To The Moon

$Wynn(WYNN)$

$WYNN +0.74%: Macau Recovery Holds Support, $102 Breakout Still in Play

Latest Close: $92.22 (+0.74%), just 2.4% above the 52-week low of $89.44 and 31.6% below its 52-week high of $134.72. Volume of 1.71M shares came in at a volume ratio of 0.94—slightly below average.

Core Market Drivers: Macau's steady GGR recovery continues to anchor sentiment, with Wynn Macau's adjusted property EBITDA reaching $279M last quarter. The recent Q2 double-beat (EPS $1.24 vs $1.11 est.) reset bearish expectations, but macro casino spending concerns in China remain a lingering overhang.

Technical Analysis: RSI(6) at 34.4 and RSI(12) at 34.7 are emerging from oversold territory, while RSI(24) at 39.9 remains below neutral 50—bullish divergence is not yet confirmed. MACD remains deeply negative (DIF -2.33 vs DEA -1.57, histogram -1.50), signaling persistent downtrend pressure. KDJ shows a nascent bullish crossover (K 20.4 > D 16.7, J 27.9), hinting at a potential short-term bounce.

Key Price Levels:

• Primary Support: $91.28 (yesterday's low) / $89.44 (52-week low)

• Strong Resistance: $102.23 (recent breakdown zone)

• Immediate Pivot: $92.64 (today's high)

Valuation: Forward P/E of 19.12 sits below the historical average of 21.00 and within the -1 SD band (16.16–25.85), reflecting a discounted valuation relative to its own trailing range. P/E TTM is 22.1, and P/S is just 1.28.

Analyst Targets: 23 analysts cover WYNN with an average target of $133.49 (range $116–$155). Distribution: 6 Strong Buy, 17 Buy, and 0 Hold—institutional consensus remains firmly bullish despite the stock's recent drawdown.

Weekly Outlook: Expect range-bound consolidation between $89.5 and $96.0. A decisive break above $96 with volume expansion could trigger a swift retest of $102.23. Failure to hold $89.44 would open downside toward $86.50.

⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets carry risk; always do your own research before trading.

🎯 $WYNN Options Strategy: Bull Call Spread (Debit Spread)

• Underlying: WYNN (Wynn Resorts, Ltd.)

• Market View: Cautiously Bullish / Short-term Oversold Bounce

• Strategy Type: Bullish Debit Spread (Long Call Spread)

• Option Contract Portfolio:

  • Buy: WYNN 2026-09-18 $92 Call @ $2.06 (mid)*

  • Sell: WYNN 2026-09-18 $96 Call @ $0.70 (mid)*

  • Note: Based on closest-to-stock-price chain, Sep 18 2026 expiration ≈ 9 days to expiry. Mid prices inferred from bid/ask.

• Max Gain & Loss:

  • Max Gain: $264 per spread (Width $4 − Net Debit $1.36)

  • Max Loss: $136 per spread (Net Debit)

• Initial Cost/Credit: Net Debit ≈ $1.36 per spread

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