock was up over 50%. We were targeting $550 by end of March. March is ending. The stock is up 6%. That is a miss. Now the bull cycle looks like it ends in April. Here is what I want you to understand. No system wins 100% of the time. That is not the goal. The goal is to find your edge and execute it without flinching when it does not work. I have been doing this for 11 years. I am wrong 35% to 40% of the time. The traders who blow up are not the ones who lose. They are the ones who think losing is avoidable. So they revenge trade. They size up. They abandon the rules. You take the loss. You move on. You take the next si
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      $TSLA Bull Cycle Ends Soon, Focus on Process, Not Outcome
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·03-31

      $AMD Short-Term Hold, Monthly Close Will Decide

      $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ bull cycle is still active. Short term system still says hold. I am going to be honest though. It is not looking great. My expectation is that price fills the gap to the downside and I stop out around $160. I am still holding because the system says hold. Not because I feel good about it. When the monthly chart closes red I am out. If it bounces before that I will take the profit happily. But I am not jumping ahead of the signal. The goal was never to predict. The goal is to follow a system long enough for the edge to play out. That is it. For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs.
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      $AMD Short-Term Hold, Monthly Close Will Decide
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·03-31

      $MU Near-Term Bounce Signal vs Broader Bearish Trend

      $Micron Technology(MU)$ $MU spent 2 months distributing to retail. Big players don't sell into panic. They sell into your confidence. This is why we said buying $MU wasn't a great idea Been bearish on $MU for a month. Called the pullback to $320. Now our short term signal is showing a re-entry. Historically this setup has a 70% win rate. If $MU is going to bounce, it's right now That said, I am not taking it. Here is why: I did not profit on the previous bull cycle. Taking the bounce now means I am chasing the tail end of a move I already missed. That is not how you trade a system. You take every signal or you take none. The moment you start picking which ones feel right you are no longer trading rules. You are trading emotions. We have no idea whic
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      $MU Near-Term Bounce Signal vs Broader Bearish Trend
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·03-28

      $SPY, $QQQ, $NVDA, $MSFT Highlight Selling Pressure as Key Levels Break

      Markets remain under heavy selling pressure. $SPY and $QQQ struggle near key volume gaps, $NVDA tests critical support with $140 as a potential target, and names like $ZETA, $SOUN, and $HOOD reverse sharply after prior rallies. Even $MSFT faces pressure, though long-term support zones hold. Disciplined exits and respect for technical levels are essential. 1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Expected a bounce on $SPY before $600 but this selling pressure is relentless. Still a chance some weekend news gives $SPY / $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ a short term lift, but my eye is on that volume gap filling to the downside. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $NVDA testing key liquidity support rig
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      $SPY, $QQQ, $NVDA, $MSFT Highlight Selling Pressure as Key Levels Break
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·03-27

      Momentum Fades: $META $MSFT $QQQ Signal Traps, Not Dips to Chase

      This week’s tech market highlights key traps and pullbacks. $META’s earnings breakout turned into a 25%+ drop, $MSFT continues its post-peak decline, and $QQQ signals caution when buying pressure fades. The focus isn’t chasing every rally, but avoiding catastrophic losses while staying positioned for parabolic winners. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META trap was set and executed to perfection This is why we don't chase pumps while Monthly BX is red We said the $META breakout on earnings looked like a trap ❌ Since then it’s dropped 25%+. 2. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ They would have said the same thing in 2022 and in 2008. The model is not magic. When buying pressure and relative strength fade, it is rare for th
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      Momentum Fades: $META $MSFT $QQQ Signal Traps, Not Dips to Chase
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·03-26

      Mixed Signals | $PLTR $NVDA Lose Momentum, $NBIS Delivers +20% as $TSLA Holds Trend

      Momentum across key tech names is starting to diverge. While leaders like $PLTR and $NVDA show signs of exhaustion or stalled trends, select names such as $NBIS continue to deliver, and $TSLA is still holding its bullish structure—for now. 1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $PLTR 2‑year bull run is over My system flagged the end of the bull cycle back in January. Since then: 2 months of dead money and a classic bull trap setup. 2. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ I sold all my $NVDA at the end of Feb 🔻 Since then $NVDA has gone nowhere. Both of my systems are no longer bullish: trend still up, but BX buy-pressure flipped dark red. 3. $Micron Technology(MU)$ I’m still not buying $
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      Mixed Signals | $PLTR $NVDA Lose Momentum, $NBIS Delivers +20% as $TSLA Holds Trend
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·03-24

      $SPY Holding Support, But $650–$600 Gap Looms Large

      $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 📈 While the $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ bear cycle turned quickly, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has been slower to roll over. That said, Monthly BX currently has a high probability of closing red for March. We have been expecting a 5% to 10% correction for a while, and unfortunately price action is lining up with that view. In the short term, SPY is sitting on a strong liquidity level, so a relief rally is very possible. However, when MBX is red, most rallies tend to turn into continuation sell offs. There is also a major volume gap from roughly $650 down to $600. If this liquidity zone is swept or broken and price holds below, I would expect any se
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      $SPY Holding Support, But $650–$600 Gap Looms Large
       
       
       
       

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