The 3.3% QQQ rebound catalyzed by strong Microsoft earnings and cooling June core PCE at 3.3% demonstrates that resilient fundamental AI revenue and solid tech balance sheets can snap losing streaks and provide a strong market floor. However, with market skepticism toward Fed policy remaining high until concrete rate cuts materialize, and August historically bringing seasonal light volume volatility, this rally is unlikely to be a smooth upward march. Investors should view this as an earnings driven relief bounce rather than a full structural regime shift, using short term strength to stay selective and keep dry powder ready for potential late summer pullbacks.
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