How Do You Trade September Without Letting Fear Take Over?
A student recently asked me:
“How do you psychologically take trades in September when it’s historically one of the worst months for the market, especially when you think we could still see a pullback?”
The honest answer?
It’s difficult.
And it gets even harder when you’re public with your analysis and have a community trading alongside you.
But there’s one mindset that helps me stay grounded:
🧠 Think in 10–20 Year Timeframes
Seasonality matters.
September has historically been a difficult month for the market, and I absolutely take that into consideration.
But seasonality only matters until it doesn’t.
The mistake is allowing a historical average to become a trading rule.
I try to look at every decision through a 10–20 year lens rather than letting one month determine what I do today.
🚀 Look at What Happened With $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
Last September, $TSLA was heading into one of its historically weakest months.
Yet we were extremely bullish and buying.
Why?
Not because we ignored history.
Because current market conditions mattered more.
Our indicators were showing strength, and the charts were giving us valid setups to buy either the breakout or the dip.
And what happened?
$TSLA eventually broke out more than 25% that month. 📈🔥
That’s the difference:
History gives you context.
The current chart gives you information.
⚠️ That Doesn’t Mean I Ignore Risk
I still mentally prepare myself for a drawdown, especially during a month like September.
And I want you to be prepared for one too.
If $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ pulls back, I’m not going to be surprised.
But I also refuse to let historical averages override what the market is telling me in real time.
There’s a big difference between being prepared for a pullback and positioning yourself as if a pullback is guaranteed.
🎯 The Goal Isn’t to Predict Every Move
I don’t need to know exactly what $SPY will do next.
Nobody does.
The goal is much simpler:
Make the best decision with the information available.
Then stay disciplined through whatever happens next.
If the market pulls back, I adjust.
If the market breaks higher, I participate.
If a strong Smart Money setup appears, I take it. 👀📊
Even if I expect the market to pull back, I will still buy every Smart Money setup that my charts are showing.
Does that mean I’ll always be right?
Absolutely not.
And I don’t have to be.
I just need to make good decisions consistently and let time do the rest. ⏳📈
Stay disciplined. Trust the process. Let the market prove you right or wrong. 💪
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